Historical and projected population by census division, selected years – reference scenario

Table 4 - Ontario Population Projections, 2013–2041
Table 4
Historical and projected population by census division, selected years – reference scenario
(Thousands) Historical Projected
Region & Census Division 2006 2011 2013 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036 2041
Greater Toronto Area (GTA) 5,795.8 6,254.6 6,450.2 6,739.5 7,253.5 7,798.8 8,345.9 8,881.4 9,403.1
Toronto 2,609.2 2,704.6 2,771.8 2,870.8 3,030.9 3,196.2 3,354.4 3,502.6 3,639.3
Durham 584.3 626.8 645.0 669.5 716.8 771.5 830.8 892.4 956.3
Halton 457.7 517.2 539.4 572.7 634.3 702.6 775.7 851.9 931.5
Peel 1,212.8 1,340.5 1,387.9 1,457.6 1,586.1 1,721.4 1,855.6 1,986.0 2,112.1
York 931.8 1,065.5 1,106.1 1,169.0 1,285.4 1,407.1 1,529.3 1,648.5 1,763.9
Central (Excluding GTA) 2,790.2 2,862.1 2,909.0 2,976.7 3,101.7 3,235.5 3,367.8 3,492.0 3,608.5
Brant 135.9 139.9 141.7 144.7 150.4 156.6 162.7 168.5 174.1
Dufferin 56.5 58.5 58.9 60.2 63.1 66.6 70.4 74.1 77.8
Haldimand-Norfolk 112.4 111.8 110.9 110.4 110.4 110.6 110.4 109.9 108.9
Haliburton 16.6 17.4 18.1 18.6 19.4 20.2 20.9 21.7 22.4
Hamilton 523.6 535.6 545.6 558.8 581.6 606.4 631.5 655.3 677.6
Muskoka 59.6 61.1 61.9 62.8 64.7 66.9 69.0 70.9 72.7
Niagara 442.4 442.8 445.4 449.4 457.9 468.1 478.2 487.2 495.2
Northumberland 83.5 84.1 85.1 86.4 88.9 91.4 93.7 95.7 97.3
Peterborough 137.6 138.5 139.0 140.6 144.2 148.0 151.6 154.7 157.4
Simcoe 438.3 458.9 472.2 489.0 519.1 551.0 582.8 613.2 642.3
Kawartha Lakes 76.9 74.9 75.9 76.9 78.6 80.2 81.7 82.8 83.5
Waterloo 498.5 523.8 534.8 552.6 584.7 618.0 650.9 682.5 712.7
Wellington 208.4 214.7 219.6 226.4 238.7 251.5 263.9 275.6 286.5
Eastern 1,668.2 1,750.0 1,775.4 1,820.9 1,912.1 2,007.3 2,098.2 2,180.8 2,257.2
Ottawa 845.9 912.2 934.3 972.0 1,044.8 1,121.6 1,198.0 1,271.1 1,341.2
Frontenac 149.3 154.3 155.3 159.0 166.4 173.8 180.7 186.8 192.3
Hastings 136.6 138.4 138.1 137.4 137.5 137.8 137.8 137.1 136.1
Lanark 65.9 67.3 67.4 67.9 69.3 70.8 72.2 73.4 74.4
Leeds & Grenville 102.4 101.8 101.9 102.5 104.1 105.8 107.0 107.5 107.5
Lennox & Addington 41.9 42.9 44.4 45.1 46.1 47.0 47.6 48.0 48.2
Prescott & Russell 83.2 87.8 89.3 91.5 95.9 100.3 103.9 106.5 108.4
Prince Edward 26.2 25.8 25.4 25.6 26.4 27.0 27.6 28.0 28.2
Renfrew 101.1 104.1 104.0 104.6 106.4 108.0 109.0 109.3 109.0
Stormont, Dundas & Glengarry 115.6 115.6 115.4 115.2 115.2 115.2 114.5 113.3 111.7
Southwestern 1,590.7 1,589.2 1,600.2 1,612.5 1,638.6 1,667.6 1,694.2 1,716.5 1,735.2
Bruce 67.4 67.8 67.8 68.3 69.2 69.9 70.2 70.2 70.2
Elgin 88.6 89.8 90.4 91.4 93.6 95.9 97.7 99.1 100.3
Essex 408.8 399.7 402.1 401.2 400.5 401.2 402.3 402.7 402.3
Grey 95.4 94.8 95.0 95.8 98.1 100.4 102.3 103.8 104.9
Huron 61.3 60.5 58.5 57.6 57.0 56.6 56.1 55.5 54.7
Chatham-Kent 112.4 106.7 105.7 104.3 102.4 100.9 99.4 97.9 96.3
Lambton 132.6 131.4 130.3 129.5 129.0 128.6 128.1 127.2 126.1
Middlesex 440.7 452.8 461.7 473.4 494.5 516.6 538.3 558.8 578.3
Oxford 106.5 108.7 110.7 112.7 115.4 117.8 119.6 120.7 121.3
Perth 77.1 77.1 77.9 78.3 79.0 79.7 80.3 80.6 80.7
Northeastern 571.6 567.1 563.5 560.0 557.2 554.5 550.7 545.6 540.1
Algoma 121.2 119.3 117.6 115.8 113.8 112.0 110.2 108.2 106.2
Cochrane 86.9 83.3 82.3 81.1 79.4 77.9 76.3 74.7 73.1
Manitoulin 13.0 13.3 13.5 13.6 13.8 13.8 13.8 13.7 13.6
Nipissing 87.4 87.6 87.4 87.7 88.5 89.3 89.8 90.1 90.3
Parry Sound 42.4 43.2 43.1 43.2 43.4 43.6 43.6 43.5 43.3
Greater Sudbury 163.8 164.9 165.1 165.1 165.7 166.3 166.5 166.0 165.2
Sudbury 22.5 21.6 21.1 20.5 19.8 19.2 18.6 17.9 17.3
Timiskaming 34.3 33.9 33.5 33.1 32.6 32.3 31.9 31.5 31.2
Northwestern 245.0 240.5 239.8 239.2 239.5 239.7 239.2 237.7 235.6
Kenora 68.6 69.6 70.0 70.1 70.7 71.3 71.7 72.1 72.4
Rainy River 22.3 20.9 20.2 19.8 19.3 18.9 18.5 17.9 17.4
Thunder Bay 154.1 150.0 149.6 149.3 149.5 149.5 149.0 147.7 145.8
Ontario 12,661.6 13,263.5 13,538.0 13,948.8 14,702.6 15,503.3 16,296.0 17,054.1 17,779.6
Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2006-2013, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.
Notes: 1. Year as of July 1.
  2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

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