Historical and projected share of Ontario population by census division, selected years - Reference scenario

Ontario Population Projections Update, 2010-2036
Table 7
Historical and projected share of Ontario population by census division, selected years Reference scenario
(Per cent) Historical     Projected          
Region & Census Division 2001 2006 2010 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2036
Greater Toronto Area (GTA) 44.5 45.8 47.1 47.4 48.5 49.4 50.3 51.1 51.8
Toronto 21.7 20.6 20.6 20.6 20.5 20.2 19.8 19.4 19.0
Durham 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.6
Halton 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.9 4.2 4.5 4.8 5.1 5.3
Peel 8.7 9.6 10.1 10.2 10.7 11.2 11.6 12.0 12.3
York 6.4 7.4 7.9 7.9 8.3 8.6 9.0 9.3 9.6
Central (Excluding GTA) 22.1 22.0 21.6 21.6 21.4 21.2 21.1 21.0 21.0
Brant 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Dufferin 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
Haldimand-Norfolk 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
Haliburton 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Hamilton 4.3 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.6
Muskoka 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Niagara 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.0 3.0
Northumberland 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Peterborough 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
Simcoe 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.8
Kawartha Lakes 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Waterloo 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.2 4.3
Wellington 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6
Eastern 13.5 13.2 13.0 13.0 12.9 12.8 12.7 12.5 12.4
Ottawa 6.8 6.7 6.8 6.8 6.9 7.0 7.1 7.2 7.3
Frontenac 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1
Hastings 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8
Lanark 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Leeds & Grenville 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6
Lennox & Addington 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2
Prescott & Russell 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Prince Edward 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Renfrew 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
Stormont, Dundas & Glengarry 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6
Southwestern 13.0 12.6 12.1 12.0 11.6 11.2 10.8 10.5 10.2
Bruce 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Elgin 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
Essex 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4
Grey 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6
Huron 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3
Chatham-Kent 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
Lambton 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8
Middlesex 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4
Oxford 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
Perth 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
Northeastern 4.8 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.2
Algoma 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6
Cochrane 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Manitoulin 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Nipissing 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Parry Sound 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Greater Sudbury 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0
Sudbury 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Timiskaming 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Northwestern 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3
Kenora 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Rainy River 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Thunder Bay 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8
Ontario 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2001-2010, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.
Notes:
1. Year as of July 1.
2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

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