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PROJECTED POPULATION FOR ONTARIO UNDER THREE SCENARIOS, 2001-2031

TABLE 1
(000s)		 PROJECTED POPULATION FOR ONTARIO UNDER THREE SCENARIOS, 2001-2031
Year Estimates Reference
Scenario1		 Low
Scenario2		 High
Scenario3
2001 11,897.6      
2002 12,102.0      
2003 12,262.6      
2004 12,420.3      
2005 12,565.4      
2006 12,705.3      
2007 12,803.9      
Projections        
2008   12,919.6 12,864.1 12,973.2
2009   13,050.8 12,939.8 13,157.4
2010   13,193.8 13,027.6 13,352.8
2011   13,349.1 13,127.8 13,559.8
2012   13,510.0 13,233.8 13,771.7
2013   13,670.5 13,337.5 13,985.3
2014   13,830.7 13,439.0 14,200.8
2015   13,990.5 13,538.3 14,418.0
2016   14,150.0 13,635.5 14,636.8
2017   14,309.0 13,730.3 14,857.2
2018   14,467.4 13,822.9 15,079.0
2019   14,625.1 13,913.0 15,301.9
2020   14,781.9 14,000.6 15,525.8
2021   14,937.5 14,085.4 15,750.3
2022   15,091.6 14,167.1 15,975.2
2023   15,244.1 14,245.7 16,200.0
2024   15,394.5 14,320.7 16,424.5
2025   15,542.7 14,391.9 16,648.3
2026   15,688.1 14,459.1 16,871.1
2027   15,830.6 14,521.9 17,092.6
2028   15,969.9 14,580.2 17,312.5
2029   16,105.7 14,633.7 17,530.5
2030   16,237.9 14,682.1 17,746.5
2031   16,366.2 14,725.5 17,960.4
Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2001 to 2007, and projections of Ontario Ministry of Finance. Population at July 1.
Notes: 1. Reference Scenario assumes that the Total Fertility Rate increases slightly to 1.53 by 2011.
The long-term immigration assumption is 131,000 annually.
2. Low Scenario assumes that the Total Fertility Rate declines gradually to 1.3 by 2031.
The long-term immigration assumption is 100,000 annually.
3. High Scenario assumes that the Total Fertility Rate increases gradually to 1.75 by 2031.
The long-term immigration assumption is 160,000 annually.

LIST OF TABLES

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