September 27, 2012
Population Growth, Ontario,
Population, April 1, 2012
|Minus Net Emigrants||3.3|
|Plus Net Change in Non-Permanent Residents||9.6|
|Plus Interprovincial Arrivals||19.1|
|Minus Interprovincial Departures||23.5|
|Population, July 1, 2012||13,505.9|
|Source: Statistics Canada|
Ontario's population reached 13,505,900 on July 1, 2012, with growth of 41,430 people in the second quarter of 2012. This compares to growth of 41,859 in the same quarter of the previous year.
Births and deaths increased by 1.2% and 3.2%, respectively, from the same quarter of 2011.
Natural increase (births minus deaths) was 11,858 in the quarter, down slightly from 12,188 in the same quarter of 2011.
Immigration to Ontario was 27,651 in the quarter, up 3.5% from the same quarter of the previous year. Ontario received 37.9% of all immigrants to Canada in the quarter, down from 39.5% in the same quarter of 2011. Over the last 12 months Ontario received 101,179 immigrants, down from 105,015 during the previous year.
There were 3,313 emigrants from Ontario in the quarter, little changed from 3,306 in the same quarter of the previous year. Ontario accounted for 42.6% of all emigration from Canada in the quarter.
The number of non-permanent residents in Ontario (NPRs – i.e. foreign students, visa workers, refugee claimants) increased by 9,598 to 277,705 in the second quarter.
In summary, net international migration was 33,936 in the second quarter, up from 31,615 in the same quarter of 2011.
In the second quarter of 2012, Ontario had a net loss of 4,364 people to other provinces compared to a net loss of 1,944 people in the same quarter of 2011. Ontario experienced net gains in its exchanges with five of the 12 other provinces and territories, with the largest net gains from Quebec (1,006) and the Northwest Territories (114). Ontario's largest net losses were with Alberta (-3,685) and Saskatchewan (-843). Over the last 12 months, Ontario's total net interprovincial migration loss was 8,091 compared to a 4,007 loss during the previous year.
Over the last 12 months, Ontario's population grew by 139,606 or 1.0%, lower than growth of 142,505 during the previous year. Among the provinces, Alberta and Saskatchewan had the highest population growth rates (2.5% and 2.1% respectively). Canada's population growth rate over the period was 1.1%.
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|Intercensal Estimates||Postcensal Estimates1||MOF Projections2|
|Ontario as % of Canada||37.4||38.4||38.9||38.8||38.8||38.7||38.7||38.8||38.7||38.8||39.1||39.6||40.0||40.5|
|Ontario Ave. Annual Growth Rate||1.2||1.4||1.3||1.0||1.1||1.1||1.2||1.1||1.0||1.2||1.2||1.2||1.1||1.0|
|(Over previous year shown)|
|AGE DISTRIBUTION (%)|
|SELECTED AGE GROUPS (%)|
|Total Dependency Ratio (%)3||64.1||63.1||60.6||60.3||60.1||59.8||59.4||59.2||59.5||61.3||66.4||73.4||80.2||82.7|
|Median Age (yrs.)||35.0||36.7||38.4||38.7||38.9||39.2||39.4||39.7||39.8||40.4||40.9||41.6||42.4||43.2|
|Age Span of Baby Boom (yrs.)||31-50||36-55||41-60||42-61||43-62||44-63||45-64||46-65||47-66||51-70||56-75||61-80||66-85||71-90|
|Total Fertility Rate 4||1.61||1.53||1.55||1.57||1.58||1.56||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||1.62||1.64||1.66||1.66||1.66|
|Female Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.) 4||81.3||82.1||83.1||83.4||83.6||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||84.9||85.7||86.4||87.1||87.8|
|Male Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.) 4||75.9||77.5||78.8||79.0||79.2||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||81.3||82.4||83.4||84.4||85.3|
|REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION (%)|
|COMPONENTS OF CHANGE (000s)6 – Year Beginning July 1st|
|International Migration||Interprovincial Migration|
|1. Statistics Canada's population estimates, components of change and age groups are 2006 Census-based adjusted for net undercoverage.|
|2. Except for Canada, all projections are produced by the Ontario Ministry of Finance (Spring 2012). Projections for Canada are from Statistics Canada (based on the 2006 Census).|
|3. Total dependency ratio is the ratio of the population aged 0-19 and 65+ to the population aged 20-64.|
|4. Total Fertility Rates and life expectancy estimates are for calendar year, and projections are for census year. Life expectancy estimates for years after 2005 represent three-year averages (e.g., 2008 reported life expectancy corresponds to the average recorded over 2007-2009).|
|5. Families and households are Census data.|
|6. In the "Components of Change" table, flows are for the 12-month period July 1 to June 30. Net international migration is calculated as the net balance of immigrants,net emigrants and net non-permanent residents (NPRs).|
|Note: All population figures are for July 1st.|
|Sources: Ontario Ministry of Finance and Statistics Canada.||September 27, 2012|