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2006 Ontario Economic Outlook and Fiscal Review

Annex VIII
Economic Data Tables


Ontario Labour Markets
Ontario, Labour Force, 1992–2005
Ontario, Employment, 1992–2005
Ontario, Unemployment, 1992–2005
Ontario, Employment Insurance (EI) and Social Assistance, 1992–2005
Ontario, Labour Compensation, 1992–2005
Ontario, Employment by Occupation, 1994–2005
Ontario, Distribution of Employment by Occupation, 1994–2005
Ontario, Employment by Industry, 1996–2005
Ontario, Growth in Employment by Industry, 1996–2005
Ontario, Employment Level by Economic Regions, 1995–2005
Ontario, Employment Level by Industry for Economic Regions, 2005
Ontario Economic Regions

(Note: Data in the tables may not add to totals due to rounding.)

Table 22: Ontario, Labour Force, 1992-2005
  1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Labour Force (000s) 5,529 5,544 5,548 5,589 5,680 5,776 5,877 6,018 6,173 6,327 6,494 6,676 6,775 6,849
Annual Labour Force Growth (%) (0.3) 0.3 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.7 1.7 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.8 1.5 1.1
Participation Rate (%)
Male 75.1 74.3 73.4 72.7 72.6 72.8 72.5 73.1 73.3 73.4 73.6 74.3 74.1 73.5
Female 59.9 59.4 58.8 58.6 58.9 59.0 59.6 60.3 61.0 61.4 62.0 63.0 63.0 62.7
Share of Labour Force (%)
Youth (15-24) 18.1 17.3 16.8 16.4 16.2 15.9 15.8 16.1 16.4 16.3 16.4 16.3 16.2 15.9
Older Workers (45+) 27.4 28.1 28.8 29.1 29.5 30.2 30.7 31.4 32.0 32.6 33.4 34.7 35.4 36.1

Source: Statistics Canada.

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Table 23: Ontario, Employment, 1992-2005
  1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Total Employment (000s) 4,933 4,938 5,014 5,100 5,167 5,291 5,453 5,637 5,817 5,926 6,031 6,213 6,317 6,398
Male 2,658 2,673 2,714 2,761 2,791 2,870 2,936 3,035 3,125 3,167 3,209 3,301 3,349 3,390
Female 2,275 2,265 2,300 2,339 2,376 2,421 2,518 2,602 2,692 2,759 2,822 2,912 2,967 3,008
Annual Employment Growth (%) (1.7) 0.1 1.5 1.7 1.3 2.4 3.1 3.4 3.2 1.9 1.8 3.0 1.7 1.3
Net Job Creation (000s) (84) 5 76 86 67 124 162 183 180 109 105 182 103 81
Private-sector Employment (000s) 3,229 3,200 3,262 3,375 3,440 3,508 3,649 3,784 3,930 4,052 4,116 4,249 4,278 4,330
Public-sector Employment (000s) 1,029 1,027 1,028 1,003 977 938 938 962 994 1,002 1,038 1,050 1,107 1,140
Self-employment (000s) 676 711 724 723 750 845 867 891 894 873 878 914 932 928
Manufacturing Employment (% of total) 17.3 16.6 16.8 17.2 17.6 17.7 18.0 18.4 18.5 18.0 18.1 17.6 17.4 16.6
Services Employment (% of total) 72.6 73.7 73.8 73.6 73.5 73.5 73.3 72.8 72.9 73.4 73.4 73.8 74.1 74.4
Part-time (% of total) 18.5 19.5 19.0 18.7 19.2 19.2 18.7 18.0 18.0 17.8 18.3 18.5 18.1 18.1
Average Hours Worked Per Week 1 36.7 37.2 37.6 37.3 37.6 37.8 37.8 38.0 38.0 37.5 37.3 36.6 37.1 37.3

1 Average actual hours worked per week at all jobs, excluding persons not at work, in reference week.
Source: Statistics Canada.

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Table 24: Ontario, Unemployment, 1992–2005
  1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Total Unemployment (000s) 596 605 535 489 513 485 424 382 356 401 462 463 459 451
Unemployment Rate (%) 10.8 10.9 9.6 8.7 9.0 8.4 7.2 6.3 5.8 6.3 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.6
Male 11.9 11.5 10.0 8.9 9.0 8.1 7.2 6.2 5.6 6.5 7.4 7.1 6.9 6.6
Female 9.4 10.2 9.2 8.6 9.1 8.7 7.3 6.5 6.0 6.2 6.8 6.8 6.6 6.5
Toronto CMA 1 11.3 11.3 10.4 8.6 9.1 7.9 7.0 6.1 5.5 6.3 7.4 7.7 7.5 7.0
Northern Ontario 12.8 12.7 11.7 10.0 10.7 10.4 11.1 9.1 8.3 8.0 8.1 7.4 7.8 7.0
Youth (15–24) 17.7 17.7 15.7 14.7 14.9 16.4 14.5 13.2 11.9 12.5 13.9 14.4 14.1 13.9
Older Workers (45+) 7.5 7.7 7.1 6.5 6.4 5.9 5.3 4.2 4.0 4.4 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.7
Share of Total Unemployment (%)
Long-term Unemployed (27 weeks+) 29.9 33.5 32.6 29.5 28.2 25.5 21.9 19.1 15.4 12.8 15.5 16.2 15.6 15.1
Youth (15–24) 29.6 28.1 27.5 27.7 26.8 31.0 31.6 33.7 33.7 32.2 32.1 33.9 33.9 33.5
Older Workers (45+) 19.2 19.7 21.2 21.6 20.8 21.4 22.6 20.8 22.4 22.9 22.0 23.5 23.4 25.9
Average Duration (weeks) 2 23.4 26.9 27.7 25.9 24.8 26.5 23.2 21.3 17.7 15.3 16.3 17.0 16.1 16.1
Youth (15–24) 16.8 18.3 17.9 16.3 15.4 13.8 12.8 11.6 9.8 8.6 9.4 9.4 8.8 8.7
Older Workers (45+) 30.0 34.0 34.9 33.4 31.0 42.2 39.0 34.2 28.4 25.6 24.4 27.2 24.3 23.9

1 CMA is Census Metropolitan Area. Toronto CMA includes the city of Toronto; the regions of York, Peel and Halton (excluding Burlington); Uxbridge, Pickering, Ajax, Mono, Orangeville, New Tecumseth and Bradford West Gwillimbury.
2 Prior to 1997, unemployment of 100 or more weeks was recorded as 99 due to data processing limitations. This restriction was removed for data after 1996.
Source: Statistics Canada.

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Table 25: Ontario, Employment Insurance (EI) And Social Assistance, 1992–2005
  1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
EI Regular Beneficiaries (000s) 322 294 228 181 180 151 131 110 101 122 136 142 136 132
EI Maximum Insurable Earnings ($) 1 710 745 780 815 750 39,000 39,000 39,000 39,000 39,000 39,000 39,000 39,000 39,000
EI Maximum Weekly Entitlement ($) 426 425 429 448 413 413 413 413 413 413 413 413 413 413
EI Premium Rate
Employer ($/$100 Insurable Earnings) 4.20 4.20 4.30 4.20 4.13 4.06 3.78 3.57 3.36 3.15 3.08 2.94 2.77 2.73
Employee ($/$100 Insurable Earnings) 3.00 3.00 3.07 3.00 2.95 2.90 2.70 2.55 2.40 2.25 2.20 2.10 1.98 1.95
EI Total Benefits Paid ($ millions) 2 5,845 5,406 4,511 3,796 3,653 3,436 3,141 3,051 2,787 3,524 4,328 4,342 4,429 4,325
EI Premiums Paid ($ millions) 2 7,353 7,567 8,067 7,929 7,582 8,173 7,679 7,614 7,671 7,477 7,392 7,219 6,711 3 6,947 3
Social Assistance Caseload (000s) 4 608 660 673 660 599 568 529 479 436 408 411 413 418 431

1 Effective January 1, 1997, the maximum weekly insurable earnings of $750 was eliminated and replaced with an annual maximum set at $39,000.
2 Employment Insurance benefit payments are on a cash basis; premiums are paid on an accrual basis.
3 Premiums paid in 2004 and 2005 are Ontario Ministry of Finance estimates.
4 The number of social assistance cases from 1998 to 2005 includes recipients of the Ontario Works program, the Ontario Disability Support Program, Temporary Care Assistance and the Assistance for Children with Severe Disabilities program. The Ontario Works Act was proclaimed in May 1998 and replaced the General Welfare Act. The Ontario Disability Support Program Act was proclaimed in June 1998.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Human Resources and Social Development Canada, Ontario Ministry of Finance and Ontario Ministry of Community and Social Services.

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Table 26: Ontario, Labour Compensation, 1992–2005
  1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998
Average Weekly Earnings ($)1 598.80 612.33 628.16 634.17 649.55 663.73 672.67
Increase (%) 3.9 2.3 2.6 1.0 2.4 2.2 1.3
CPI Inflation (%) 1.0 1.8 0.0 2.5 1.5 1.9 0.9
AWE Increase Less CPI Inflation (%) 2.9 0.5 2.6 (1.5) 0.9 0.3 0.4
AWE - Manufacturing ($) 716.55 739.20 761.95 770.80 794.09 821.28 841.78
Increase (%) 4.9 3.2 3.1 1.2 3.0 3.4 2.5
Increase Less CPI Inflation (%) 3.9 1.4 3.1 (1.3) 1.5 1.5 1.6
Wage Settlement Increases (%) 2
All Sectors 2.7 1.0 0.4 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.6
Public 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.3
Private 2.7 1.9 1.1 1.7 2.2 2.3 2.1
Person Days Lost Due to Strikes and Lockouts (000s) 578 371 488 477 1,915 1,904 1,061
Minimum Wage at Year-end ($/hour) 6.35 6.35 6.70 6.85 6.85 6.85 6.85
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Table 26: (Continued)
  1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Average Weekly Earnings ($)1 683.70 700.12 712.88 726.21 734.78 748.10 768.59
Increase (%) 1.6 2.4 1.8 1.9 1.2 1.8 2.7
CPI Inflation (%) 1.9 2.9 3.1 2.0 2.7 1.9 2.2
AWE Increase Less CPI Inflation (%) (0.3) (0.5) (1.3) (0.1) (1.5) (0.1) 0.5
AWE - Manufacturing ($) 852.13 869.40 882.76 906.10 917.84 934.23 956.42
Increase (%) 1.2 2.0 1.5 2.6 1.3 1.8 2.4
Increase Less CPI Inflation (%) (0.7) (0.9) (1.6) 0.6 (1.4) (0.1) 0.2
Wage Settlement Increases (%) 2
All Sectors 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.8 2.7
Public 1.4 2.7 2.9 2.9 3.5 3.1 2.7
Private 3.1 2.4 3.0 3.0 1.9 2.6 2.4
Person Days Lost Due to Strikes and Lockouts (000s) 651 650 672 1,511 495 487 403
Minimum Wage at Year-end ($/hour) 6.85 6.85 6.85 6.85 6.85 7.15 7.45

1 Average Weekly Earnings (AWE) includes overtime. In 2001, Statistics Canada changed its estimates of AWE from the 1980 Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) to the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS).
2 Wage settlement increases are for collective agreements covering 200 or more employees, Ontario Ministry of Labour.
Sources: Statistics Canada, Ontario Ministry of Labour and Ontario Ministry of Finance.

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Table 27: Ontario, Employment by Occupation, 1994–2005
  (Thousands)
  1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Management 504 544 535 546 550 546 562 551 562 587 620 625
Business, Finance and Administrative 979 982 981 974 1,010 1,031 1,056 1,115 1,119 1,149 1,203 1,176
Natural and Applied Sciences 275 304 295 327 354 398 427 455 445 448 437 470
Health 261 258 253 267 264 272 280 291 321 332 345 346
Social Science, Education, Government Service and Religion 428 398 400 403 422 442 453 468 472 474 476 544
Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport 147 142 149 149 156 169 172 183 177 188 200 199
Sales and Service 1,129 1,152 1,185 1,199 1,237 1,281 1,342 1,359 1,393 1,457 1,435 1,448
Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators 737 756 769 808 825 820 835 850 867 890 899 910
Primary Industry 147 142 141 143 138 152 142 130 123 131 134 143
Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities 407 423 459 477 496 526 548 524 552 558 568 537
Total 5,014 5,100 5,167 5,291 5,453 5,637 5,817 5,926 6,031 6,213 6,317 6,398

Note: Occupational groupings based on National Occupational Classification for Statistics (NOC-S) 2001.
Source: Statistics Canada.

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Table 28: Ontario, Distribution of Employment by Occupation, 1994–2005
  (Per Cent)
  1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Management 10.0 10.7 10.4 10.3 10.1 9.7 9.7 9.3 9.3 9.4 9.8 9.8
Business, Finance and Administrative 19.5 19.2 19.0 18.4 18.5 18.3 18.1 18.8 18.6 18.5 19.0 18.4
Natural and Applied Sciences 5.5 6.0 5.7 6.2 6.5 7.1 7.3 7.7 7.4 7.2 6.9 7.3
Health 5.2 5.1 4.9 5.1 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.9 5.3 5.3 5.5 5.4
Social Science, Education, Government Service and Religion 8.5 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.7 7.8 7.8 7.9 7.8 7.6 7.5 8.5
Art, Culture, Recreation and Sport 2.9 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.1 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.1
Sales and Service 22.5 22.6 22.9 22.7 22.7 22.7 23.1 22.9 23.1 23.5 22.7 22.6
Trades, Transport and Equipment Operators 14.7 14.8 14.9 15.3 15.1 14.5 14.4 14.3 14.4 14.3 14.2 14.2
Primary Industry 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.7 2.4 2.2 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2
Processing, Manufacturing and Utilities 8.1 8.3 8.9 9.0 9.1 9.3 9.4 8.8 9.1 9.0 9.0 8.4
Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0

Note: Occupational groupings based on National Occupational Classification for Statistics (NOC-S) 2001.
Source: Statistics Canada.

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Table 29: Ontario, Employment by Industry, 1996–2005
  (Thousands)
  1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Goods Producing Industries 1,368 1,404 1,457 1,533 1,576 1,575 1,603 1,630 1,639 1,637
Primary Industries 150 141 143 152 133 119 112 113 113 128
Agriculture 103 100 105 114 98 84 77 82 79 93
Manufacturing 907 935 981 1,035 1,075 1,068 1,094 1,093 1,100 1,064
Construction 261 280 285 298 323 336 345 369 368 395
Utilities 51 48 48