March 26 , 2008
| Population Growth, Ontario, 4th Quarter, 2008 | |
| (Thousands) Population,
October 1, 2008 |
12,977.1 |
|---|---|
| Plus Births | 33.8 |
| Minus Deaths |
23.7 |
| Plus Immigrants |
23.8 |
| Minus Net Emigrants |
4.8 |
| Plus Net Change in Non-Permanent Residents |
-12.8 |
| Plus Interprovincial Arrivals |
12.6 |
| Minus Interprovincial Departures |
19.1 |
| Population,January 1, 2009 |
12,986.9 |
| Source: Statistics Canada | |
Ontario’s population reached 12,986,857 on January 1, 2009, with growth of 9,798 people in the fourth quarter. This compares with growth of 12,172 in the same quarter of the previous year.
Births and deaths increased by 1.3 per cent and 3.8 per cent, respectively, from the same quarter of 2007.
Natural increase (births minus deaths) was 10,164 in the quarter, down from 10,582 in the same quarter of 2007.
Immigration to Ontario was 23,777 in the quarter, a decrease of 9.3 per cent from the level of 26,221 in the same quarter of the previous year. Ontario received 44.4 per cent of all immigrants to Canada in the quarter, down from 47.2 per cent in the same quarter of 2007.
There were 4,841 emigrants from Ontario in the quarter, essentially unchanged from 4,818 in the same quarter of the previous year. Ontario accounted for 47.9 per cent of all emigration from Canada in the quarter.
Ontario’s total immigrants and total emigrants were 111,027 and 20,601, respectively, for calendar year 2008.
The number of non-permanent residents in Ontario (NPRs – i.e. foreign students, visa workers, refugee claimants) declined by 12,785 in the fourth quarter.
Net international migration was 6,151 in the fourth quarter, up from 5,637 in the same quarter of the previous year.
For calendar year 2008, net international migration was 105,484, up from 100,005 in the previous year.
In the fourth quarter of 2008, Ontario had a net loss of 6,517 people to other provinces compared to a net loss of 4,047 people in the same quarter of 2007. Ontario experienced net losses in its exchanges with 10 of the other 12 provinces and territories, but mainly with Alberta (4,778).
Over the calendar year 2008, Ontario’s population grew by 134,636 or 1.0 per cent, down from 1.1 per cent in the previous year. Ontario’s population growth rate in 2008 trailed Alberta (2.6%), BC (1.7%), Saskatchewan (1.5%), PEI (1.2%) and Manitoba (1.1%). Canada’s population growth rate for the year was 1.2 per cent.
Contact Paul Lewis (416 325-0821) / Victor Caballero (416 325-0825)
| Intercensal Estimates | Postcensal Estimates1 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1991 | 1996 | 2001 | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | |
| POPULATION (000s) | ||||||
| Canada | 28,037 | 29,610 | 31,019 | 32,576 | 32,927 | 33,311 |
| Ontario | 10,431 | 11,083 | 11,897 | 12,665 | 12,794 | 12,929 |
| Ontario as % of Canada | 37.2 | 37.4 | 38.4 | 38.9 | 38.9 | 38.8 |
| Ontario Ave. Annual Growth Rate | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| (Over previous year shown) | ||||||
| AGE DISTRIBUTION (%) | ||||||
| 0-4 | 7.0 | 6.8 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.4 |
| 5-14 | 13.2 | 13.5 | 13.5 | 12.3 | 12.0 | 11.8 |
| 15-24 | 14.5 | 13.2 | 13.4 | 13.8 | 13.8 | 13.8 |
| 25-44 | 34.3 | 32.9 | 31.5 | 29.4 | 29.0 | 28.6 |
| 45-64 | 19.6 | 21.3 | 23.2 | 25.9 | 26.5 | 27.0 |
| 65-74 | 7.0 | 7.3 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 6.9 | 7.1 |
| 75+ | 4.6 | 5.0 | 5.6 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.4 |
| SELECTED AGE GROUPS (%) | ||||||
| 0-14 | 20.2 | 20.3 | 19.4 | 17.8 | 17.5 | 17.2 |
| 15-64 | 68.3 | 67.4 | 68.1 | 69.1 | 69.3 | 69.4 |
| 65+ | 11.5 | 12.2 | 12.5 | 13.1 | 13.3 | 13.5 |
| OTHER CHARACTERISTICS | ||||||
| Total Dependency Ratio (%)3 | 62.6 | 64.1 | 63.1 | 60.6 | 60.3 | 60.0 |
| Median Age (yrs.) | 33.3 | 35.0 | 36.7 | 38.4 | 38.7 | 39.0 |
| Age Span of Baby Boom (yrs.) | 26-45 | 31-50 | 36-55 | 41-60 | 42-61 | 43-62 |
| Total Fertility Rate 4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Female Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.) 4 | 80.8 | 81.3 | 82.2 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Male Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.) 4 | 75.0 | 75.9 | 77.5 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Families (000s)5 | 2,727 | 2,933 | 3,191 | 3,422 | n.a. | n.a. |
| Households (000s)5 | 3,638 | 3,925 | 4,219 | 4,555 | n.a. | n.a. |
| REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION (%) | ||||||
| GTA | 42.0 | 43.0 | 44.6 | 46.4 | 46.8 | n.a. |
| Central | 22.2 | 22.1 | 22.1 | 21.7 | 21.6 | n.a. |
| Eastern | 13.8 | 13.8 | 13.5 | 13.1 | 13.0 | n.a. |
| Southwestern | 13.7 | 13.4 | 13.0 | 12.4 | 12.4 | n.a. |
| Northeastern | 5.8 | 5.4 | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.4 | n.a. |
| Northwestern | 2.4 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.8 | n.a. |
| ONTARIO DEMOGRAPHIC FACTSHEET1 | |||||
| MOF Projections2 | |||||
| 2011 | 2016 | 2021 | 2026 | 2031 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POPULATION (000s) | |||||
| Canada | 33,910 | 35,267 | 36,609 | 37,883 | 39,029 |
| Ontario | 13,349 | 14,150 | 14,937 | 15,688 | 16,366 |
| Ontario as % of Canada | 39.4 | 40.1 | 40.8 | 41.4 | 41.9 |
| Ontario Ave. Annual Growth Rate | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| (Over previous year shown) | |||||
| AGE DISTRIBUTION (%) | |||||
| 0-4 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 | 4.9 |
| 5-14 | 11.2 | 10.6 | 10.5 | 10.6 | 10.6 |
| 15-24 | 13.4 | 12.7 | 11.6 | 11.0 | 11.0 |
| 25-44 | 28.1 | 27.7 | 27.7 | 27.2 | 26.2 |
| 45-64 | 28.1 | 28.1 | 27.5 | 26.4 | 25.4 |
| 65-74 | 7.4 | 8.9 | 10.1 | 11.0 | 11.9 |
| 75+ | 6.5 | 6.8 | 7.4 | 8.7 | 10.0 |
| SELECTED AGE GROUPS (%) | |||||
| 0-14 | 16.4 | 15.8 | 15.8 | 15.7 | 15.5 |
| 15-64 | 69.6 | 68.5 | 66.8 | 64.6 | 62.7 |
| 65+ | 14.0 | 15.6 | 17.5 | 19.7 | 21.9 |
| OTHER CHARACTERISTICS | |||||
| Total Dependency Ratio (%)3 | 58.7 | 59.8 | 63.0 | 68.8 | 74.7 |
| Median Age (yrs.) | |||||
| Age Span of Baby Boom (yrs.) | 46-65 | 51-70 | 56-75 | 61-80 | 66-85 |
| Total Fertility Rate 4 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Female Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.) 4 | 83.2 | 83.6 | 84.1 | 84.5 | 85.0 |
| Male Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.) 4 | 79.4 | 80.2 | 80.9 | 81.7 | 82.5 |
| Families (000s)5 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| Households (000s)5 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
| REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION (%) | |||||
| GTA | 47.7 | 48.7 | 49.5 | 50.2 | 50.8 |
| Central | 21.5 | 21.4 | 21.3 | 21.3 | 21.2 |
| Eastern | 12.8 | 12.6 | 12.5 | 12.3 | 12.2 |
| Southwestern | 12.1 | 11.8 | 11.5 | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| Northeastern | 4.2 | 3.9 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Northwestern | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| COMPONENTS OF CHANGE6 (000s)6 – Year Beginning July 1st | |||||
| Period | Population, Beginning of Period |
Total Change |
Births | Deaths | Natural Increase |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Five-Year | |||||
| 1991-96 | 10,431 | 652 | 738 | 381 | 357 |
| 1996-2001 | 11,083 | 814 | 659 | 403 | 256 |
| 2001-06 | 11,897 | 769 | 658 | 418 | 240 |
| Annual | |||||
| 2006-07 | 12,665 | 128 | 136 | 86 | 50 |
| 2007-08 | 12,794 | 135 | 136 | 89 | 48 |
| COMPONENTS OF CHANGE6 (000s)6 – Year Beginning July 1st | |||||||
| International Migration | Interprovincial Migration | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Period | Immig. | Net Emig |
Net NPRs |
Net | In | Out | Net |
| Five-Year | |||||||
| 1991-96 | 632 | 123 | -115 | 394 | 338 | 378 | -40 |
| 1996-2001 | 584 | 124 | 41 | 501 | 371 | 303 | 69 |
| 2001-06 | 653 | 90 | 43 | 607 | 307 | 336 | -30 |
| Annual | |||||||
| 2006-07 | 115 | 19 | 2 | 98 | 59 | 79 | -20 |
| 2007-08 | 115 | 21 | 10 | 104 | 79 | 95 | -17 |
| 1. Statistics Canada's population estimates and components of change are 2006 Census-based adjusted for net undercoverage (parts of the table shaded). The | |||||||
| rest of the table (e.g. age groups, regional population) is still 2001 Census-based. These will be updated as 2006 Census-based information becomes available. | |||||||
| 2. Except for Canada, all projections are produced by Ontario Ministry of Finance, 2007-2031 (Spring 2008 Update). Projections for Canada are Statistics Canada. | |||||||
| 3. Total dependency ratio is the ratio of the population aged 0-19 and 65+ (elderly) to the population aged 20-64. | |||||||
| 4. Total Fertility Rates and life expectancy estimates are for calendar year, and projections are for census year. | |||||||
| 5. Families and households are Census data. | |||||||
| 6. In the "Components of Change" table, flows are for the 12-month period July 1 to June 30. Net international migration is calculated as the net balance of immigrants, | |||||||
| net emigrants and net non-permanent residents (NPRs). | |||||||
| Note: All population figures are for July 1st. | |||||||
| Sources: Statistics Canada and Ontario Ministry of Finance. March 26, 2009 | |||||||