Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10: Greater Toronto Area and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 — reference scenario

Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
GREATER TORONTO AREA
Age Groups 0-4 to 45-49
Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49
2015 354,070 362,758 359,346 411,847 479,828 482,276 487,220 471,270 475,987 488,345
2016 361,857 364,362 363,289 405,210 487,739 491,639 495,730 482,258 475,708 488,451
2017 369,621 365,909 369,530 401,114 491,628 501,052 504,920 493,321 479,340 489,525
2018 377,872 367,080 376,335 399,155 491,532 511,051 511,750 506,334 484,248 488,417
2019 386,391 370,219 380,353 401,183 487,224 519,074 520,920 517,422 491,352 486,706
2020 394,987 374,918 383,482 402,770 481,746 525,571 531,454 527,866 498,308 487,492
2021 402,092 382,647 385,220 407,139 475,399 531,931 540,373 535,864 508,715 487,022
2022 408,921 390,320 386,805 413,754 471,751 534,319 549,294 544,395 519,190 490,334
2023 415,421 398,543 388,124 421,035 470,478 533,279 558,895 550,994 531,835 495,053
2024 421,528 407,058 391,402 425,658 473,258 528,541 566,576 560,168 542,823 502,033
2025 427,199 415,684 396,223 429,469 475,683 522,764 572,701 570,819 553,305 509,010
2026 432,410 422,876 404,008 431,932 480,921 516,241 578,515 580,010 561,488 519,308
2027 437,076 429,813 411,790 434,207 488,432 512,517 580,450 589,223 570,167 529,671
2028 441,128 436,434 420,124 436,215 496,686 511,198 579,215 598,961 576,957 542,169
2029 444,571 442,684 428,749 440,155 502,379 513,863 574,569 606,734 586,315 553,090
2030 447,425 448,523 437,507 445,610 507,312 516,288 568,960 612,923 597,148 563,557
2031 449,734 453,903 444,869 453,979 510,919 521,511 562,667 618,693 606,600 571,849
2032 451,625 458,753 451,964 462,391 514,262 528,999 559,171 620,676 616,080 580,544
2033 453,188 463,000 458,749 471,346 517,326 537,270 558,008 619,685 625,971 587,404
2034 454,552 466,658 465,162 480,577 522,273 543,064 560,716 615,456 633,834 596,795
2035 455,852 469,736 471,155 489,937 528,681 548,166 563,236 610,278 640,062 607,661
2036 457,226 472,299 476,706 497,915 538,000 551,964 568,482 604,453 645,807 617,186
2037 458,790 474,460 481,730 505,626 547,434 555,419 575,950 601,403 647,859 626,710
2038 460,676 476,312 486,154 513,025 557,396 558,608 584,239 600,596 647,070 636,543
2039 462,960 477,974 490,011 520,046 567,613 563,612 590,167 603,539 643,180 644,347
2040 465,700 479,580 493,305 526,645 577,940 570,006 595,487 606,307 638,335 650,550
2041 468,896 481,266 496,091 532,806 586,907 579,263 599,515 611,736 632,865 656,218
Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
GREATER TORONTO AREA
Age Groups 50-54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total
2015 513,194 445,186 362,247 305,910 212,587 165,261 122,561 78,926 46,876 6,625,695
2016 512,334 460,690 376,212 318,692 225,068 169,712 125,301 82,283 50,628 6,737,163
2017 507,416 473,159 391,849 323,331 245,395 174,825 128,787 84,941 53,960 6,849,623
2018 499,220 487,235 407,464 330,756 262,859 181,483 132,488 87,530 57,516 6,960,325
2019 491,381 499,476 422,194 340,905 278,459 189,024 137,019 90,009 60,719 7,070,030
2020 485,720 505,447 436,471 354,105 293,825 197,312 141,423 92,363 64,297 7,179,557
2021 485,703 504,613 451,455 367,695 306,135 209,026 145,595 94,853 68,013 7,289,490
2022 486,620 499,790 463,506 382,777 310,898 227,937 150,334 97,841 71,010 7,399,796
2023 485,594 491,897 477,152 397,882 318,287 244,249 156,463 101,067 74,176 7,510,424
2024 484,029 484,442 489,097 412,159 328,244 258,837 163,386 104,924 77,089 7,621,252
2025 484,894 479,115 495,071 426,076 341,069 273,173 170,936 108,711 80,273 7,732,175
2026 484,569 479,261 494,506 440,682 354,256 284,785 181,465 112,339 83,722 7,843,294
2027 487,932 480,286 490,075 452,503 368,823 289,691 198,333 116,413 87,070 7,954,472
2028 492,668 479,486 482,718 465,865 383,420 297,019 212,917 121,634 90,749 8,065,563
2029 499,582 478,149 475,808 477,616 397,264 306,718 225,952 127,500 94,724 8,176,422
2030 506,530 479,155 470,959 483,701 410,823 319,081 238,727 133,854 98,842 8,286,925
2031 516,646 479,037 471,374 483,511 425,059 331,775 249,203 142,601 103,033 8,396,963
2032 526,844 482,490 472,608 479,578 436,678 345,698 254,116 156,520 107,474 8,506,471
2033 539,118 487,258 472,105 472,878 449,762 359,664 261,155 168,554 112,935 8,615,376
2034 549,870 494,133 471,080 466,617 461,324 372,957 270,287 179,261 119,020 8,723,636
2035 560,193 501,066 472,297 462,318 467,548 386,078 281,806 189,694 125,476 8,831,240
2036 568,427 511,046 472,441 463,057 467,774 399,846 293,601 198,364 133,624 8,938,218
2037 577,034 521,103 476,019 464,548 464,401 411,181 306,435 202,950 145,560 9,044,612
2038 583,857 533,181 480,861 464,413 458,427 423,899 319,332 209,267 156,589 9,150,445
2039 593,142 543,788 487,744 463,765 452,876 435,202 331,668 217,288 166,870 9,255,792
2040 603,842 553,991 494,700 465,244 449,202 441,556 343,978 227,301 177,058 9,360,727
2041 613,273 562,185 504,583 465,713 450,326 442,252 356,877 237,523 187,015 9,465,310

Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10.1
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
TORONTO
Age Groups 0-4 to 45-49
Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49
2015 145,384 134,186 123,292 153,938 207,605 232,811 244,908 215,657 200,414 198,172
2016 149,523 135,343 124,265 149,858 211,336 234,420 248,426 224,305 201,506 198,877
2017 153,329 136,470 126,783 146,550 213,712 236,434 251,290 232,030 205,087 199,855
2018 157,135 137,477 129,426 145,057 212,990 239,323 252,068 240,407 208,927 200,044
2019 160,814 139,172 131,253 144,816 210,191 241,952 253,653 246,482 214,060 199,674
2020 164,257 141,309 132,694 144,506 206,476 244,763 255,462 251,191 219,401 200,406
2021 166,705 144,685 133,471 145,485 202,518 247,347 257,075 253,749 226,241 200,775
2022 168,845 147,820 134,232 147,877 199,561 248,385 258,993 255,973 232,466 203,376
2023 170,706 151,039 134,974 150,490 198,381 246,920 261,719 256,767 239,499 206,394
2024 172,316 154,204 136,380 152,415 198,641 243,695 264,090 258,650 244,803 210,663
2025 173,704 157,213 138,224 154,060 198,873 239,767 266,425 261,011 249,127 215,209
2026 174,895 159,405 141,154 155,117 200,449 235,655 268,450 263,040 251,674 221,136
2027 175,877 161,353 143,897 156,104 203,377 232,697 268,849 265,248 254,011 226,604
2028 176,636 163,074 146,733 157,035 206,578 231,307 267,216 268,001 255,098 232,851
2029 177,187 164,587 149,536 158,598 209,046 231,510 263,981 270,250 257,216 237,649
2030 177,538 165,914 152,223 160,585 211,269 231,726 260,202 272,294 259,810 241,653
2031 177,711 167,060 154,210 163,575 212,914 233,305 256,224 274,001 262,035 244,127
2032 177,742 168,019 155,985 166,428 214,392 236,149 253,430 274,153 264,381 246,430
2033 177,662 168,777 157,567 169,380 215,751 239,288 252,009 272,617 267,110 247,619
2034 177,510 169,345 158,962 172,323 217,769 241,566 252,186 269,637 269,244 249,783
2035 177,331 169,732 160,190 175,177 220,233 243,576 252,367 266,181 271,062 252,421
2036 177,173 169,962 161,257 177,382 223,757 244,985 253,798 262,522 272,547 254,670
2037 177,082 170,061 162,151 179,400 227,218 246,175 256,368 259,998 272,578 256,984
2038 177,103 170,059 162,861 181,239 230,801 247,243 259,241 258,673 271,148 259,565
2039 177,274 169,991 163,402 182,901 234,390 249,012 261,211 258,849 268,397 261,534
2040 177,613 169,899 163,779 184,401 237,915 251,276 262,905 259,008 265,194 263,161
2041 178,124 169,826 164,008 185,749 240,787 254,674 264,002 260,299 261,789 264,463
Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10.1
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
TORONTO
Age Groups 50-54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total
2015 206,307 184,879 153,804 129,327 90,357 76,371 60,985 41,937 26,164 2,826,498
2016 205,462 189,711 159,268 134,468 94,549 76,827 61,193 43,039 28,020 2,870,396
2017 202,892 193,285 164,841 136,569 101,949 77,452 61,917 43,652 29,614 2,913,711
2018 199,031 197,906 170,471 139,333 108,755 78,470 62,570 44,212 31,340 2,954,942
2019 195,853 201,904 175,450 143,070 114,886 80,282 63,569 44,629 32,735 2,994,445
2020 193,802 202,981 180,515 147,839 121,031 82,679 64,295 44,955 34,224 3,032,786
2021 194,046 202,042 185,185 153,059 125,930 86,612 64,884 45,297 35,697 3,070,803
2022 194,659 199,449 188,656 158,354 128,042 93,437 65,639 45,998 36,709 3,108,471
2023 194,590 195,671 193,119 163,705 130,779 99,705 66,781 46,707 37,832 3,145,778
2024 194,075 192,555 197,005 168,477 134,385 105,372 68,591 47,673 38,700 3,182,690
2025 194,604 190,523 198,167 173,339 138,919 111,031 70,883 48,464 39,647 3,219,190
2026 194,758 190,695 197,329 177,892 143,840 115,580 74,482 49,146 40,654 3,255,351
2027 196,966 191,219 194,900 181,322 148,863 117,651 80,603 49,960 41,638 3,291,139
2028 199,605 191,075 191,360 185,654 153,939 120,324 86,188 51,101 42,746 3,326,521
2029 203,368 190,515 188,423 189,430 158,509 123,798 91,234 52,747 43,883 3,361,467
2030 207,368 190,945 186,494 190,690 163,151 128,137 96,233 54,747 44,975 3,395,954
2031 212,649 191,010 186,660 189,999 167,558 132,816 100,288 57,774 46,045 3,429,961
2032 217,591 192,988 187,140 187,789 170,936 137,604 102,298 62,826 47,199 3,463,480
2033 223,279 195,393 186,974 184,573 175,118 142,439 104,859 67,395 48,682 3,496,492
2034 227,705 198,842 186,427 181,909 178,777 146,830 108,135 71,513 50,520 3,528,983
2035 231,447 202,510 186,816 180,163 180,146 151,296 112,195 75,562 52,551 3,560,956
2036 233,812 207,401 186,852 180,380 179,652 155,588 116,536 78,883 55,266 3,592,423
2037 236,053 212,014 188,655 180,852 177,743 158,941 120,968 80,716 59,442 3,623,399
2038 237,272 217,346 190,880 180,712 174,904 163,012 125,443 83,008 63,385 3,653,895
2039 239,393 221,536 194,081 180,233 172,550 166,596 129,549 85,884 67,163 3,683,946
2040 241,947 225,115 197,487 180,631 171,025 168,102 133,754 89,423 70,946 3,713,581
2041 244,130 227,432 202,056 180,699 171,319 167,843 137,840 93,169 74,617 3,742,826

Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10.2
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
DURHAM
Age Groups 0-4 to 45-49
Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49
2015 35,038 38,430 39,722 44,965 48,401 42,333 40,700 42,697 45,350 48,640
2016 35,520 38,716 39,846 43,728 48,521 43,729 41,485 43,015 45,030 47,725
2017 36,242 38,642 40,151 43,115 47,992 45,299 42,339 43,348 45,100 47,175
2018 37,052 38,567 40,745 42,551 47,163 46,751 43,158 43,891 45,144 47,124
2019 37,926 38,649 40,991 42,387 46,282 47,572 44,492 44,466 45,407 47,001
2020 38,845 38,745 41,470 42,233 45,311 47,764 46,011 45,261 45,678 46,984
2021 39,567 39,351 41,808 42,461 44,161 47,942 47,335 46,168 46,195 46,714
2022 40,279 40,168 41,802 42,894 43,598 47,561 48,791 47,117 46,721 46,850
2023 40,964 41,078 41,788 43,590 43,128 46,919 50,187 47,973 47,483 46,990
2024 41,602 42,055 41,955 43,935 43,073 46,184 51,068 49,304 48,238 47,376
2025 42,186 43,079 42,157 44,474 43,025 45,343 51,449 50,803 49,159 47,793
2026 42,711 43,893 42,871 44,862 43,326 44,340 51,802 52,134 50,133 48,475
2027 43,162 44,690 43,782 44,937 43,857 43,865 51,621 53,587 51,143 49,158
2028 43,531 45,452 44,786 45,001 44,623 43,510 51,148 55,007 52,031 50,084
2029 43,815 46,168 45,854 45,256 45,073 43,571 50,499 55,963 53,378 50,971
2030 44,022 46,828 46,963 45,567 45,668 43,624 49,739 56,475 54,894 51,993
2031 44,162 47,424 47,857 46,385 46,109 44,008 48,842 56,948 56,250 53,027
2032 44,256 47,948 48,725 47,387 46,282 44,647 48,424 56,889 57,719 54,086
2033 44,321 48,384 49,555 48,484 46,446 45,485 48,176 56,514 59,171 55,006
2034 44,379 48,736 50,336 49,633 46,800 46,044 48,346 55,914 60,189 56,372
2035 44,453 49,006 51,056 50,818 47,230 46,708 48,515 55,203 60,799 57,912
2036 44,561 49,211 51,712 51,787 48,136 47,226 49,018 54,370 61,357 59,297
2037 44,712 49,370 52,293 52,725 49,206 47,512 49,786 53,997 61,384 60,791
2038 44,927 49,500 52,782 53,626 50,361 47,780 50,745 53,827 61,077 62,273
2039 45,208 49,620 53,186 54,479 51,559 48,241 51,432 54,085 60,521 63,340
2040 45,561 49,755 53,510 55,266 52,787 48,796 52,195 54,343 59,853 64,023
2041 45,983 49,921 53,768 55,989 53,818 49,789 52,816 54,947 59,071 64,645
Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10.2
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
DURHAM
Age Groups 50-54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total
2015 57,236 48,343 37,999 31,491 21,622 15,283 11,473 7,186 4,281 661,190
2016 56,504 50,668 39,582 32,881 23,093 15,912 11,661 7,459 4,649 669,724
2017 55,090 52,344 41,667 33,256 25,524 16,622 12,008 7,641 5,005 678,560
2018 52,875 54,262 43,394 34,232 27,332 17,867 12,252 7,933 5,269 687,562
2019 50,618 55,709 45,328 35,607 29,011 18,858 12,679 8,245 5,508 696,736
2020 49,052 56,207 47,237 37,284 30,616 20,048 13,108 8,496 5,757 706,107
2021 48,276 55,521 49,474 38,877 31,995 21,457 13,694 8,674 6,082 715,752
2022 47,821 54,193 51,106 40,919 32,423 23,758 14,355 8,965 6,347 725,668
2023 47,797 52,138 52,973 42,650 33,401 25,509 15,447 9,195 6,629 735,839
2024 47,703 50,071 54,419 44,555 34,759 27,119 16,345 9,564 6,915 746,240
2025 47,730 48,660 54,973 46,441 36,416 28,657 17,395 9,931 7,175 756,846
2026 47,529 48,010 54,406 48,625 38,010 29,985 18,657 10,412 7,453 767,634
2027 47,740 47,647 53,225 50,250 40,006 30,466 20,715 10,957 7,765 778,573
2028 47,971 47,660 51,361 52,108 41,733 31,440 22,314 11,821 8,055 789,636
2029 48,450 47,603 49,489 53,579 43,608 32,762 23,762 12,553 8,443 800,797
2030 48,968 47,676 48,228 54,192 45,473 34,371 25,147 13,390 8,817 812,035
2031 49,762 47,533 47,704 53,741 47,610 35,931 26,354 14,412 9,272 823,331
2032 50,557 47,798 47,439 52,698 49,235 37,844 26,873 16,075 9,793 834,675
2033 51,596 48,098 47,493 51,008 51,082 39,535 27,814 17,389 10,503 846,060
2034 52,576 48,644 47,479 49,310 52,574 41,354 29,052 18,559 11,186 857,483
2035 53,661 49,237 47,600 48,182 53,244 43,172 30,554 19,674 11,918 868,942
2036 54,737 50,107 47,517 47,767 52,903 45,235 32,017 20,659 12,827 880,444
2037 55,832 50,976 47,840 47,596 51,983 46,836 33,778 21,164 14,214 891,995
2038 56,782 52,090 48,208 47,699 50,461 48,647 35,362 21,999 15,460 903,606
2039 58,168 53,133 48,821 47,732 48,940 50,137 37,056 23,061 16,566 915,285
2040 59,728 54,270 49,480 47,901 47,956 50,864 38,759 24,340 17,658 927,045
2041 61,139 55,376 50,420 47,878 47,659 50,640 40,678 25,592 18,764 938,893

Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10.3
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
HALTON
Age Groups 0-4 to 45-49
Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49
2015 32,336 36,443 36,258 36,955 35,443 32,879 33,816 38,700 43,545 43,314
2016 32,569 36,688 37,326 37,321 36,444 33,848 34,488 38,780 43,071 43,918
2017 32,972 36,766 38,252 38,003 37,152 34,746 35,720 38,714 42,977 44,455
2018 33,453 36,708 39,248 38,480 37,979 35,845 36,775 38,962 43,108 44,730
2019 34,025 36,880 39,743 39,401 38,554 36,711 38,004 39,586 43,247 45,011
2020 34,693 37,267 40,185 40,174 39,011 37,288 39,532 40,465 43,134 45,278
2021 35,434 37,693 40,481 41,254 39,325 38,124 40,722 41,385 43,539 44,981
2022 36,244 38,246 40,629 42,234 39,932 38,678 41,832 42,696 43,812 45,032
2023 37,104 38,874 40,653 43,289 40,417 39,313 43,033 43,840 44,376 45,289
2024 37,995 39,590 40,909 43,852 41,326 39,696 43,979 45,162 45,203 45,591
2025 38,890 40,403 41,386 44,353 42,090 39,951 44,628 46,738 46,211 45,675
2026 39,771 41,249 41,951 44,703 43,140 40,082 45,432 48,046 47,222 46,242
2027 40,620 42,151 42,630 44,930 44,139 40,505 45,917 49,300 48,562 46,697
2028 41,423 43,085 43,386 45,047 45,223 40,908 46,385 50,614 49,741 47,433
2029 42,167 44,039 44,225 45,403 45,864 41,702 46,598 51,667 51,129 48,370
2030 42,851 44,992 45,156 45,981 46,419 42,364 46,711 52,429 52,772 49,460
2031 43,469 45,922 46,097 46,685 46,846 43,300 46,735 53,294 54,172 50,535
2032 44,034 46,816 47,079 47,493 47,183 44,270 47,039 53,805 55,534 51,889
2033 44,556 47,656 48,090 48,380 47,446 45,332 47,387 54,251 56,939 53,085
2034 45,045 48,435 49,114 49,346 47,926 46,029 48,131 54,430 58,078 54,510
2035 45,518 49,150 50,127 50,400 48,603 46,649 48,798 54,520 58,929 56,185
2036 45,992 49,804 51,115 51,442 49,434 47,173 49,746 54,525 59,851 57,633
2037 46,480 50,408 52,058 52,520 50,357 47,622 50,785 54,821 60,397 59,054
2038 46,995 50,970 52,946 53,619 51,354 48,007 51,923 55,201 60,843 60,506
2039 47,547 51,503 53,773 54,724 52,422 48,582 52,744 55,990 61,017 61,690
2040 48,144 52,022 54,536 55,813 53,565 49,335 53,507 56,724 61,103 62,604
2041 48,784 52,545 55,236 56,873 54,687 50,276 54,157 57,750 61,108 63,559
Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10.3
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
HALTON
Age Groups 50-54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total
2015 43,775 36,737 28,916 25,724 19,380 14,114 10,607 6,768 3,503 559,213
2016 43,815 38,554 30,002 26,531 20,517 14,689 10,819 7,175 3,872 570,427
2017 43,911 39,879 31,510 26,438 22,262 15,464 10,997 7,601 4,207 582,026
2018 43,757 41,164 32,963 26,908 23,561 16,357 11,395 7,824 4,607 593,824
2019 43,285 42,375 34,504 27,763 24,520 17,342 11,924 8,007 4,989 605,871
2020 43,295 43,224 35,899 28,890 25,566 18,246 12,457 8,204 5,397 618,205
2021 43,900 43,311 37,597 30,002 26,445 19,338 13,002 8,424 5,806 630,763
2022 44,439 43,391 38,861 31,482 26,481 21,022 13,711 8,621 6,204 643,547
2023 44,732 43,235 40,118 32,923 27,027 22,306 14,537 8,971 6,512 656,549
2024 45,015 42,809 41,313 34,435 27,933 23,292 15,444 9,424 6,785 669,753
2025 45,313 42,802 42,158 35,827 29,107 24,351 16,282 9,881 7,099 683,145
2026 45,127 43,370 42,286 37,498 30,264 25,251 17,300 10,347 7,437 696,718
2027 45,276 43,884 42,363 38,773 31,749 25,391 18,872 10,939 7,761 710,459
2028 45,614 44,173 42,215 40,055 33,201 25,986 20,091 11,642 8,128 724,350
2029 46,020 44,451 41,841 41,268 34,707 26,909 21,054 12,408 8,552 738,374
2030 46,234 44,775 41,837 42,136 36,113 28,092 22,069 13,122 9,006 752,519
2031 46,896 44,679 42,384 42,312 37,775 29,256 22,944 13,988 9,484 766,773
2032 47,461 44,905 42,894 42,403 39,068 30,708 23,173 15,336 10,039 781,129
2033 48,299 45,305 43,193 42,266 40,379 32,136 23,793 16,394 10,695 795,582
2034 49,293 45,786 43,483 41,925 41,619 33,607 24,700 17,239 11,430 810,126
2035 50,424 46,097 43,840 41,915 42,509 34,996 25,851 18,112 12,138 824,761
2036 51,521 46,823 43,828 42,444 42,714 36,620 26,982 18,877 12,970 839,494
2037 52,866 47,471 44,125 42,961 42,795 37,902 28,357 19,156 14,193 854,328
2038 54,060 48,377 44,583 43,288 42,655 39,216 29,719 19,749 15,257 869,268
2039 55,489 49,413 45,134 43,596 42,345 40,460 31,116 20,573 16,205 884,323
2040 57,158 50,570 45,534 43,981 42,346 41,358 32,451 21,609 17,141 899,501
2041 58,621 51,685 46,319 44,039 42,879 41,601 33,993 22,625 18,072 914,809

Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10.4
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
PEEL
Age Groups 0-4 to 45-49
Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49
2015 81,382 87,268 90,026 99,987 108,265 100,612 99,562 102,113 103,714 108,371
2016 83,364 86,807 90,987 98,939 110,239 103,836 101,267 103,582 104,653 108,134
2017 85,033 86,877 92,425 98,083 111,048 107,226 103,189 105,539 105,764 108,193
2018 86,827 86,868 93,929 97,520 111,370 110,202 105,210 107,771 106,967 107,645
2019 88,723 87,356 94,466 98,206 110,620 112,629 107,678 109,765 108,627 107,158
2020 90,695 88,498 94,531 98,600 109,927 114,297 110,711 111,757 109,729 107,624
2021 92,374 90,412 94,194 99,635 108,914 115,882 113,402 113,305 111,198 108,403
2022 94,015 92,058 94,295 101,133 108,167 116,469 116,198 115,054 113,046 109,466
2023 95,606 93,857 94,357 102,727 107,787 116,624 118,794 116,845 115,282 110,681
2024 97,122 95,773 94,931 103,431 108,584 115,898 120,922 119,125 117,318 112,368
2025 98,546 97,779 96,143 103,713 109,139 115,202 122,457 121,922 119,394 113,605
2026 99,870 99,488 98,111 103,614 110,325 114,248 123,927 124,429 121,016 115,244
2027 101,076 101,154 99,851 103,897 111,959 113,628 124,531 127,024 122,802 117,186
2028 102,145 102,767 101,737 104,150 113,702 113,398 124,706 129,506 124,544 119,518
2029 103,085 104,304 103,733 104,894 114,636 114,222 124,120 131,560 126,769 121,629
2030 103,898 105,753 105,813 106,230 115,196 114,871 123,488 133,118 129,466 123,757
2031 104,597 107,102 107,587 108,297 115,398 116,105 122,639 134,595 131,901 125,438
2032 105,213 108,334 109,311 110,171 115,912 117,731 122,180 135,261 134,412 127,248
2033 105,763 109,434 110,971 112,182 116,395 119,471 122,107 135,475 136,847 128,967
2034 106,276 110,407 112,553 114,288 117,340 120,520 122,945 134,981 138,864 131,162
2035 106,774 111,253 114,041 116,465 118,814 121,249 123,644 134,398 140,426 133,799
2036 107,278 111,987 115,431 118,339 120,981 121,663 124,891 133,630 141,896 136,185
2037 107,814 112,638 116,707 120,158 122,999 122,317 126,525 133,284 142,586 138,629
2038 108,404 113,227 117,849 121,912 125,143 122,945 128,293 133,319 142,818 141,013
2039 109,058 113,778 118,865 123,583 127,374 123,982 129,471 134,195 142,377 142,988
2040 109,793 114,316 119,755 125,164 129,657 125,439 130,408 134,960 141,825 144,540
2041 110,610 114,865 120,532 126,647 131,651 127,520 131,060 136,257 141,102 145,988
Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10.4
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
PEEL
Age Groups 50-54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total
2015 111,616 94,072 75,952 62,983 43,535 30,966 19,993 11,770 6,583 1,438,770
2016 112,221 97,864 78,973 65,990 46,566 32,549 21,155 12,411 7,206 1,466,743
2017 111,833 101,217 82,444 67,461 50,954 34,322 22,336 13,024 7,764 1,494,732
2018 110,910 104,768 86,036 69,314 54,599 36,496 23,658 13,661 8,356 1,522,107
2019 109,901 107,847 89,328 71,693 57,960 38,750 25,068 14,420 8,892 1,549,087
2020 108,531 109,865 92,648 74,824 61,295 40,876 26,573 15,262 9,551 1,575,794
2021 108,280 110,413 96,290 77,694 64,068 43,704 27,950 16,174 10,230 1,602,522
2022 108,292 110,007 99,481 80,985 65,411 47,781 29,482 17,086 10,845 1,629,271
2023 107,792 109,090 102,875 84,404 67,151 51,195 31,361 18,112 11,499 1,656,039
2024 107,364 108,119 105,829 87,559 69,411 54,326 33,314 19,213 12,197 1,682,804
2025 107,840 106,883 107,758 90,749 72,391 57,415 35,176 20,396 13,036 1,709,544
2026 108,560 106,733 108,290 94,226 75,158 60,003 37,637 21,493 13,932 1,736,304
2027 109,622 106,822 107,924 97,264 78,307 61,321 41,197 22,706 14,784 1,763,055
2028 110,852 106,438 107,066 100,509 81,569 63,015 44,202 24,199 15,738 1,789,761
2029 112,541 106,105 106,167 103,354 84,598 65,191 46,951 25,760 16,771 1,816,390
2030 113,851 106,601 105,087 105,220 87,664 68,022 49,655 27,271 17,945 1,842,906
2031 115,564 107,289 105,051 105,762 90,992 70,680 51,944 29,253 19,091 1,869,285
2032 117,531 108,349 105,229 105,458 93,897 73,674 53,189 32,128 20,285 1,895,513
2033 119,882 109,577 104,963 104,688 97,015 76,762 54,765 34,571 21,739 1,921,574
2034 122,001 111,245 104,730 103,897 99,765 79,650 56,766 36,793 23,281 1,947,464
2035 124,126 112,580 105,257 102,985 101,587 82,593 59,341 38,974 24,876 1,973,182
2036 125,815 114,326 105,930 103,064 102,160 85,765 61,772 40,845 26,769 1,998,727
2037 127,618 116,288 106,994 103,331 101,943 88,537 64,481 41,943 29,321 2,024,113
2038 129,296 118,628 108,226 103,188 101,279 91,514 67,272 43,312 31,701 2,049,339
2039 131,441 120,737 109,881 103,061 100,598 94,155 69,897 45,031 33,939 2,074,411
2040 134,002 122,844 111,247 103,631 99,845 95,935 72,609 47,211 36,157 2,099,338
2041 136,322 124,531 113,023 104,314 100,034 96,540 75,506 49,283 38,345 2,124,130

Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10.5
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
YORK
Age Groups 0-4 to 45-49
Year 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49
2015 59,930 66,431 70,048 76,002 80,114 73,641 68,234 72,103 82,964 89,848
2016 60,881 66,808 70,865 75,364 81,199 75,806 70,064 72,576 81,448 89,797
2017 62,045 67,154 71,919 75,363 81,724 77,347 72,382 73,690 80,412 89,847
2018 63,405 67,460 72,987 75,547 82,030 78,930 74,539 75,303 80,102 88,874
2019 64,903 68,162 73,900 76,373 81,577 80,210 77,093 77,123 80,011 87,862
2020 66,497 69,099 74,602 77,257 81,021 81,459 79,738 79,192 80,366 87,200
2021 68,012 70,506 75,266 78,304 80,481 82,636 81,839 81,257 81,542 86,149
2022 69,538 72,028 75,847 79,616 80,493 83,226 83,480 83,555 83,145 85,610
2023 71,041 73,695 76,352 80,939 80,765 83,503 85,162 85,569 85,195 85,699
2024 72,493 75,436 77,227 82,025 81,634 83,068 86,517 87,927 87,261 86,035
2025 73,873 77,210 78,313 82,869 82,556 82,501 87,742 90,345 89,414 86,728
2026 75,163 78,841 79,921 83,636 83,681 81,916 88,904 92,361 91,443 88,211
2027 76,341 80,465 81,630 84,339 85,100 81,822 89,532 94,064 93,649 90,026
2028 77,393 82,056 83,482 84,982 86,560 82,075 89,760 95,833 95,543 92,283
2029 78,317 83,586 85,401 86,004 87,760 82,858 89,371 97,294 97,823 94,471
2030 79,116 85,036 87,352 87,247 88,760 83,703 88,820 98,607 100,206 96,694
2031 79,795 86,395 89,118 89,037 89,652 84,793 88,227 99,855 102,242 98,722
2032 80,380 87,636 90,864 90,912 90,493 86,202 88,098 100,568 104,034 100,891
2033 80,886 88,749 92,566 92,920 91,288 87,694 88,329 100,828 105,904 102,727
2034 81,342 89,735 94,197 94,987 92,438 88,905 89,108 100,494 107,459 104,968
2035 81,776 90,595 95,741 97,077 93,801 89,984 89,912 99,976 108,846 107,344
2036 82,222 91,335 97,191 98,965 95,692 90,917 91,029 99,406 110,156 109,401
2037 82,702 91,983 98,521 100,823 97,654 91,793 92,486 99,303 110,914 111,252
2038 83,247 92,556 99,716 102,629 99,737 92,633 94,037 99,576 111,184 113,186
2039 83,873 93,082 100,785 104,359 101,868 93,795 95,309 100,420 110,868 114,795
2040 84,589 93,588 101,725 106,001 104,016 95,160 96,472 101,272 110,360 116,222
2041 85,395 94,109 102,547 107,548 105,964 97,004 97,480 102,483 109,795 117,563
Ontario Population Projections Update, 2015–2041
Table 10.5
Population by five-year age group, 2015–2041 – reference scenario
YORK
Age Groups 50-54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85-89 90+ Total
2015 94,260 81,155 65,576 56,385 37,693 28,527 19,503 11,265 6,345 1,140,024
2016 94,332 83,893 68,387 58,822 40,343 29,735 20,473 12,199 6,881 1,159,873
2017 93,690 86,434 71,387 59,607 44,706 30,965 21,529 13,023 7,370 1,180,594
2018 92,647 89,135 74,600 60,969 48,612 32,293 22,613 13,900 7,944 1,201,890
2019 91,724 91,641 77,584 62,772 52,082 33,792 23,779 14,708 8,595 1,223,891
2020 91,040 93,170 80,172 65,268 55,317 35,463 24,990 15,446 9,368 1,246,665
2021 91,201 93,326 82,909 68,063 57,697 37,915 26,065 16,284 10,198 1,269,650
2022 91,409 92,750 85,402 71,037 58,541 41,939 27,147 17,171 10,905 1,292,839
2023 90,683 91,763 88,067 74,200 59,929 45,534 28,337 18,082 11,704 1,316,219
2024 89,872 90,888 90,531 77,133 61,756 48,728 29,692 19,050 12,492 1,339,765
2025 89,407 90,247 92,015 79,720 64,236 51,719 31,200 20,039 13,316 1,363,450
2026 88,595 90,453 92,195 82,441 66,984 53,966 33,389 20,941 14,246 1,387,287
2027 88,328 90,714 91,663 84,894 69,898 54,862 36,946 21,851 15,122 1,411,246
2028 88,626 90,140 90,716 87,539 72,978 56,254 40,122 22,871 16,082 1,435,295
2029 89,203 89,475 89,888 89,985 75,842 58,058 42,951 24,032 17,075 1,459,394
2030 90,109 89,158 89,313 91,463 78,422 60,459 45,623 25,324 18,099 1,483,511
2031 91,775 88,526 89,575 91,697 81,124 63,092 47,673 27,174 19,141 1,507,613
2032 93,704 88,450 89,906 91,230 83,542 65,868 48,583 30,155 20,158 1,531,674
2033 96,062 88,885 89,482 90,343 86,168 68,792 49,924 32,805 21,316 1,555,668
2034 98,295 89,616 88,961 89,576 88,589 71,516 51,634 35,157 22,603 1,579,580
2035 100,535 90,642 88,784 89,073 90,062 74,021 53,865 37,372 23,993 1,603,399
2036 102,542 92,389 88,314 89,402 90,345 76,638 56,294 39,100 25,792 1,627,130
2037 104,665 94,354 88,405 89,808 89,937 78,965 58,851 39,971 28,390 1,650,777
2038 106,447 96,740 88,964 89,526 89,128 81,510 61,536 41,199 30,786 1,674,337
2039 108,651 98,969 89,827 89,143 88,443 83,854 64,050 42,739 32,997 1,697,827
2040 111,007 101,192 90,952 89,100 88,030 85,297 66,405 44,718 35,156 1,721,262
2041 113,061 103,161 92,765 88,783 88,435 85,628 68,860 46,854 37,217 1,744,652

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2015, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Notes:

1. Population as of July 1.

2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

LIST OF TABLES