2007 Ontario Economic Outlook and Fiscal Review
Table of Contents
ANNEX I: A STRONGER ONTARIO
- Investments for a Stronger Ontario
- Enhancing Competitiveness Through Immediate Tax Reductions
Investing in Tourism and Film
Encouraging Innovation - Investing in People and Communities
Helping Workers and Communities Adjust to Competitive Challenges
Ontario's Skilled and Highly Educated Workforce: A Key Advantage - Investing in Infrastructure
- Enhancing Competitiveness Through Immediate Tax Reductions
ANNEX II: ENHANCING ONTARIO'S TAX COMPETITIVENESS
ANNEX III: ECONOMIC AND FISCAL OUTLOOK
Section A: Introduction
Section B: Economic Outlook
- Challenging External Economic Environment
- U.S. Sub-Prime Mortgage Defaults Challenge Financial Market Liquidity
- Interest Rates to Trend Modestly Higher
- United States Set to Overcome Setbacks
- Oil Prices Are Expected to Remain High
- Stronger Canadian Dollar Challenges Business
- High Dollar Will Challenge Ontario's Trade Performance
- Inflation Will Remain Stable
Section C: Ontario's Fiscal Plan
Section D: Ontario's Revenue Outlook
Section E: Ontario's Expense Outlook
- 2007–08 In-Year Expense Changes
- Investing in Infrastructure and Transportation
- Agriculture Sector Support
- Education Investments
- Initiatives to Enhance Competitiveness
- Investing in People and Communities
- Health Sector Investments
- Children's and Social Services Investments
- Justice Sector Investments
- Northern and Rural Investments
- Other Investments
- Medium-Term Expense Outlook
- Expense Risks and Sensitivities
- Contingent Liabilities
Section F: Details on Ontario's Finances
ANNEX IV: BORROWING AND DEBT MANAGEMENT
ANNEX V: TRANSPARENCY IN TAXATION
- Structure of the Report
- Scope
- Method
- Personal Income Tax
- Personal Income Tax — Description of Tax Provisions
- Corporate Tax
- Corporate Tax — Description of Tax Provisions
- Sales and Commodity Tax
- Sales and Commodity Tax — Description of Tax Provisions
- Education Property Tax
- Employer Health Tax
- Estate Administration Tax
- Gross Revenue Charge
ANNEX VI: Economic Data Tables
ANNEX VII: How to Participate in the 2008 Pre-Budget Consultations
List of Tables
ANNEX II: ENHANCING ONTARIO'S TAX COMPETITIVENESS
- Table 1: Ontario's Accelerated Capital Tax Elimination Plan with Proposed New Initiatives
- Table 2: Fiscal Impact Summary of Proposed Tax Measures
ANNEX III: ECONOMIC AND FISCAL OUTLOOK
Section B: Ontario's Economic Outlook
- Table 1: Ontario Economic Outlook
- Table 2: Private-Sector Forecasts for Ontario Real GDP Growth
- Table 3: Impacts of Changes in Key Assumptions on Ontario Real GDP Growth
- Table 4: Key External Factors Affecting Ontario's Economy
- Table 5: The Ontario Economy in 2007
- Table 6: Canadian Interest Rate Outlook
- Table 7: The Ontario Economy, 2005 to 2010
Section C: Ontario's Fiscal Plan
Section D: Ontario's Revenue Outlook
- Table 10: Summary of 2007–08 In-Year Revenue Change Since 2007 Ontario Budget
- Table 11: Summary of Medium-Term Outlook
- Table 12: Summary of Medium-Term Personal Income Tax Outlook
- Table 13: Summary of Medium-Term Corporations Tax Outlook
- Table 14: Summary of Medium-Term Revenue Change Since Budget
- Table 15: Selected Economic and Revenue Risks and Sensitivities
Section E: Ontario's Expense Outlook
- Table 16: Summary of In-Year Expense Changes Since Budget
- Table 17: Selected Expense Risks and Sensitivities
- Table 18: Selected Compensation Costs
Section F: Details on Ontario's Finances
- Table 19: Medium-Term Fiscal Plan and Outlook
- Table 20: 2007–08 Fiscal Outlook — In-Year Change
- Table 21: Revenue
- Table 22: Total Expense
- Table 23: 2007–08 Infrastructure Expenditures
- Table 24: Ten-Year Review of Selected Financial and Economic Statistics
ANNEX IV: BORROWING AND DEBT MANAGEMENT
ANNEX V: TRANSPARENCY IN TAXATION
- Table 1: Personal Income Tax
- Table 2: Amounts on Which Indexed Non-Refundable Tax Credits Are Based
- Table 3: Corporate Tax
- Table 4: Sales and Commodity Tax
- Table 5: Education Property Tax
- Table 6: Employer Health Tax (EHT)
- Table 7: Estate Administration Tax
- Table 8: Gross Revenue Charge (GRC)
ANNEX VI: ECONOMIC DATA TABLES
- Table 1: Ontario, Gross Domestic Product, 1993–2006
- Table 2: Ontario, Growth in Gross Domestic Product, 1993–2006
- Table 3: Ontario, Selected Economic Indicators, 1993–2006
- Table 4: Ontario, Selected Economic Indicators, Annual Change, 1993–2006
- Table 5: Ontario, Real Gross Domestic Product by Industry at Basic Prices, 2003–2006.. 133
- Table 6: Ontario, Growth in Real Gross Domestic Product by Industry at Basic Prices, 2003–2006
- Table 7: Ontario, Real Gross Domestic Product at Basic Prices in Selected Manufacturing Industries, 2003–2006
- Table 8: Ontario, Growth in Real Gross Domestic Product at Basic Prices in Selected Manufacturing Industries, 2003–2006
- Table 9: Ontario, Housing Market Indicators, 2003–2006
- Table 10: Selected Financial Indicators, 1993–2006
- Table 11: Ontario and the G7, Real Gross Domestic Product Growth, 1993–2006
- Table 12: Ontario and the G7, Employment Growth, 1993–2006
- Table 13: Ontario and the G7, Unemployment Rates, 1993–2006
- Table 14: Ontario and the G7, CPI Inflation Rates, 1993–2006
- Table 15: G7, Exchange Rates, 1993–2006
- Table 16: Ontario, International Merchandise Exports by Major Commodity, 2006
- Table 17: Ontario, International Merchandise Imports by Major Commodity, 2006
- Table 18: Ontario, International Merchandise Trade by Major Region, 2006
- Table 19: Canada, International Merchandise Trade by Major Region, 2006
- Table 20: Ontario, Selected Demographic Characteristics, 1991–2007
- Table 21: Ontario, Components of Population Growth, 1997–98 to 2006–07
- Table 22: Ontario, Labour Force, 1993–2006
- Table 23: Ontario, Employment, 1993–2006
- Table 24: Ontario, Unemployment, 1993–2006
- Table 25: Ontario, Employment Insurance (EI) and Social Assistance, 1993–2006
- Table 26: Ontario, Labour Compensation, 1993–2006
- Table 27: Ontario, Employment by Occupation, 1995–2006
- Table 28: Ontario, Distribution of Employment by Occupation, 1995–2006
- Table 29: Ontario, Employment by Industry, 1997–2006
- Table 30: Ontario, Growth in Employment by Industry, 1997–2006
- Table 31: Ontario, Employment Level by Economic Regions, 1996–2006
- Table 32: Ontario, Employment Level by Industry for Economic Regions, 200
- Table 33: Ontario Economic Regions
List of Charts
ANNEX I: A STRONGER ONTARIO
- Chart 1: Ontario's Combined CIT Rates Are Falling
- Chart 2: Structure of Ontario's Economy, 2006
- Chart 3: EI Funding Per Unemployed Person in Ontario and the Rest of Canada, 2006
ANNEX II: ENHANCING ONTARIO'S TAX COMPETITIVENESS
ANNEX III: ONTARIO'S ECONOMIC AND FISCAL OUTLOOK
Section B: Ontario's Economic Outlook
- Chart 1: Private-Sector Forecasts
- Chart 2: U.S. Sub-Prime Fallout
- Chart 3: 10-Year Government of Canada Bond Rate
- Chart 4: U.S. Real GDP Growth
- Chart 5: Crude Oil Prices
- Chart 6: Canadian Dollar
- Chart 7: Ontario CPI Inflation Rate
- Chart 8: Real Business Investment
- Chart 9: Employment
- Chart 10: Real After-Tax Income
- Chart 11: Real Consumer Spending
- Chart 12: Ontario Housing Starts
Section C: Ontario's Fiscal Plan
- Chart 13: Ontario's Strong Fiscal Performance
- Chart 14: Continual Improvement in Ontario's Debt-to-GDP Ratio
Section D: Ontario's Revenue Outlook
Section F: Details on Ontario's Finances
- Chart 16: Composition of Revenue Outlook. 2007–08
- Chart 17: Composition of Total Expense Outlook, 2007–08
- Chart 18: Composition of Program Expense Outlook, 2007–08


