Ontario Population Projections Update, 2016–2041
Table 8: Total Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — low scenario

Table 8: Total Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — low scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2016 731,676 745,455 742,428 834,001 992,846 977,187 946,746 908,855 904,402 954,446
2017 735,458 746,959 750,662 824,518 999,986 1,006,456 966,939 926,830 906,595 950,523
2018 739,432 747,103 760,772 816,452 995,482 1,028,479 979,249 947,486 910,211 943,952
2019 742,673 750,029 766,142 815,537 983,852 1,040,720 996,008 965,012 917,941 934,276
2020 744,508 754,919 771,206 813,373 967,183 1,044,445 1,014,950 980,903 925,380 927,319
2021 745,048 762,228 772,930 815,515 945,847 1,041,761 1,029,840 992,742 936,881 916,984
2022 748,999 764,702 772,912 822,420 929,916 1,032,427 1,044,891 1,004,371 948,880 914,889
2023 750,928 767,682 772,024 831,774 918,559 1,019,021 1,058,437 1,011,659 965,793 916,003
2024 751,301 770,117 774,115 836,653 915,509 1,001,202 1,064,448 1,024,529 980,500 921,773
2025 750,157 771,501 778,510 841,545 912,348 981,209 1,064,629 1,040,965 994,650 928,029
2026 747,550 772,090 785,767 843,550 914,928 960,266 1,061,845 1,055,493 1,006,309 939,347
2027 743,757 776,033 788,262 843,773 922,262 944,564 1,052,608 1,070,140 1,017,743 951,170
2028 738,772 778,000 791,234 843,121 931,964 933,363 1,039,336 1,083,348 1,024,871 967,832
2029 732,652 778,419 793,669 845,434 937,252 930,294 1,021,744 1,089,156 1,037,487 982,315
2030 725,557 777,302 795,046 850,042 942,481 927,118 1,002,032 1,089,274 1,053,579 996,229
2031 717,664 774,739 795,600 857,539 944,809 929,519 981,389 1,086,461 1,067,796 1,007,681
2032 709,226 770,997 799,495 860,264 945,378 936,560 965,809 1,077,360 1,082,090 1,018,925
2033 700,525 766,080 801,410 863,436 945,141 945,886 954,602 1,064,275 1,094,962 1,025,972
2034 691,874 760,033 801,787 866,064 947,821 950,851 951,286 1,046,968 1,100,566 1,038,339
2035 683,527 753,014 800,646 867,618 952,807 955,694 947,872 1,027,546 1,100,603 1,054,070
2036 675,724 745,203 798,055 868,369 960,589 957,720 949,857 1,007,193 1,097,732 1,067,960
2037 668,628 736,817 794,284 872,431 963,586 958,042 956,353 991,739 1,088,736 1,081,926
2038 662,323 728,172 789,344 874,502 967,025 957,548 965,095 980,542 1,075,809 1,094,542
2039 656,810 719,571 783,268 875,012 969,968 959,891 969,529 977,036 1,058,735 1,100,008
2040 652,038 711,270 776,220 874,015 971,875 964,455 973,809 973,401 1,039,597 1,099,937
2041 647,903 703,498 768,380 871,552 973,017 971,718 975,298 975,036 1,019,519 1,097,018
Table 8: Total Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — low scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2016 1,078,190 1,015,318 861,626 746,945 539,963 400,808 293,860 192,995 115,237 13,982,984
2017 1,055,052 1,037,084 892,143 752,243 584,617 415,001 298,727 197,400 120,720 14,167,913
2018 1,023,009 1,059,845 920,955 765,215 621,187 432,236 305,894 200,959 126,207 14,324,125
2019 992,267 1,078,079 946,948 786,353 652,493 449,917 315,478 203,987 131,049 14,468,761
2020 967,952 1,083,329 971,717 812,988 683,505 467,760 324,418 207,389 136,354 14,599,598
2021 957,939 1,069,398 999,304 838,697 708,389 490,840 334,416 211,092 141,989 14,711,840
2022 951,118 1,044,715 1,019,449 867,724 713,780 532,023 347,019 215,554 146,487 14,822,276
2023 942,963 1,012,225 1,041,038 895,396 726,516 565,927 362,339 221,733 150,650 14,930,667
2024 932,247 981,442 1,058,464 920,528 746,974 594,920 378,093 229,663 154,249 15,036,727
2025 924,755 957,388 1,063,599 944,738 772,774 623,585 393,969 237,187 158,610 15,140,148
2026 914,737 947,854 1,050,453 971,938 797,860 646,894 414,561 245,594 163,564 15,240,600
2027 912,783 941,390 1,026,833 991,979 826,058 653,185 450,944 255,879 168,355 15,337,718
2028 914,020 933,585 995,652 1,013,434 853,028 666,117 481,008 268,363 174,148 15,431,196
2029 919,793 923,264 966,136 1,030,872 877,626 686,033 506,624 281,227 180,735 15,520,732
2030 926,055 916,128 943,138 1,036,442 901,454 710,864 531,720 294,056 187,566 15,606,083
2031 937,266 906,528 934,260 1,024,360 928,105 735,045 552,390 310,721 195,186 15,687,058
2032 949,027 904,787 928,284 1,002,101 947,985 762,030 559,422 339,974 203,839 15,763,553
2033 965,504 906,157 920,960 972,612 969,258 787,952 572,152 364,173 214,462 15,835,519
2034 979,838 911,977 911,180 944,808 986,692 811,767 590,811 384,600 225,691 15,902,953
2035 993,592 918,303 904,520 923,273 992,885 835,017 613,754 404,307 236,848 15,965,896
2036 1,004,931 929,468 895,433 915,316 982,263 860,830 636,093 420,768 250,939 16,024,443
2037 1,016,047 941,147 893,988 910,005 961,918 880,409 660,845 427,978 273,787 16,078,666
2038 1,023,002 957,453 895,573 903,334 934,778 901,361 684,738 439,604 293,936 16,128,681
2039 1,035,202 971,673 901,483 894,299 909,278 918,762 706,898 455,725 311,435 16,174,583
2040 1,050,726 985,304 907,924 888,285 889,728 925,730 728,770 475,298 328,112 16,216,494
2041 1,064,429 996,552 919,106 879,951 883,034 916,998 752,880 494,291 344,320 16,254,500

Table 8: Male Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — low scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2016 375,704 381,310 380,809 429,521 509,462 485,900 462,169 443,730 442,981 471,158
2017 377,728 382,341 384,709 424,694 515,336 502,055 473,108 452,474 443,348 468,799
2018 379,722 382,717 389,627 420,697 514,127 514,870 479,245 462,804 444,477 464,827
2019 381,326 384,416 392,099 420,356 508,799 522,876 487,945 471,592 447,922 458,998
2020 382,206 387,383 394,318 418,674 500,847 526,901 497,528 479,424 451,634 454,498
2021 382,480 391,255 395,228 419,355 490,257 526,766 505,733 484,988 457,194 448,544
2022 384,519 392,605 395,474 422,577 482,050 523,414 513,868 491,175 462,578 446,489
2023 385,515 394,090 395,322 427,105 476,364 517,267 521,944 494,573 470,828 446,217
2024 385,719 395,288 396,591 429,339 474,908 508,546 526,496 501,148 478,047 448,564
2025 385,137 395,945 399,291 431,479 472,728 498,812 528,508 509,384 484,915 451,602
2026 383,804 396,240 403,133 432,540 473,671 488,500 528,289 517,381 490,387 457,060
2027 381,864 398,278 404,484 432,916 477,144 480,480 524,964 525,295 496,456 462,361
2028 379,308 399,294 405,969 432,893 481,883 474,894 518,910 533,157 499,779 470,466
2029 376,168 399,516 407,170 434,281 484,358 473,449 510,330 537,570 506,215 477,563
2030 372,525 398,944 407,823 437,094 486,704 471,289 500,759 539,499 514,265 484,299
2031 368,472 397,643 408,102 441,072 487,961 472,148 490,620 539,240 522,069 489,662
2032 364,137 395,735 410,113 442,548 488,567 475,455 482,677 535,952 529,773 495,617
2033 359,674 393,210 411,108 444,136 488,795 479,992 477,093 529,975 537,421 498,904
2034 355,236 390,102 411,310 445,443 490,404 482,292 475,512 521,543 541,684 505,186
2035 350,954 386,498 410,732 446,189 493,432 484,452 473,241 512,126 543,537 513,036
2036 346,946 382,488 409,422 446,566 497,575 485,557 473,886 502,141 543,227 520,646
2037 343,305 378,176 407,507 448,662 499,216 486,040 476,911 494,282 539,970 528,147
2038 340,071 373,736 404,969 449,744 500,970 486,149 481,123 488,705 534,083 535,631
2039 337,243 369,321 401,841 450,029 502,456 487,596 483,150 487,025 525,797 539,799
2040 334,794 365,054 398,220 449,543 503,407 490,406 485,035 484,648 516,548 541,571
2041 332,668 361,064 394,191 448,312 504,029 494,270 485,879 485,120 506,732 541,235
Table 8: Male Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — low scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2016 538,975 501,914 418,022 358,505 253,631 181,759 127,179 74,816 34,085 6,871,630
2017 526,286 513,544 433,578 360,875 275,098 188,455 129,819 77,431 36,516 6,966,194
2018 508,747 525,624 448,723 366,988 292,542 196,634 133,361 79,745 38,968 7,044,445
2019 491,800 535,171 462,755 376,996 307,400 205,273 137,598 81,755 41,224 7,116,301
2020 478,413 537,725 475,856 389,986 322,077 214,093 141,505 83,765 43,792 7,180,625
2021 471,513 531,112 490,126 402,359 334,135 225,370 146,076 85,781 46,523 7,234,795
2022 467,444 517,508 500,776 417,087 336,646 244,943 151,989 88,114 48,766 7,288,022
2023 462,567 499,767 512,188 431,602 342,708 260,965 159,192 91,099 50,910 7,340,223
2024 456,160 482,847 521,293 445,148 352,403 274,604 166,795 94,536 52,817 7,391,249
2025 451,383 469,657 523,816 457,957 364,956 288,042 174,528 97,773 54,980 7,440,893
2026 445,637 463,100 517,703 472,028 377,030 299,286 184,422 101,540 57,325 7,489,076
2027 443,692 459,271 504,783 482,647 391,283 302,377 201,400 106,256 59,598 7,535,549
2028 443,509 454,636 487,868 494,019 405,376 308,605 215,367 111,979 62,257 7,580,169
2029 445,868 448,499 471,741 503,172 418,591 318,050 227,232 118,001 65,053 7,622,827
2030 448,919 443,968 459,185 505,997 431,180 330,109 238,829 124,048 67,926 7,663,362
2031 454,326 438,492 453,085 500,505 444,938 341,750 248,700 131,799 71,168 7,701,752
2032 459,599 436,708 449,588 488,418 455,485 355,345 252,243 145,014 74,940 7,737,914
2033 467,604 436,624 445,280 472,568 466,768 368,853 258,410 155,912 79,528 7,771,855
2034 474,614 439,025 439,509 457,522 475,943 381,594 267,238 165,094 84,323 7,803,574
2035 481,267 442,118 435,290 445,906 479,175 393,839 278,323 173,942 89,104 7,833,161
2036 486,583 447,504 430,127 440,450 474,566 407,129 289,039 181,638 95,156 7,860,646
2037 492,470 452,742 428,564 437,371 463,700 417,522 301,421 185,247 104,844 7,886,097
2038 495,715 460,655 428,643 433,486 449,336 428,628 313,781 190,812 113,343 7,909,580
2039 501,907 467,602 431,128 428,197 435,719 437,813 325,532 198,317 120,687 7,931,159
2040 509,633 474,193 434,307 424,413 425,332 441,524 336,974 207,597 127,714 7,950,913
2041 517,137 479,468 439,728 419,737 420,716 437,986 349,309 216,584 134,759 7,968,924

Table 8: Female Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — low scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2016 355,972 364,145 361,619 404,480 483,384 491,287 484,577 465,125 461,421 483,288
2017 357,730 364,618 365,953 399,824 484,650 504,401 493,831 474,356 463,247 481,724
2018 359,710 364,386 371,145 395,755 481,355 513,609 500,004 484,682 465,734 479,125
2019 361,347 365,613 374,043 395,181 475,053 517,844 508,063 493,420 470,019 475,278
2020 362,302 367,536 376,888 394,699 466,336 517,544 517,422 501,479 473,746 472,821
2021 362,568 370,973 377,702 396,160 455,590 514,995 524,107 507,754 479,687 468,440
2022 364,480 372,097 377,438 399,843 447,866 509,013 531,023 513,196 486,302 468,400
2023 365,413 373,592 376,702 404,669 442,195 501,754 536,493 517,086 494,965 469,786
2024 365,582 374,829 377,524 407,314 440,601 492,656 537,952 523,381 502,453 473,209
2025 365,020 375,556 379,219 410,066 439,620 482,397 536,121 531,581 509,735 476,427
2026 363,746 375,850 382,634 411,010 441,257 471,766 533,556 538,112 515,922 482,287
2027 361,893 377,755 383,778 410,857 445,118 464,084 527,644 544,845 521,287 488,809
2028 359,464 378,706 385,265 410,228 450,081 458,469 520,426 550,191 525,092 497,366
2029 356,484 378,903 386,499 411,153 452,894 456,845 511,414 551,586 531,272 504,752
2030 353,032 378,358 387,223 412,948 455,777 455,829 501,273 549,775 539,314 511,930
2031 349,192 377,096 387,498 416,467 456,848 457,371 490,769 547,221 545,727 518,019
2032 345,089 375,262 389,382 417,716 456,811 461,105 483,132 541,408 552,317 523,308
2033 340,851 372,870 390,302 419,300 456,346 465,894 477,509 534,300 557,541 527,068
2034 336,638 369,931 390,477 420,621 457,417 468,559 475,774 525,425 558,882 533,153
2035 332,573 366,516 389,914 421,429 459,375 471,242 474,631 515,420 557,066 541,034
2036 328,778 362,715 388,633 421,803 463,014 472,163 475,971 505,052 554,505 547,314
2037 325,323 358,641 386,777 423,769 464,370 472,002 479,442 497,457 548,766 553,779
2038 322,252 354,436 384,375 424,758 466,055 471,399 483,972 491,837 541,726 558,911
2039 319,567 350,250 381,427 424,983 467,512 472,295 486,379 490,011 532,938 560,209
2040 317,244 346,216 378,000 424,472 468,468 474,049 488,774 488,753 523,049 558,366
2041 315,235 342,434 374,189 423,240 468,988 477,448 489,419 489,916 512,787 555,783
Table 8: Female Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — low scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2016 539,215 513,404 443,604 388,440 286,332 219,049 166,681 118,179 81,152 7,111,354
2017 528,766 523,540 458,565 391,368 309,519 226,546 168,908 119,969 84,204 7,201,719
2018 514,262 534,221 472,232 398,227 328,645 235,602 172,533 121,214 87,239 7,279,680
2019 500,467 542,908 484,193 409,357 345,093 244,644 177,880 122,232 89,825 7,352,460
2020 489,539 545,604 495,861 423,002 361,428 253,667 182,913 123,624 92,562 7,418,973
2021 486,426 538,286 509,178 436,338 374,254 265,470 188,340 125,311 95,466 7,477,045
2022 483,674 527,207 518,673 450,637 377,134 287,080 195,030 127,440 97,721 7,534,254
2023 480,396 512,458 528,850 463,794 383,808 304,962 203,147 130,634 99,740 7,590,444
2024 476,087 498,595 537,171 475,380 394,571 320,316 211,298 135,127 101,432 7,645,478
2025 473,372 487,731 539,783 486,781 407,818 335,543 219,441 139,414 103,630 7,699,255
2026 469,100 484,754 532,750 499,910 420,830 347,608 230,139 144,054 106,239 7,751,524
2027 469,091 482,119 522,050 509,332 434,775 350,808 249,544 149,623 108,757 7,802,169
2028 470,511 478,949 507,784 519,415 447,652 357,512 265,641 156,384 111,891 7,851,027
2029 473,925 474,765 494,395 527,700 459,035 367,983 279,392 163,226 115,682 7,897,905
2030 477,136 472,160 483,953 530,445 470,274 380,755 292,891 170,008 119,640 7,942,721
2031 482,940 468,036 481,175 523,855 483,167 393,295 303,690 178,922 124,018 7,985,306
2032 489,428 468,079 478,696 513,683 492,500 406,685 307,179 194,960 128,899 8,025,639
2033 497,900 469,533 475,680 500,044 502,490 419,099 313,742 208,261 134,934 8,063,664
2034 505,224 472,952 471,671 487,286 510,749 430,173 323,573 219,506 141,368 8,099,379
2035 512,325 476,185 469,230 477,367 513,710 441,178 335,431 230,365 147,744 8,132,735
2036 518,348 481,964 465,306 474,866 507,697 453,701 347,054 239,130 155,783 8,163,797
2037 523,577 488,405 465,424 472,634 498,218 462,887 359,424 242,731 168,943 8,192,569
2038 527,287 496,798 466,930 469,848 485,442 472,733 370,957 248,792 180,593 8,219,101
2039 533,295 504,071 470,355 466,102 473,559 480,949 381,366 257,408 190,748 8,243,424
2040 541,093 511,111 473,617 463,872 464,396 484,206 391,796 267,701 200,398 8,265,581
2041 547,292 517,084 479,378 460,214 462,318 479,012 403,571 277,707 209,561 8,285,576

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2016, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Notes:

1. Population as of July 1.

2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

LIST OF TABLES