March 16, 2016
Population Growth, Ontario,
Population, October 1, 2015
|Plus Net Change in Non-Permanent Residents||-9.9|
|Plus Interprovincial Arrivals||11.6|
|Minus Interprovincial Departures||10.7|
|Population, January 1, 2016||13,873.9|
|* Emigrants plus net change in temporary emigrants
minus returning Canadians.
Source: Statistics Canada
Ontario’s population reached 13,873,933 on January 1, 2016, with an increase of 23,843 people in the fourth quarter of 2015. This compares to an increase of 4,993 in the same quarter of the previous year.
Births increased by 0.9% and deaths increased by 3.4%, from the same quarter of 2014.
Natural increase (births minus deaths) was 10,047 in the quarter, down from 10,575 in the same quarter of 2014.
Immigration to Ontario was 27,379 in the quarter, up 42.1% from the same quarter of the previous year. Ontario received 38.1% of all immigrants to Canada in the quarter, up from 37.0% in the same quarter of 2014. Over the last 12 months Ontario received 103,596 immigrants, up from 95,828 during the previous year.
There were 4,628 emigrants from Ontario in the quarter, similar to the same quarter of the previous year. Ontario accounted for 40.0% of all emigration from Canada in the quarter.
The number of non-permanent residents in Ontario (NPRs – i.e. foreign students, visa workers, refugee claimants) decreased by 9,906 to 318,692 in the fourth quarter.
In summary, there was a net international migration gain of 12,845 in the fourth quarter, up from a net loss of 3,390 in the same quarter of 2014.
In the fourth quarter of 2015, Ontario had a net inflow of 951 people from other provinces and territories compared to a net outflow of 2,192 people in the same quarter of 2014. Ontario experienced net gains in its exchanges with nine of the 12 other provinces and territories, with the largest net gains from Quebec (1,344) and Alberta (327). Ontario’s largest net outflows were with British Columbia (-915) and Newfoundland and Labrador (-12). Over the last 12 months, Ontario’s total net interprovincial migration outflow was 3,080 compared to a net loss of 14,681 during the previous year.
Over the last 12 months, Ontario’s population grew by 138,803 or 1.0%, higher than growth of 121,399 during the previous year. Among the provinces, Alberta and Manitoba had the highest population growth rates (1.7% and 1.3% respectively). Canada’s population growth rate over the period was 0.9%.
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|Ontario as % of Canada||38.4||38.9||38.6||38.6||38.5||38.5||38.5||38.5||38.7||39.0||39.4||39.8||40.1|
|Ontario Ave. Annual Growth Rate
(Over previous year shown)
|Total Dependency Ratio (%)3||63.0||60.6||60.3||60.6||60.9||61.2||61.5||62.1||66.8||74.1||80.9||84.2||84.8|
|Median Age (yrs.)||36.7||38.4||39.8||40.0||40.2||40.4||40.6||40.9||41.6||42.4||43.2||44.1||44.9|
|Age Span of Baby Boom (yrs.)||36-55||41-60||46-65||47-66||48-67||49-68||50-69||51-70||56-75||61-80||66-85||71-90||76-95|
|Total Fertility Rate4||1.53||1.55||1.55||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||1.57||1.58||1.59||1.60||1.60||1.60|
|Female Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.)4||82.1||83.1||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||84.9||85.7||86.5||87.3||88.0||88.7|
|Male Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.)4||77.5||78.8||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||n.a.||81.2||82.4||83.5||84.6||85.6||86.6|
Beginning of Period
|Total Change||Births||Deaths||Natural Increase|
|International Migration||Interprovincial Migration|
|Period||Immigration||Net Emigration||Net NPRs||Net||In||Out||Net|
1. Statistics Canada’s population estimates, based on the 2011 Census.
2. Except for Canada, projections are produced by the Ontario Ministry of Finance (Fall 2014). Projections for Canada are from Statistics Canada (based on 2011 Census).
3. Total dependency ratio is the ratio of the population aged 0–19 and 65+ to the population aged 20-64.
4. Total Fertility Rates and life expectancy estimates are for calendar year, and projections are for census year. Life expectancy estimates for years after 2006 represent three-year averages (e.g., 2006 reported life expectancy corresponds to the average recorded over 2005-2007).
5. Families and households are Census data.
6. In the “Components of Change” table, flows are for the 12-month period July 1 to June 30. Net international migration is calculated as the net balance of immigrants, net emigrants and net non-permanent residents (NPRs). Components may not add up due to existence of residuals.
Note: All population figures are for July 1st.
Sources: Ontario Ministry of Finance and Statistics Canada.
March 16, 2016