Ontario Population Projections Update, 2016–2041
Table 7: Total population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 – reference scenario

Table 7: Total population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2016 731,676 745,455 742,428 834,001 992,846 977,187 946,746 908,855 904,402 954,446
2017 742,340 749,264 752,584 827,956 1,007,463 1,015,217 973,953 931,942 910,372 953,205
2018 754,842 751,552 764,472 822,250 1,007,533 1,043,458 992,199 957,071 917,234 948,956
2019 768,046 756,551 771,616 823,358 999,256 1,060,486 1,014,528 978,936 928,068 941,499
2020 781,379 763,514 778,468 823,003 985,007 1,067,850 1,038,758 999,200 938,633 936,749
2021 794,949 773,007 782,140 827,142 966,212 1,068,560 1,058,981 1,015,794 953,603 928,833
2022 809,038 782,248 784,195 836,213 952,858 1,062,385 1,079,265 1,032,524 969,366 929,367
2023 820,996 793,791 785,513 847,897 944,188 1,051,984 1,097,784 1,045,163 990,455 933,306
2024 831,309 806,443 789,938 855,243 943,976 1,037,026 1,108,389 1,063,738 1,009,662 942,232
2025 840,038 819,680 796,790 862,739 943,831 1,019,835 1,112,757 1,086,140 1,028,662 951,902
2026 847,289 833,602 806,643 867,479 949,551 1,001,707 1,113,865 1,106,638 1,045,494 966,997
2027 853,153 848,033 816,248 870,565 960,210 988,914 1,108,229 1,127,201 1,062,466 982,869
2028 857,512 860,380 828,126 872,940 973,459 980,750 1,098,424 1,146,057 1,075,416 1,004,034
2029 860,457 871,100 841,090 878,452 982,391 980,958 1,084,145 1,157,126 1,094,224 1,023,315
2030 862,074 880,289 854,639 886,355 991,448 981,224 1,067,685 1,162,044 1,116,772 1,042,409
2031 862,573 888,007 868,887 897,249 997,750 987,254 1,050,295 1,163,779 1,137,470 1,059,342
2032 862,289 894,359 883,635 907,916 1,002,411 998,175 1,038,146 1,158,873 1,158,220 1,076,426
2033 861,532 899,201 896,306 920,836 1,006,382 1,011,611 1,030,569 1,149,900 1,177,230 1,089,555
2034 860,605 902,605 907,392 934,837 1,013,499 1,020,775 1,031,211 1,136,473 1,188,598 1,108,441
2035 859,866 904,691 916,918 949,451 1,023,007 1,030,044 1,031,910 1,120,870 1,193,918 1,131,001
2036 859,587 905,665 924,984 964,749 1,035,475 1,036,593 1,038,275 1,104,388 1,196,064 1,151,716
2037 859,975 905,870 931,685 980,533 1,047,691 1,041,553 1,049,458 1,093,024 1,191,703 1,172,480
2038 861,224 905,606 936,880 994,226 1,062,138 1,045,863 1,063,100 1,086,157 1,183,320 1,191,574
2039 863,438 905,179 940,656 1,006,337 1,077,703 1,053,245 1,072,540 1,087,362 1,170,565 1,203,102
2040 866,665 904,940 943,120 1,016,894 1,093,868 1,062,968 1,082,066 1,088,623 1,155,678 1,208,666
2041 870,863 905,163 944,468 1,025,990 1,110,728 1,075,580 1,088,909 1,095,444 1,139,906 1,211,107
Table 7: Total population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2016 1,078,190 1,015,318 861,626 746,945 539,963 400,808 293,860 192,995 115,237 13,982,984
2017 1,057,075 1,038,776 893,576 753,658 585,885 416,135 299,820 198,459 121,866 14,229,546
2018 1,026,700 1,063,029 923,746 767,965 623,787 434,525 308,045 203,072 128,538 14,438,974
2019 997,499 1,082,671 951,045 790,412 656,454 453,384 318,724 207,139 134,614 14,634,286
2020 974,710 1,089,263 977,127 818,355 688,934 472,445 328,773 211,550 141,238 14,814,956
2021 966,374 1,076,661 1,006,114 845,439 715,351 496,855 339,950 216,237 148,220 14,980,422
2022 961,410 1,053,340 1,027,637 875,927 722,150 539,690 353,811 221,719 154,060 15,147,203
2023 955,246 1,022,225 1,050,724 905,146 736,345 575,298 370,498 228,976 159,609 15,315,144
2024 946,677 992,865 1,069,711 931,846 758,379 606,092 387,685 238,075 164,593 15,483,879
2025 941,520 970,358 1,076,367 957,683 785,840 636,699 405,057 246,797 170,413 15,653,108
2026 934,043 962,591 1,064,678 986,612 812,687 661,949 427,317 256,496 176,825 15,822,463
2027 934,895 958,070 1,042,507 1,008,329 842,759 669,834 465,951 268,183 183,139 15,991,555
2028 939,096 952,350 1,012,730 1,031,624 871,646 684,512 498,232 282,237 190,496 16,160,021
2029 948,194 944,277 984,672 1,050,919 898,209 706,379 526,106 296,761 198,753 16,327,528
2030 958,035 939,599 963,310 1,058,263 924,036 733,292 553,648 311,341 207,325 16,493,788
2031 973,250 932,629 956,313 1,047,802 952,811 759,621 576,667 330,008 216,884 16,658,591
2032 989,233 933,825 952,420 1,027,074 974,741 788,928 585,457 362,061 227,646 16,821,835
2033 1,010,444 938,287 947,319 999,055 998,202 817,207 600,179 388,944 240,641 16,983,400
2034 1,029,783 947,566 939,927 972,720 1,017,841 843,386 621,148 412,038 254,413 17,143,258
2035 1,048,953 957,597 935,849 952,855 1,026,041 869,032 646,613 434,583 268,228 17,301,427
2036 1,065,989 972,910 929,528 946,891 1,017,121 897,405 671,542 453,726 285,397 17,458,005
2037 1,083,153 989,003 931,166 943,808 998,293 919,413 699,089 462,835 312,370 17,613,102
2038 1,096,398 1,010,220 936,010 939,516 972,542 942,919 725,835 476,678 336,678 17,766,884
2039 1,115,334 1,029,594 945,576 932,975 948,459 962,827 750,812 495,434 358,351 17,919,489
2040 1,137,911 1,048,814 955,892 929,719 930,507 971,986 775,537 517,933 379,286 18,071,073
2041 1,158,682 1,065,928 971,380 924,270 925,865 964,974 802,679 539,947 399,917 18,221,800

Table 7: Male population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2016 375,704 381,310 380,809 429,521 509,462 485,900 462,169 443,730 442,981 471,158
2017 381,261 383,529 385,698 426,521 519,356 506,584 476,705 455,172 445,392 470,316
2018 387,633 385,019 391,536 423,767 520,575 522,513 485,800 467,809 448,249 467,629
2019 394,345 387,793 394,924 424,497 517,041 532,873 497,226 478,790 453,322 463,007
2020 401,135 391,831 398,069 423,772 510,368 538,655 509,345 488,818 458,635 459,678
2021 408,100 396,823 399,995 425,499 501,130 540,171 520,071 496,742 465,978 454,983
2022 415,347 401,639 401,327 429,847 494,314 538,376 530,680 505,436 473,283 454,300
2023 421,500 407,514 402,316 435,604 490,070 533,728 541,112 511,430 483,647 455,500
2024 426,802 413,954 404,799 439,117 490,152 526,446 547,822 520,764 493,128 459,480
2025 431,291 420,697 408,764 442,614 489,611 518,102 551,819 531,862 502,437 464,272
2026 435,018 427,849 413,931 445,114 492,222 509,219 553,445 542,713 510,456 471,682
2027 438,027 435,280 418,939 446,993 497,459 502,677 551,839 553,431 519,250 479,044
2028 440,266 441,624 424,997 448,544 504,097 498,656 547,425 563,984 525,392 489,426
2029 441,774 447,130 431,599 451,607 508,490 498,889 540,446 570,881 534,824 498,936
2030 442,611 451,847 438,512 456,129 512,868 498,501 532,421 575,094 545,980 508,279
2031 442,874 455,801 445,836 461,847 516,248 501,202 523,847 576,995 556,902 516,339
2032 442,727 459,063 453,415 467,423 519,018 506,481 517,563 575,723 567,687 525,170
2033 442,345 461,546 459,918 474,031 521,480 513,107 513,758 571,709 578,272 531,398
2034 441,874 463,291 465,610 481,192 525,436 517,532 514,120 565,145 585,283 540,859
2035 441,493 464,368 470,496 488,670 530,845 521,927 513,865 557,549 589,648 552,011
2036 441,347 464,871 474,629 496,549 537,432 525,357 516,633 549,415 591,727 562,919
2037 441,542 464,970 478,073 504,682 543,870 528,188 521,942 543,516 590,717 573,687
2038 442,188 464,832 480,743 511,730 551,340 530,740 528,565 540,048 586,994 584,278
2039 443,334 464,608 482,682 517,963 559,375 534,747 533,031 540,667 580,780 591,341
2040 444,992 464,485 483,951 523,403 567,705 540,182 537,466 540,679 573,561 595,810
2041 447,154 464,592 484,654 528,085 576,436 546,741 540,953 543,673 565,802 598,035
Table 7: Male population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2016 538,975 501,914 418,022 358,505 253,631 181,759 127,179 74,816 34,085 6,871,630
2017 527,441 514,494 434,328 361,625 275,780 189,059 130,390 77,943 36,921 6,998,515
2018 510,837 527,406 450,178 368,440 293,951 197,856 134,505 80,761 39,803 7,104,267
2019 494,739 537,719 464,914 379,119 309,557 207,145 139,312 83,292 42,543 7,202,158
2020 482,195 541,005 478,711 392,778 325,033 216,640 143,811 85,817 45,643 7,291,939
2021 476,220 535,123 493,723 405,859 337,913 228,655 149,025 88,343 48,924 7,373,277
2022 473,158 522,254 505,130 421,323 341,170 249,142 155,619 91,202 51,745 7,455,292
2023 469,347 505,250 517,341 436,645 347,994 266,098 163,558 94,743 54,496 7,537,893
2024 464,086 489,088 527,276 451,031 358,498 280,717 171,952 98,774 57,033 7,620,919
2025 460,534 476,725 530,608 464,701 371,917 295,218 180,514 102,628 59,862 7,704,176
2026 456,094 471,117 525,259 479,681 384,897 307,508 191,327 107,070 62,880 7,787,482
2027 455,607 468,313 513,087 491,203 400,134 311,434 209,528 112,513 65,867 7,870,625
2028 456,951 464,771 496,886 503,541 415,247 318,593 224,722 119,072 69,251 7,953,445
2029 461,023 459,801 481,499 513,659 429,511 329,066 237,822 125,978 72,834 8,035,769
2030 465,896 456,526 469,795 517,399 443,159 342,220 250,739 132,984 76,502 8,117,462
2031 473,349 452,374 464,657 512,747 458,051 354,976 261,884 141,815 80,663 8,198,407
2032 480,767 452,075 462,211 501,434 469,686 369,799 266,354 156,537 85,454 8,278,587
2033 491,162 453,572 459,026 486,290 482,128 384,575 273,585 168,878 91,182 8,357,962
2034 500,688 457,733 454,448 471,942 492,461 398,603 283,628 179,476 97,227 8,436,548
2035 510,058 462,699 451,517 461,149 496,726 412,138 296,044 189,818 103,333 8,514,354
2036 518,168 470,188 447,739 456,655 492,990 426,804 308,129 198,937 110,904 8,591,393
2037 527,033 477,649 447,701 454,686 482,845 438,495 322,014 203,537 122,653 8,667,800
2038 533,323 488,026 449,413 451,975 469,099 450,974 335,927 210,278 133,202 8,743,675
2039 542,794 497,562 453,717 447,902 456,127 461,485 349,230 219,154 142,600 8,819,099
2040 553,939 506,948 458,832 445,452 446,493 466,324 362,220 229,980 151,726 8,894,148
2041 564,867 515,089 466,405 442,178 442,847 463,665 376,197 240,555 160,959 8,968,887

Table 7: Female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2016 355,972 364,145 361,619 404,480 483,384 491,287 484,577 465,125 461,421 483,288
2017 361,079 365,735 366,886 401,435 488,107 508,633 497,248 476,770 464,980 482,889
2018 367,209 366,533 372,936 398,483 486,958 520,945 506,399 489,262 468,985 481,327
2019 373,701 368,758 376,692 398,861 482,215 527,613 517,302 500,146 474,746 478,492
2020 380,244 371,683 380,399 399,231 474,639 529,195 529,413 510,382 479,998 477,071
2021 386,849 376,184 382,145 401,643 465,082 528,389 538,910 519,052 487,625 473,850
2022 393,691 380,609 382,868 406,366 458,544 524,009 548,585 527,088 496,083 475,067
2023 399,496 386,277 383,197 412,293 454,118 518,256 556,672 533,733 506,808 477,806
2024 404,507 392,489 385,139 416,126 453,824 510,580 560,567 542,974 516,534 482,752
2025 408,747 398,983 388,026 420,125 454,220 501,733 560,938 554,278 526,225 487,630
2026 412,271 405,753 392,712 422,365 457,329 492,488 560,420 563,925 535,038 495,315
2027 415,126 412,753 397,309 423,572 462,751 486,237 556,390 573,770 543,216 503,825
2028 417,246 418,756 403,129 424,396 469,362 482,094 550,999 582,073 550,024 514,608
2029 418,683 423,970 409,491 426,845 473,901 482,069 543,699 586,245 559,400 524,379
2030 419,463 428,442 416,127 430,226 478,580 482,723 535,264 586,950 570,792 534,130
2031 419,699 432,206 423,051 435,402 481,502 486,052 526,448 586,784 580,568 543,003
2032 419,562 435,296 430,220 440,493 483,393 491,694 520,583 583,150 590,533 551,256
2033 419,187 437,655 436,388 446,805 484,902 498,504 516,811 578,191 598,958 558,157
2034 418,731 439,314 441,782 453,645 488,063 503,243 517,091 571,328 603,315 567,582
2035 418,373 440,323 446,422 460,781 492,162 508,117 518,045 563,321 604,270 578,990
2036 418,240 440,794 450,355 468,200 498,043 511,236 521,642 554,973 604,337 588,797
2037 418,433 440,900 453,612 475,851 503,821 513,365 527,516 549,508 600,986 598,793
2038 419,036 440,774 456,137 482,496 510,798 515,123 534,535 546,109 596,326 607,296
2039 420,104 440,571 457,974 488,374 518,328 518,498 539,509 546,695 589,785 611,761
2040 421,673 440,455 459,169 493,491 526,163 522,786 544,600 547,944 582,117 612,856
2041 423,709 440,571 459,814 497,905 534,292 528,839 547,956 551,771 574,104 613,072
Table 7: Female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2016 539,215 513,404 443,604 388,440 286,332 219,049 166,681 118,179 81,152 7,111,354
2017 529,634 524,282 459,248 392,033 310,105 227,076 169,430 120,516 84,945 7,231,031
2018 515,863 535,623 473,568 399,525 329,836 236,669 173,540 122,311 88,735 7,334,707
2019 502,760 544,952 486,131 411,293 346,897 246,239 179,412 123,847 92,071 7,432,128
2020 492,515 548,258 498,416 425,577 363,901 255,805 184,962 125,733 95,595 7,523,017
2021 490,154 541,538 512,391 439,580 377,438 268,200 190,925 127,894 99,296 7,607,145
2022 488,252 531,086 522,507 454,604 380,980 290,548 198,192 130,517 102,315 7,691,911
2023 485,899 516,975 533,383 468,501 388,351 309,200 206,940 134,233 105,113 7,777,251
2024 482,591 503,777 542,435 480,815 399,881 325,375 215,733 139,301 107,560 7,862,960
2025 480,986 493,633 545,759 492,982 413,923 341,481 224,543 144,169 110,551 7,948,932
2026 477,949 491,474 539,419 506,931 427,790 354,441 235,990 149,426 113,945 8,034,981
2027 479,288 489,757 529,420 517,126 442,625 358,400 256,423 155,670 117,272 8,120,930
2028 482,145 487,579 515,844 528,083 456,399 365,919 273,510 163,165 121,245 8,206,576
2029 487,171 484,476 503,173 537,260 468,698 377,313 288,284 170,783 125,919 8,291,759
2030 492,139 483,073 493,515 540,864 480,877 391,072 302,909 178,357 130,823 8,376,326
2031 499,901 480,255 491,656 535,055 494,760 404,645 314,783 188,193 136,221 8,460,184
2032 508,466 481,750 490,209 525,640 505,055 419,129 319,103 205,524 142,192 8,543,248
2033 519,282 484,715 488,293 512,765 516,074 432,632 326,594 220,066 149,459 8,625,438
2034 529,095 489,833 485,479 500,778 525,380 444,783 337,520 232,562 157,186 8,706,710
2035 538,895 494,898 484,332 491,706 529,315 456,894 350,569 244,765 164,895 8,787,073
2036 547,821 502,722 481,789 490,236 524,131 470,601 363,413 254,789 174,493 8,866,612
2037 556,120 511,354 483,465 489,122 515,448 480,918 377,075 259,298 189,717 8,945,302
2038 563,075 522,194 486,597 487,541 503,443 491,945 389,908 266,400 203,476 9,023,209
2039 572,540 532,032 491,859 485,073 492,332 501,342 401,582 276,280 215,751 9,100,390
2040 583,972 541,866 497,060 484,267 484,014 505,662 413,317 287,953 227,560 9,176,925
2041 593,815 550,839 504,975 482,092 483,018 501,309 426,482 299,392 238,958 9,252,913

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2016, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Notes:

1. Population as of July 1.

2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

LIST OF TABLES