CHARACTERISTICS OF ONTARIO POPULATION IN 2031 UNDER THREE SCENARIOs
| TABLE 2 (000s unless otherwise noted) |
CHARACTERISTICS OF ONTARIO POPULATION IN 2031 UNDER THREE SCENARIOS | ||||
| Reference Scenario |
Low Scenario |
High Scenario |
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|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOTAL POPULATION | 16,366.2 | 14,725.5 | 17,960.4 | ||
| Male | 8,075.2 | 7,273.8 | 8,909.5 | ||
| Female | 8,291.0 | 7,451.8 | 9,051.0 | ||
| % Male | 49.3 | 49.4 | 49.6 | ||
| % Female | 50.7 | 50.6 | 50.4 | ||
| MEDIAN AGE (Years) | 43.1 | 44.4 | 41.8 | ||
| Male | 42.2 | 43.5 | 41.1 | ||
| Female | 43.9 | 45.4 | 42.6 | ||
| AGE GROUPS | |||||
| 0-14 | 2,529.0 | 2,032.1 | 3,036.8 | ||
| Male | 1,298.9 | 1,044.0 | 1,560.5 | ||
| Female | 1,230.1 | 988.1 | 1,476.3 | ||
| 15-24 | 1,807.9 | 1,565.1 | 2,036.5 | ||
| Male | 927.2 | 803.3 | 1,045.7 | ||
| Female | 880.6 | 761.8 | 990.8 | ||
| 25-44 | 4,285.0 | 3,880.8 | 4,695.6 | ||
| Male | 2,124.3 | 1,944.5 | 2,333.7 | ||
| Female | 2,160.6 | 1,936.4 | 2,361.9 | ||
| 45-64 | 4,164.0 | 3,831.4 | 4,390.2 | ||
| Male | 2,055.4 | 1,893.1 | 2,175.1 | ||
| Female | 2,108.7 | 1,938.3 | 2,215.2 | ||
| 65-74 | 1,940.2 | 1,874.8 | 2,027.3 | ||
| Male | 944.7 | 910.9 | 994.3 | ||
| Female | 995.5 | 964.0 | 1,032.9 | ||
| 75+ | 1,640.1 | 1,541.3 | 1,774.0 | ||
| Male | 724.7 | 678.0 | 800.1 | ||
| Female | 915.4 | 863.3 | 973.9 | ||
| POPULATION COMPONENTS (2030-2031) | |||||
| Births | 155.3 | 118.5 | 194.1 | ||
| Deaths | 136.9 | 145.1 | 128.2 | ||
| Natural Increase | 18.3 | -26.6 | 65.9 | ||
| Total Net Migration | 110.0 | 70.0 | 148.0 | ||
| Total Increase | 128.3 | 43.4 | 213.9 | ||
| Ratio of Total Net Migration | 85.7 | 161.3 | 69.2 | ||
| to Total Increase | |||||
| AGE GROUP SHARE (%) | |||||
| 0-14 | 15.5 | 13.8 | 16.9 | ||
| 15-24 | 11.0 | 10.6 | 11.3 | ||
| 25-44 | 26.2 | 26.4 | 26.1 | ||
| 45-64 | 25.4 | 26.0 | 24.4 | ||
| 65-74 | 11.9 | 12.7 | 11.3 | ||
| 75+ | 10.0 | 10.5 | 9.9 | ||
| DEPENDENCY RATIOS1 | |||||
| Youth | 36.5 | 32.7 | 40.0 | ||
| Elderly | 38.2 | 40.1 | 37.6 | ||
| Total2 | 74.7 | 72.8 | 77.6 | ||
| Source: Projections of Ontario Ministry of Finance. | |||||
| Notes: 1. Youth and elderly dependency ratios are the ratios of those aged 0-19 and 65+ to the population aged 20-64. The total dependency ratio is the ratio of youth plus the elderly to the 20-64 population. |
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| 2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding. | |||||
