Selected demographic characteristics of Ontario, 2001-2036 - Reference scenario

Ontario Population Projections Update, 2010-2036
Table 8
Selected demographic characteristics of Ontario, 2001-2036 Reference scenario
Year Population Births Deaths Natural increase Net migration Growth
No. %
Estimates              
2001-02 11,896,660 128,950 80,990 47,960 156,430 194,370 1.6
2002-03 12,091,030 129,260 83,410 45,850 115,420 151,240 1.3
2003-04 12,242,270 132,870 84,150 48,720 109,660 148,330 1.2
2004-05 12,390,600 132,800 85,280 47,510 100,390 137,880 1.1
2005-06 12,528,480 133,780 83,750 50,020 95,600 136,870 1.1
2006-07 12,665,350 136,980 86,810 50,170 77,420 127,590 1.0
2007-08 12,792,940 139,030 88,880 50,150 89,210 139,360 1.1
2008-09 12,932,300 140,390 91,830 48,560 84,040 132,600 1.0
2009-10 13,064,900 141,780 94,860 46,920 98,840 145,770 1.1
Projections              
2010-11 13,210,670 144,340 91,330 53,010 106,910 159,920 1.2
2011-12 13,370,590 146,990 92,900 54,090 108,190 162,270 1.2
2012-13 13,532,860 149,770 94,430 55,330 109,460 164,800 1.2
2013-14 13,697,660 152,620 95,970 56,650 108,240 164,890 1.2
2014-15 13,862,550 155,470 97,480 57,990 107,010 165,000 1.2
2015-16 14,027,550 158,260 98,980 59,290 108,260 167,550 1.2
2016-17 14,195,100 160,980 100,450 60,530 109,510 170,050 1.2
2017-18 14,365,150 163,590 101,920 61,670 110,760 172,430 1.2
2018-19 14,537,570 166,020 103,400 62,610 112,030 174,640 1.2
2019-20 14,712,210 168,380 104,920 63,470 113,280 176,750 1.2
2020-21 14,888,960 170,510 106,470 64,040 114,540 178,580 1.2
2021-22 15,067,530 172,260 108,060 64,190 115,810 180,000 1.2
2022-23 15,247,530 173,630 109,710 63,920 117,100 181,020 1.2
2023-24 15,428,560 174,640 111,420 63,220 118,410 181,630 1.2
2024-25 15,610,180 175,300 113,200 62,100 119,740 181,840 1.2
2025-26 15,792,020 175,670 115,070 60,610 121,070 181,680 1.2
2026-27 15,973,700 175,810 117,010 58,800 122,420 181,220 1.1
2027-28 16,154,920 175,790 119,060 56,730 123,770 180,500 1.1
2028-29 16,335,410 175,680 121,190 54,490 125,130 179,620 1.1
2029-30 16,515,040 175,570 123,420 52,150 126,500 178,650 1.1
2030-31 16,693,690 175,530 125,770 49,770 127,890 177,660 1.1
2031-32 16,871,340 175,630 128,190 47,440 129,300 176,740 1.0
2032-33 17,048,080 175,920 130,740 45,190 130,730 175,920 1.0
2033-34 17,224,000 176,450 133,330 43,120 132,170 175,290 1.0
2034-35 17,399,290 177,220 135,970 41,260 133,610 174,870 1.0
2035-36 17,574,150 178,250 138,640 39,610 135,050 174,670 1.0
2036 17,748,820
Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2001-2010, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.
Notes:
1. Population age structure is for the beginning of each Census year, i.e., July 1.
2. For 2010-11, population and age structure are Statistics Canada estimates for July 1, 2010.
3. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.


Ontario Population Projections Update, 2010-2036
Table 8 Continued
Selected demographic characteristics of Ontario, 2001-2036 Reference scenario
Year Male population (age) Female population (age) Median age
0-14 15-24 25-64 65+ 0-14 15-24 25-64 65+ Males Females
Estimates                    
2001-02 1,178,010 813,410 3,245,150 642,370 1,130,100 775,130 3,264,730 847,760 35.9 37.5
2002-03 1,179,910 829,110 3,309,300 656,630 1,131,410 791,420 3,328,660 864,590 36.3 37.9
2003-04 1,175,600 844,980 3,357,600 670,560 1,126,680 806,100 3,379,300 881,460 36.6 38.3
2004-05 1,169,950 861,160 3,404,270 685,030 1,119,900 821,680 3,428,660 899,940 36.9 38.6
2005-06 1,161,350 878,330 3,449,740 698,790 1,109,790 838,610 3,475,700 916,170 37.2 39.0
2006-07 1,154,370 893,700 3,489,580 716,710 1,100,280 853,150 3,521,070 936,490 37.5 39.2
2007-08 1,145,700 903,420 3,526,210 737,050 1,090,270 864,800 3,568,780 956,700 37.8 39.5
2008-09 1,139,520 910,380 3,566,620 760,610 1,084,180 872,740 3,618,520 979,740 38.1 39.8
2009-10 1,134,770 916,450 3,603,700 784,410 1,079,000 878,330 3,665,270 1,002,980 38.4 40.0
Projections                    
2010-11 1,130,460 924,000 3,648,240 807,700 1,075,240 883,660 3,715,190 1,026,170 38.6 40.3
2011-12 1,131,110 927,750 3,693,960 835,680 1,075,330 888,620 3,763,030 1,055,110 38.8 40.5
2012-13 1,136,260 928,090 3,728,370 875,140 1,079,690 889,770 3,799,640 1,095,920 38.9 40.7
2013-14 1,144,640 926,700 3,764,520 912,700 1,087,480 889,250 3,837,270 1,135,110 39.1 40.8
2014-15 1,155,680 920,070 3,804,890 948,570 1,097,820 883,890 3,879,030 1,172,590 39.2 41.0
2015-16 1,167,490 911,100 3,846,850 984,400 1,109,440 875,240 3,922,190 1,210,840 39.3 41.1
2016-17 1,182,070 901,770 3,886,360 1,021,650 1,124,350 865,050 3,964,280 1,249,560 39.4 41.2
2017-18 1,198,180 894,560 3,923,220 1,059,250 1,140,230 855,860 4,004,690 1,289,160 39.5 41.4
2018-19 1,215,140 888,580 3,956,860 1,099,250 1,156,830 848,930 4,040,140 1,331,850 39.6 41.5
2019-20 1,231,280 886,020 3,986,530 1,141,750 1,173,130 844,560 4,071,650 1,377,300 39.7 41.6
2020-21 1,248,680 882,600 4,013,800 1,187,360 1,190,530 840,460 4,100,520 1,425,010 39.8 41.6
2021-22 1,266,350 882,310 4,038,140 1,233,370 1,208,290 838,520 4,127,770 1,472,780 39.9 41.8
2022-23 1,286,030 883,800 4,056,730 1,282,070 1,227,090 839,170 4,150,040 1,522,600 40.0 41.9
2023-24 1,305,270 888,000 4,072,080 1,332,230 1,245,480 842,790 4,169,650 1,573,070 40.2 42.0
2024-25 1,324,370 894,050 4,084,910 1,383,460 1,263,720 848,220 4,186,890 1,624,570 40.3 42.1
2025-26 1,342,980 900,300 4,095,490 1,437,250 1,281,440 854,450 4,201,420 1,678,690 40.5 42.2
2026-27 1,360,460 909,220 4,102,440 1,493,040 1,298,060 863,880 4,211,970 1,734,630 40.6 42.4
2027-28 1,376,610 919,610 4,109,700 1,548,090 1,313,420 874,270 4,222,620 1,790,600 40.8 42.5
2028-29 1,391,330 930,960 4,113,560 1,606,630 1,327,380 885,470 4,230,970 1,849,100 41.0 42.7
2029-30 1,404,520 941,720 4,120,200 1,664,010 1,339,910 896,600 4,240,870 1,907,210 41.1 42.8
2030-31 1,416,200 953,960 4,130,870 1,716,840 1,351,010 909,020 4,253,950 1,961,850 41.3 43.0
2031-32 1,426,410 966,820 4,148,970 1,762,570 1,360,720 922,110 4,274,990 2,008,750 41.5 43.1
2032-33 1,435,300 982,150 4,172,040 1,801,750 1,369,150 936,720 4,301,090 2,049,890 41.6 43.3
2033-34 1,443,010 997,680 4,197,930 1,838,620 1,376,440 951,510 4,329,850 2,088,960 41.8 43.5
2034-35 1,449,760 1,013,780 4,224,390 1,875,030 1,382,810 966,820 4,359,450 2,127,260 41.9 43.6
2035-36 1,455,690 1,030,250 4,251,460 1,911,060 1,388,390 982,450 4,389,670 2,165,190 42.1 43.8
2036 1,461,060 1,046,500 4,280,570 1,945,750 1,393,450 997,860 4,420,800 2,202,820 42.2 44.0
Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2001-2010, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.
Notes:
1. Population age structure is for the beginning of each Census year, i.e., July 1.
2. For 2010-11, population and age structure are Statistics Canada estimates for July 1, 2010.
3. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

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