| Ontario Population Projections Update, 2010-2036 | |||||||||
| Table 6 | |||||||||
| Historical and projected Ontario population by census division, selected years Reference scenario (Thousands) |
|||||||||
| Historical | Projected | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Region & Census Division | 2001 | 2006 | 2010 | 2011 | 2016 | 2021 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 |
| Greater Toronto Area (GTA) | 5,297.4 | 5,798.1 | 6,226.9 | 6,335.2 | 6,881.1 | 7,446.4 | 8,029.5 | 8,614.5 | 9,195.2 |
| Toronto | 2,584.0 | 2,610.6 | 2,720.0 | 2,760.0 | 2,913.8 | 3,040.4 | 3,158.1 | 3,265.2 | 3,363.9 |
| Durham | 527.6 | 584.4 | 620.4 | 628.9 | 683.1 | 751.5 | 828.3 | 909.4 | 992.8 |
| Halton | 390.9 | 457.8 | 506.9 | 519.9 | 591.8 | 673.7 | 762.2 | 854.1 | 947.6 |
| Peel | 1,032.1 | 1,213.5 | 1,339.0 | 1,364.8 | 1,516.9 | 1,681.7 | 1,850.8 | 2,020.2 | 2,188.7 |
| York | 762.7 | 931.9 | 1,040.5 | 1,061.7 | 1,175.5 | 1,299.0 | 1,430.2 | 1,565.6 | 1,702.1 |
| Central (Excluding GTA) | 2,627.4 | 2,791.2 | 2,859.6 | 2,886.7 | 3,033.9 | 3,197.4 | 3,373.3 | 3,549.8 | 3,723.0 |
| Brant | 128.9 | 136.0 | 139.4 | 140.5 | 147.5 | 156.2 | 165.4 | 174.5 | 183.4 |
| Dufferin | 53.1 | 56.5 | 58.4 | 58.9 | 62.3 | 66.8 | 71.8 | 76.8 | 81.6 |
| Haldimand-Norfolk | 109.5 | 112.4 | 111.2 | 111.1 | 111.4 | 112.0 | 112.7 | 113.0 | 113.0 |
| Haliburton | 15.7 | 16.6 | 16.9 | 17.0 | 17.8 | 18.6 | 19.5 | 20.3 | 21.0 |
| Hamilton | 510.1 | 523.8 | 533.3 | 536.9 | 553.5 | 571.1 | 591.6 | 613.6 | 636.2 |
| Muskoka | 55.5 | 59.6 | 60.7 | 61.5 | 64.9 | 68.2 | 71.4 | 74.3 | 76.7 |
| Niagara | 426.8 | 442.5 | 443.9 | 446.3 | 459.7 | 475.5 | 493.4 | 511.6 | 529.2 |
| Northumberland | 80.5 | 83.5 | 84.4 | 84.6 | 86.3 | 89.2 | 92.4 | 95.7 | 98.8 |
| Peterborough | 130.9 | 137.6 | 138.4 | 139.6 | 146.1 | 153.4 | 160.9 | 168.0 | 174.5 |
| Simcoe | 392.8 | 438.5 | 457.4 | 463.5 | 499.2 | 540.6 | 585.3 | 630.2 | 674.7 |
| Kawartha Lakes | 72.0 | 76.9 | 76.5 | 76.8 | 79.1 | 81.5 | 84.0 | 86.4 | 88.8 |
| Waterloo | 456.7 | 498.7 | 523.0 | 531.7 | 576.0 | 621.5 | 668.0 | 713.9 | 758.8 |
| Wellington | 195.0 | 208.6 | 216.2 | 218.4 | 230.1 | 242.8 | 256.8 | 271.4 | 286.2 |
| Eastern | 1,609.1 | 1,668.1 | 1,723.1 | 1,741.5 | 1,831.8 | 1,926.9 | 2,023.7 | 2,115.2 | 2,200.4 |
| Ottawa | 806.9 | 845.9 | 896.5 | 911.7 | 984.5 | 1,061.6 | 1,141.3 | 1,219.8 | 1,295.6 |
| Frontenac | 144.1 | 149.3 | 153.7 | 155.4 | 162.6 | 170.1 | 177.7 | 185.2 | 192.3 |
| Hastings | 132.2 | 136.6 | 135.8 | 136.0 | 138.2 | 140.6 | 142.6 | 144.0 | 144.8 |
| Lanark | 65.0 | 65.9 | 65.5 | 65.4 | 65.8 | 67.1 | 68.4 | 69.6 | 70.6 |
| Leeds & Grenville | 100.4 | 102.5 | 102.7 | 103.0 | 104.5 | 105.8 | 106.8 | 107.2 | 106.9 |
| Lennox & Addington | 40.9 | 41.9 | 42.0 | 42.1 | 42.7 | 43.2 | 43.6 | 43.9 | 44.0 |
| Prescott & Russell | 79.5 | 83.2 | 84.8 | 85.2 | 88.7 | 92.3 | 95.7 | 98.2 | 99.8 |
| Prince Edward | 25.8 | 26.2 | 26.7 | 26.8 | 26.9 | 27.2 | 27.6 | 28.0 | 28.4 |
| Renfrew | 98.8 | 101.0 | 101.2 | 101.8 | 104.5 | 106.9 | 108.9 | 110.0 | 110.6 |
| Stormont, Dundas & Glengarry | 115.3 | 115.6 | 114.2 | 114.1 | 113.3 | 112.1 | 111.0 | 109.4 | 107.4 |
| Southwestern | 1,541.7 | 1,591.2 | 1,595.8 | 1,602.0 | 1,640.1 | 1,684.9 | 1,732.5 | 1,777.5 | 1,819.1 |
| Bruce | 66.4 | 67.4 | 67.0 | 67.1 | 67.8 | 68.8 | 69.7 | 70.2 | 70.4 |
| Elgin | 84.7 | 88.7 | 90.0 | 90.6 | 94.7 | 99.0 | 103.1 | 106.6 | 109.5 |
| Essex | 390.7 | 408.9 | 401.9 | 401.9 | 404.1 | 408.2 | 413.9 | 420.0 | 425.9 |
| Grey | 92.6 | 95.4 | 96.2 | 96.5 | 98.8 | 101.5 | 104.3 | 106.8 | 109.0 |
| Huron | 62.0 | 61.3 | 60.5 | 60.4 | 60.2 | 60.1 | 60.2 | 59.9 | 59.5 |
| Chatham-Kent | 111.9 | 112.4 | 109.5 | 109.4 | 109.9 | 110.2 | 110.3 | 110.0 | 109.5 |
| Lambton | 131.8 | 132.6 | 132.1 | 132.1 | 133.1 | 135.1 | 137.1 | 138.7 | 140.0 |
| Middlesex | 422.0 | 440.9 | 454.9 | 459.9 | 485.8 | 514.2 | 544.0 | 573.8 | 603.0 |
| Oxford | 103.2 | 106.6 | 106.9 | 107.1 | 108.8 | 110.7 | 112.5 | 114.0 | 115.0 |
| Perth | 76.5 | 77.1 | 76.9 | 76.9 | 77.0 | 77.1 | 77.3 | 77.4 | 77.3 |
| Northeastern | 574.5 | 571.6 | 564.6 | 564.6 | 567.1 | 570.4 | 573.1 | 573.8 | 572.7 |
| Algoma | 123.8 | 121.2 | 119.0 | 118.6 | 117.5 | 116.7 | 115.9 | 114.9 | 113.5 |
| Cochrane | 89.5 | 86.9 | 84.6 | 84.3 | 83.4 | 82.7 | 82.1 | 81.1 | 80.0 |
| Manitoulin | 13.2 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 13.6 | 13.6 | 13.7 |
| Nipissing | 86.3 | 87.4 | 86.5 | 86.7 | 87.9 | 89.1 | 90.1 | 90.8 | 91.2 |
| Parry Sound | 41.2 | 42.4 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 42.5 | 43.3 | 44.0 | 44.8 | 45.4 |
| Greater Sudbury | 161.1 | 163.8 | 164.4 | 165.0 | 168.6 | 172.0 | 174.9 | 176.9 | 178.1 |
| Sudbury | 23.7 | 22.0 | 21.5 | 21.3 | 20.7 | 20.3 | 20.0 | 19.7 | 19.3 |
| Timiskaming | 35.7 | 34.3 | 33.2 | 33.1 | 32.9 | 32.8 | 32.5 | 32.1 | 31.6 |
| Northwestern | 246.5 | 245.0 | 240.6 | 240.6 | 241.1 | 241.5 | 241.6 | 240.6 | 238.4 |
| Kenora | 66.5 | 68.6 | 67.9 | 68.3 | 70.5 | 72.4 | 73.7 | 74.4 | 74.8 |
| Rainy River | 22.9 | 22.3 | 21.3 | 21.2 | 21.0 | 20.7 | 20.5 | 20.2 | 19.7 |
| Thunder Bay | 157.0 | 154.2 | 151.4 | 151.1 | 149.7 | 148.4 | 147.4 | 146.0 | 144.0 |
| Ontario | 11,896.7 | 12,665.3 | 13,210.7 | 13,370.6 | 14,195.1 | 15,067.5 | 15,973.7 | 16,871.3 | 17,748.8 |
| Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2001-2010, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections. | |||||||||
| Notes: | |||||||||
| 1. Year as of July 1. | |||||||||
| 2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. | |||||||||