Ontario Population Projections Update, 2016–2041
Table 9: Total Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — high scenario

Table 9: Total Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — high scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2016 731,676 745,455 742,428 834,001 992,846 977,187 946,746 908,855 904,402 954,446
2017 749,259 751,573 754,480 831,393 1,014,965 1,024,018 980,991 937,060 914,149 955,907
2018 770,237 756,027 768,176 828,086 1,019,639 1,058,554 1,005,206 966,754 924,237 953,992
2019 793,354 763,114 777,111 831,256 1,014,751 1,080,425 1,033,167 993,043 938,243 948,756
2020 818,042 772,218 785,809 832,720 1,002,966 1,091,449 1,062,818 1,017,745 951,980 946,259
2021 844,463 783,942 791,480 838,890 986,719 1,095,652 1,088,563 1,039,174 970,523 940,790
2022 868,339 800,034 795,656 850,162 975,992 1,092,733 1,114,272 1,061,145 990,184 944,026
2023 889,766 820,220 799,262 864,201 970,078 1,085,429 1,137,971 1,079,318 1,015,609 950,914
2024 909,504 843,170 806,103 874,075 972,767 1,073,495 1,153,352 1,103,859 1,039,473 963,078
2025 927,637 868,250 815,524 884,258 975,668 1,059,210 1,162,120 1,132,538 1,063,537 976,296
2026 944,333 895,540 828,046 891,858 984,636 1,044,009 1,167,370 1,159,391 1,085,786 995,329
2027 959,736 920,325 844,930 897,963 998,753 1,034,273 1,165,640 1,186,241 1,108,574 1,015,496
2028 973,732 942,734 865,919 903,488 1,015,645 1,029,378 1,159,581 1,211,151 1,127,652 1,041,386
2029 986,356 963,445 889,689 912,263 1,028,401 1,033,068 1,148,973 1,227,840 1,153,086 1,065,760
2030 997,671 982,595 915,585 923,642 1,041,460 1,036,981 1,136,096 1,238,011 1,182,619 1,090,340
2031 1,007,932 1,000,311 943,713 938,160 1,051,918 1,046,974 1,122,345 1,244,764 1,210,345 1,113,137
2032 1,017,383 1,016,762 969,381 957,043 1,060,904 1,062,105 1,114,065 1,244,641 1,238,066 1,136,496
2033 1,026,458 1,031,830 992,654 980,067 1,069,356 1,079,969 1,110,661 1,240,255 1,263,885 1,156,177
2034 1,035,566 1,045,541 1,014,275 1,005,889 1,081,073 1,093,769 1,115,816 1,231,387 1,281,543 1,182,148
2035 1,045,136 1,057,958 1,034,341 1,033,871 1,095,423 1,107,899 1,121,213 1,220,291 1,292,826 1,212,180
2036 1,055,599 1,069,337 1,052,989 1,064,125 1,112,903 1,119,477 1,132,674 1,208,368 1,300,729 1,240,465
2037 1,067,269 1,079,943 1,070,387 1,091,889 1,134,739 1,129,650 1,149,270 1,201,878 1,301,853 1,268,761
2038 1,080,401 1,090,172 1,086,428 1,117,271 1,160,758 1,139,320 1,168,623 1,200,249 1,298,770 1,295,186
2039 1,095,128 1,100,470 1,101,137 1,141,002 1,189,613 1,152,236 1,184,005 1,207,123 1,291,263 1,313,563
2040 1,111,504 1,111,281 1,114,571 1,163,189 1,220,636 1,167,798 1,199,734 1,214,293 1,281,590 1,325,603
2041 1,129,535 1,122,965 1,126,990 1,183,967 1,253,928 1,186,503 1,212,982 1,227,491 1,271,117 1,334,329
Table 9: Total Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — high scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2016 1,078,190 1,015,318 861,626 746,945 539,963 400,808 293,860 192,995 115,237 13,982,984
2017 1,059,129 1,040,498 895,047 755,114 587,166 417,207 300,804 199,313 123,025 14,291,098
2018 1,030,445 1,066,281 926,623 770,778 626,435 436,746 310,067 204,803 130,945 14,554,031
2019 1,002,791 1,087,336 955,290 794,559 660,553 456,802 321,827 209,772 138,307 14,800,457
2020 981,510 1,095,290 982,737 823,872 694,559 477,152 333,009 215,114 146,314 15,031,563
2021 974,902 1,084,057 1,013,154 852,416 722,583 502,998 345,399 220,803 154,734 15,251,242
2022 971,816 1,062,121 1,036,204 884,440 730,877 547,588 360,569 227,335 162,035 15,475,528
2023 967,719 1,032,400 1,060,842 915,280 746,650 585,049 378,717 235,766 169,083 15,704,274
2024 961,346 1,004,528 1,081,418 943,677 770,371 617,810 397,490 246,135 175,616 15,937,267
2025 958,651 983,633 1,089,682 971,271 799,646 650,496 416,550 256,194 183,088 16,174,249
2026 953,774 977,721 1,079,517 1,002,040 828,381 677,865 440,719 267,323 191,265 16,414,903
2027 957,509 975,244 1,058,834 1,025,637 860,472 687,496 481,791 280,625 199,364 16,658,903
2028 964,886 971,744 1,030,517 1,050,854 891,452 704,086 516,555 296,467 208,716 16,905,943
2029 977,489 965,992 1,004,052 1,072,116 920,152 728,067 546,996 312,894 219,102 17,155,741
2030 991,164 963,917 984,395 1,081,370 948,196 757,301 577,223 329,508 229,970 17,408,044
2031 1,010,610 959,687 979,444 1,072,608 979,292 786,040 602,920 350,495 241,987 17,662,682
2032 1,031,161 963,938 977,779 1,053,529 1,003,515 817,918 613,738 385,727 255,432 17,919,583
2033 1,057,426 971,788 975,084 1,027,050 1,029,336 848,832 630,727 415,735 271,473 18,178,763
2034 1,082,199 984,803 970,177 1,002,404 1,051,326 877,651 654,295 441,944 288,532 18,440,338
2035 1,107,159 998,902 968,904 984,376 1,061,734 905,977 682,647 467,765 305,879 18,704,481
2036 1,130,353 1,018,703 965,497 980,662 1,054,673 937,222 710,540 490,049 327,053 18,971,418
2037 1,154,149 1,039,617 970,461 980,038 1,037,561 961,974 741,265 501,427 359,296 19,241,427
2038 1,174,290 1,066,201 978,947 978,374 1,013,340 988,286 771,273 517,923 388,997 19,514,809
2039 1,200,681 1,091,303 992,532 974,536 990,907 1,010,951 799,479 539,790 416,154 19,791,873
2040 1,231,143 1,116,625 1,007,166 974,311 974,841 1,022,582 827,456 565,754 442,858 20,072,935
2041 1,259,874 1,140,193 1,027,466 971,998 972,596 1,017,518 858,100 591,326 469,452 20,358,330

Table 9: Male Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — high scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2016 375,704 381,310 380,809 429,521 509,462 485,900 462,169 443,730 442,981 471,158
2017 384,803 384,724 386,682 428,338 523,401 511,134 480,302 457,887 447,455 471,842
2018 395,522 387,325 393,463 426,859 527,054 530,221 492,365 472,885 452,025 470,446
2019 407,325 391,169 397,783 428,675 525,327 542,970 506,542 486,125 458,749 467,041
2020 419,939 396,324 401,877 428,903 519,965 550,516 521,261 498,352 465,716 464,934
2021 433,512 402,452 404,856 431,688 512,100 553,732 534,626 508,654 474,907 461,543
2022 445,790 410,789 407,274 437,194 506,712 553,541 547,808 519,925 484,193 462,282
2023 456,806 421,108 409,438 444,192 503,951 550,409 560,706 528,603 496,766 465,010
2024 466,944 432,837 413,162 449,044 505,589 544,637 569,669 540,820 508,596 470,663
2025 476,262 445,649 418,479 453,948 506,660 537,768 575,745 554,925 520,412 477,302
2026 484,843 459,667 425,021 457,944 511,016 530,356 579,322 568,829 531,106 486,723
2027 492,755 472,398 433,771 461,395 518,094 525,368 579,573 582,545 542,757 496,277
2028 499,942 483,920 444,497 464,596 526,666 523,005 576,923 595,991 551,875 509,068
2029 506,422 494,556 456,647 469,344 533,109 524,990 571,686 605,565 564,516 521,151
2030 512,237 504,391 469,882 475,693 539,608 526,426 565,366 612,284 579,041 533,217
2031 517,509 513,487 484,328 483,302 545,189 531,123 558,536 616,564 593,358 544,178
2032 522,360 521,938 497,520 493,112 550,240 538,536 554,109 617,582 607,478 556,107
2033 527,015 529,681 509,482 504,922 555,067 547,406 552,319 615,726 621,331 565,540
2034 531,687 536,717 520,587 518,166 561,447 554,185 554,846 611,328 631,352 578,440
2035 536,597 543,090 530,888 532,501 569,429 561,040 556,831 605,866 638,610 593,189
2036 541,973 548,922 540,467 548,068 578,645 566,990 562,066 599,913 643,444 607,766
2037 547,968 554,354 549,402 562,362 590,065 572,452 570,003 596,339 645,069 622,157
2038 554,704 559,595 557,642 575,434 603,498 577,708 579,409 595,401 643,861 636,292
2039 562,270 564,875 565,186 587,656 618,378 584,500 586,774 598,750 640,143 646,660
2040 570,681 570,417 572,083 599,078 634,355 592,869 594,227 601,602 635,394 654,289
2041 579,932 576,415 578,443 609,786 651,550 602,483 600,824 607,672 630,177 659,537
Table 9: Male Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — high scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2016 538,975 501,914 418,022 358,505 253,631 181,759 127,179 74,816 34,085 6,871,630
2017 528,616 515,461 435,084 362,420 276,498 189,661 130,891 78,304 37,318 7,030,821
2018 512,962 529,211 451,653 369,959 295,430 199,120 135,550 81,523 40,642 7,164,215
2019 497,717 540,320 467,088 381,326 311,851 209,095 140,947 84,474 43,837 7,288,361
2020 485,992 544,345 481,617 395,692 328,190 219,339 146,063 87,454 47,456 7,403,935
2021 480,939 539,218 497,394 409,512 341,967 232,176 151,963 90,478 51,305 7,513,022
2022 478,901 527,093 509,617 425,769 346,036 253,658 159,307 93,870 54,722 7,624,481
2023 476,222 510,822 522,667 441,917 353,706 271,658 168,087 98,032 58,094 7,738,194
2024 472,135 495,434 533,462 457,175 365,090 287,402 177,371 102,729 61,297 7,854,056
2025 469,891 483,917 537,644 471,763 379,457 303,077 186,892 107,276 64,870 7,971,937
2026 466,835 479,260 533,110 487,724 393,413 316,541 198,782 112,478 68,687 8,091,657
2027 467,846 477,558 521,687 500,247 409,692 321,407 218,378 118,812 72,493 8,213,053
2028 470,833 475,202 506,222 513,606 425,892 329,589 234,958 126,337 76,812 8,335,934
2029 476,712 471,458 491,612 524,768 441,289 341,172 249,492 134,289 81,370 8,460,148
2030 483,577 469,542 480,766 529,494 456,105 355,548 263,908 142,406 86,137 8,585,628
2031 493,200 466,828 476,640 525,722 472,232 369,571 276,521 152,522 91,494 8,712,304
2032 502,941 468,092 475,370 515,193 485,099 385,762 282,080 168,973 97,594 8,840,086
2033 515,903 471,309 473,439 500,763 498,787 401,926 290,524 183,009 104,826 8,968,975
2034 528,179 477,381 470,120 487,195 510,364 417,362 301,962 195,299 112,503 9,099,120
2035 540,424 484,444 468,606 477,268 515,759 432,341 315,917 207,418 120,335 9,230,553
2036 551,578 494,211 466,292 473,856 512,951 448,556 329,576 218,218 129,934 9,363,426
2037 563,710 504,107 467,908 473,129 503,587 461,722 345,169 224,047 144,356 9,497,906
2038 573,356 517,197 471,426 471,733 490,500 475,708 360,833 232,204 157,626 9,634,127
2039 586,455 529,598 477,764 468,981 478,234 487,675 375,890 242,740 169,771 9,772,300
2040 601,403 541,982 485,066 468,020 469,430 493,795 390,658 255,412 181,795 9,912,556
2041 616,185 553,281 495,051 466,278 466,881 492,091 406,551 267,865 194,030 10,055,032

Table 9: Female Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — high scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2016 355,972 364,145 361,619 404,480 483,384 491,287 484,577 465,125 461,421 483,288
2017 364,456 366,849 367,798 403,055 491,564 512,884 500,689 479,173 466,694 484,065
2018 374,715 368,702 374,713 401,227 492,585 528,333 512,841 493,869 472,212 483,546
2019 386,029 371,945 379,328 402,581 489,424 537,455 526,625 506,918 479,494 481,715
2020 398,103 375,894 383,932 403,817 483,001 540,933 541,557 519,393 486,264 481,325
2021 410,951 381,490 386,624 407,202 474,619 541,920 553,937 530,520 495,616 479,247
2022 422,549 389,245 388,382 412,968 469,280 539,192 566,464 541,220 505,991 481,744
2023 432,960 399,112 389,824 420,009 466,127 535,020 577,265 550,715 518,843 485,904
2024 442,560 410,333 392,941 425,031 467,178 528,858 583,683 563,039 530,877 492,415
2025 451,375 422,601 397,045 430,310 469,008 521,442 586,375 577,613 543,125 498,994
2026 459,490 435,873 403,025 433,914 473,620 513,653 588,048 590,562 554,680 508,606
2027 466,981 447,927 411,159 436,568 480,659 508,905 586,067 603,696 565,817 519,219
2028 473,790 458,814 421,422 438,892 488,979 506,373 582,658 615,160 575,777 532,318
2029 479,934 468,889 433,042 442,919 495,292 508,078 577,287 622,275 588,570 544,609
2030 485,434 478,204 445,703 447,949 501,852 510,555 570,730 625,727 603,578 557,123
2031 490,423 486,824 459,385 454,858 506,729 515,851 563,809 628,200 616,987 568,959
2032 495,023 494,824 471,861 463,931 510,664 523,569 559,956 627,059 630,588 580,389
2033 499,443 502,149 483,172 475,145 514,289 532,563 558,342 624,529 642,554 590,637
2034 503,879 508,824 493,688 487,723 519,626 539,584 560,970 620,059 650,191 603,708
2035 508,539 514,868 503,453 501,370 525,994 546,859 564,382 614,425 654,216 618,991
2036 513,626 520,415 512,522 516,057 534,258 552,487 570,608 608,455 657,285 632,699
2037 519,301 525,589 520,985 529,527 544,674 557,198 579,267 605,539 656,784 646,604
2038 525,697 530,577 528,786 541,837 557,260 561,612 589,214 604,848 654,909 658,894
2039 532,858 535,595 535,951 553,346 571,235 567,736 597,231 608,373 651,120 666,903
2040 540,823 540,864 542,488 564,111 586,281 574,929 605,507 612,691 646,196 671,314
2041 549,603 546,550 548,547 574,181 602,378 584,020 612,158 619,819 640,940 674,792
Table 9: Female Population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2016–2041 — high scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2016 539,215 513,404 443,604 388,440 286,332 219,049 166,681 118,179 81,152 7,111,354
2017 530,513 525,037 459,963 392,694 310,668 227,546 169,913 121,009 85,707 7,260,277
2018 517,483 537,070 474,970 400,819 331,005 237,626 174,517 123,280 90,303 7,389,816
2019 505,074 547,016 488,202 413,233 348,702 247,707 180,880 125,298 94,470 7,512,096
2020 495,518 550,945 501,120 428,180 366,369 257,813 186,946 127,660 98,858 7,627,628
2021 493,963 544,839 515,760 442,904 380,616 270,822 193,436 130,325 103,429 7,738,220
2022 492,915 535,028 526,587 458,671 384,841 293,930 201,262 133,465 107,313 7,851,047
2023 491,497 521,578 538,175 473,363 392,944 313,391 210,630 137,734 110,989 7,966,080
2024 489,211 509,094 547,956 486,502 405,281 330,408 220,119 143,406 114,319 8,083,211
2025 488,760 499,716 552,038 499,508 420,189 347,419 229,658 148,918 118,218 8,202,312
2026 486,939 498,461 546,407 514,316 434,968 361,324 241,937 154,845 122,578 8,323,246
2027 489,663 497,686 537,147 525,390 450,780 366,089 263,413 161,813 126,871 8,445,850
2028 494,053 496,542 524,295 537,248 465,560 374,497 281,597 170,130 131,904 8,570,009
2029 500,777 494,534 512,440 547,348 478,863 386,895 297,504 178,605 137,732 8,695,593
2030 507,587 494,375 503,629 551,876 492,091 401,753 313,315 187,102 143,833 8,822,416
2031 517,410 492,859 502,804 546,886 507,060 416,469 326,399 197,973 150,493 8,950,378
2032 528,220 495,846 502,409 538,336 518,416 432,156 331,658 216,754 157,838 9,079,497
2033 541,523 500,479 501,645 526,287 530,549 446,906 340,203 232,726 166,647 9,209,788
2034 554,020 507,422 500,057 515,209 540,962 460,289 352,333 246,645 176,029 9,341,218
2035 566,735 514,458 500,298 507,108 545,975 473,636 366,730 260,347 185,544 9,473,928
2036 578,775 524,492 499,205 506,806 541,722 488,666 380,964 271,831 197,119 9,607,992
2037 590,439 535,510 502,553 506,909 533,974 500,252 396,096 277,380 214,940 9,743,521
2038 600,934 549,004 507,521 506,641 522,840 512,578 410,440 285,719 231,371 9,880,682
2039 614,226 561,705 514,768 505,555 512,673 523,276 423,589 297,050 246,383 10,019,573
2040 629,740 574,643 522,100 506,291 505,411 528,787 436,798 310,342 261,063 10,160,379
2041 643,689 586,912 532,415 505,720 505,715 525,427 451,549 323,461 275,422 10,303,298

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2016, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Notes:

1. Population as of July 1.

2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

LIST OF TABLES