Ontario Population Projections Update, 2017–2041
Table 10: Greater Toronto Area and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario

Table 10: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
GREATER TORONTO AREA
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 355,039 365,625 368,433 412,562 511,095 515,159 508,164 493,122 476,735 484,494
2018 359,658 367,881 376,417 413,164 525,733 537,267 522,789 511,540 484,726 485,035
2019 367,421 369,523 381,319 417,009 529,010 552,397 537,603 526,549 494,027 484,316
2020 375,620 372,691 385,205 420,543 527,983 563,573 552,793 540,710 502,852 485,808
2021 384,229 376,985 387,451 425,904 524,092 571,387 565,900 551,780 514,863 485,952
2022 392,350 380,765 389,869 432,976 518,679 574,507 577,685 562,840 526,704 489,544
2023 400,559 385,154 391,506 440,659 514,511 575,760 589,499 571,748 541,006 494,569
2024 407,759 392,612 392,912 445,711 516,143 571,723 598,688 583,355 553,679 502,104
2025 414,301 400,534 395,897 449,931 518,579 565,632 605,580 596,306 566,203 509,747
2026 420,284 408,934 400,137 452,714 523,798 559,057 610,871 608,246 576,511 520,945
2027 425,752 416,948 404,038 455,787 531,677 553,327 613,395 619,951 587,470 532,516
2028 430,779 425,062 408,512 458,080 540,208 548,892 614,083 631,645 596,341 546,470
2029 435,378 432,196 415,933 460,163 546,203 550,141 609,754 640,634 607,874 558,863
2030 439,524 438,688 423,795 463,771 551,430 552,317 603,384 647,260 620,738 571,132
2031 443,290 444,671 432,162 468,649 555,267 557,345 596,699 652,325 632,653 581,321
2032 446,757 450,192 440,178 473,249 559,365 565,064 591,071 654,740 644,378 592,107
2033 449,979 455,320 448,350 478,448 562,695 573,552 586,816 655,475 656,087 600,901
2034 453,043 460,077 455,592 486,514 565,871 579,663 588,158 651,516 665,105 612,356
2035 456,061 464,442 462,250 495,040 570,556 585,123 590,532 645,659 671,798 625,184
2036 459,149 468,445 468,405 504,055 576,536 589,220 595,682 639,518 676,918 637,066
2037 462,399 472,162 474,110 512,713 582,293 593,525 603,459 634,483 679,428 648,730
2038 465,955 475,651 479,431 521,552 588,638 597,046 612,029 630,781 680,317 660,317
2039 469,922 478,991 484,391 529,473 597,699 600,471 618,348 632,508 676,697 669,243
2040 474,352 482,296 488,966 536,816 607,193 605,325 624,112 635,242 671,232 675,917
2041 479,278 485,671 493,187 543,664 617,143 611,478 628,548 640,693 665,510 681,010
Table 10: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
GREATER TORONTO AREA
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 502,528 470,336 389,671 321,024 243,577 174,589 128,869 84,498 52,950 6,858,470
2018 494,548 484,737 405,812 328,848 261,156 181,122 132,760 87,024 55,918 7,016,135
2019 486,495 496,830 420,866 339,321 276,841 188,661 137,511 89,398 58,520 7,153,617
2020 480,715 502,395 435,216 352,832 292,447 196,747 142,007 92,014 61,445 7,283,596
2021 480,384 500,802 450,190 366,814 304,768 208,370 146,282 94,623 64,634 7,405,410
2022 480,984 495,055 462,016 381,999 309,675 227,192 151,003 97,823 67,134 7,518,800
2023 479,814 486,291 475,291 397,195 317,215 243,518 157,031 101,219 69,893 7,632,438
2024 478,231 478,037 486,682 411,520 327,326 258,134 163,956 105,270 72,375 7,746,217
2025 479,049 472,180 491,975 425,308 340,289 272,669 171,370 109,177 75,343 7,860,070
2026 478,934 471,790 490,548 439,762 353,736 284,295 181,872 112,937 78,533 7,973,904
2027 482,502 472,491 485,235 451,316 368,333 289,350 198,745 117,067 81,700 8,087,600
2028 487,444 471,515 477,049 464,265 382,955 296,815 213,432 122,267 85,220 8,201,034
2029 494,795 470,108 469,378 475,420 396,779 306,651 226,577 128,216 89,009 8,314,072
2030 502,273 471,006 463,992 480,815 410,147 319,141 239,604 134,540 93,026 8,426,583
2031 513,150 471,032 463,867 479,799 424,182 332,061 250,182 143,363 97,075 8,539,093
2032 524,416 474,646 464,766 475,042 435,514 346,024 255,301 157,404 101,332 8,651,546
2033 538,001 479,589 464,097 467,606 448,175 360,041 262,544 169,638 106,547 8,763,861
2034 550,114 486,881 463,008 460,683 459,176 373,359 271,895 180,574 112,409 8,875,994
2035 562,129 494,337 464,144 455,941 464,781 386,345 283,641 191,340 118,614 8,987,917
2036 572,175 505,041 464,455 456,217 464,289 399,968 295,750 200,228 126,525 9,099,642
2037 582,751 516,138 468,214 457,419 460,212 411,087 308,745 205,113 138,224 9,211,205
2038 591,415 529,469 473,257 457,155 453,624 423,455 321,816 211,739 148,989 9,322,636
2039 602,650 541,397 480,550 456,482 447,523 434,293 334,297 220,088 158,992 9,434,015
2040 615,204 553,213 488,042 457,923 443,492 440,130 346,617 230,462 168,886 9,545,420
2041 626,852 563,143 498,646 458,582 444,215 440,241 359,506 241,109 178,448 9,656,924

Table 10.1: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
TORONTO
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 146,743 134,972 125,206 155,792 231,413 242,750 253,111 232,212 203,430 197,026
2018 149,235 136,665 128,661 154,379 241,882 254,767 258,644 244,597 209,495 198,517
2019 152,783 138,157 131,082 154,488 244,444 263,337 263,457 253,482 216,279 198,883
2020 156,356 140,102 133,047 155,949 242,662 270,396 267,878 260,717 223,089 200,218
2021 159,879 142,410 134,133 157,879 239,473 275,472 271,223 265,156 231,191 201,216
2022 162,945 144,404 135,185 160,717 234,403 278,413 274,305 268,669 238,406 204,266
2023 166,002 146,281 136,147 163,689 229,981 279,117 278,973 270,456 246,649 207,578
2024 168,451 149,143 137,125 165,937 228,799 276,325 282,953 273,363 253,066 212,332
2025 170,518 152,077 138,573 167,881 229,377 271,209 286,390 276,682 258,620 217,456
2026 172,297 155,041 140,447 169,139 231,173 266,281 289,044 279,633 262,323 224,119
2027 173,840 157,695 142,139 170,412 234,492 261,412 290,702 282,874 265,786 230,445
2028 175,217 160,349 143,750 171,552 238,004 257,303 290,620 287,147 267,757 237,735
2029 176,428 162,495 146,231 172,724 240,748 256,262 287,531 290,592 270,803 243,497
2030 177,470 164,319 148,778 174,332 243,228 256,566 282,662 293,383 274,266 248,576
2031 178,360 165,908 151,378 176,370 245,049 258,193 277,916 295,426 277,366 252,083
2032 179,119 167,308 153,723 178,227 246,820 261,292 273,423 296,475 280,662 255,426
2033 179,759 168,575 156,092 180,048 248,391 264,653 269,661 296,124 284,707 257,464
2034 180,300 169,711 158,031 182,721 250,021 267,150 268,748 293,180 287,878 260,547
2035 180,784 170,710 159,705 185,471 252,119 269,383 268,910 288,816 290,362 264,073
2036 181,257 171,576 161,165 188,286 254,706 270,947 270,322 284,501 292,129 267,226
2037 181,760 172,328 162,457 190,866 257,112 272,473 273,084 280,506 292,922 270,487
2038 182,353 172,977 163,625 193,493 259,540 273,732 276,131 277,173 292,518 274,301
2039 183,090 173,542 164,677 195,715 262,858 275,042 278,284 276,442 289,808 277,236
2040 184,002 174,060 165,601 197,691 266,256 276,857 280,177 276,591 285,872 279,496
2041 185,106 174,569 166,403 199,465 269,735 279,200 281,417 277,906 281,950 281,066
Table 10.1: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
TORONTO
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 200,664 192,045 163,914 135,181 100,834 77,411 62,335 44,317 30,530 2,929,886
2018 197,309 197,122 169,931 138,315 107,686 78,449 63,027 44,805 31,916 3,005,402
2019 194,389 201,290 175,174 142,299 113,866 80,326 64,128 45,192 32,897 3,065,953
2020 192,577 202,317 180,415 147,261 120,167 82,628 65,002 45,621 33,956 3,120,358
2021 192,724 201,176 185,129 152,762 125,089 86,483 65,740 45,994 35,104 3,168,233
2022 193,127 198,224 188,543 158,150 127,232 93,298 66,555 46,781 35,829 3,209,452
2023 193,065 194,131 192,931 163,541 130,049 99,572 67,728 47,591 36,725 3,250,206
2024 192,547 190,795 196,670 168,362 133,714 105,267 69,605 48,687 37,361 3,290,502
2025 193,117 188,659 197,573 173,243 138,313 111,062 71,837 49,623 38,161 3,330,371
2026 193,565 188,581 196,438 177,762 143,414 115,645 75,421 50,457 39,045 3,369,825
2027 196,134 188,923 193,671 181,119 148,498 117,767 81,617 51,363 39,971 3,408,860
2028 199,004 188,769 189,820 185,367 153,593 120,528 87,297 52,579 41,060 3,447,451
2029 203,167 188,192 186,653 188,987 158,189 124,077 92,453 54,340 42,186 3,485,555
2030 207,649 188,636 184,601 189,999 162,821 128,498 97,654 56,363 43,325 3,523,126
2031 213,558 188,941 184,531 189,024 167,186 133,358 101,826 59,470 44,444 3,560,387
2032 219,253 191,235 184,845 186,490 170,504 138,232 103,940 64,707 45,631 3,597,312
2033 225,874 193,857 184,670 182,999 174,612 143,127 106,643 69,476 47,140 3,633,872
2034 231,184 197,686 184,115 180,144 178,143 147,592 110,059 73,805 49,028 3,670,043
2035 235,933 201,816 184,530 178,313 179,309 152,097 114,281 78,131 51,071 3,705,814
2036 239,288 207,303 184,795 178,343 178,587 156,402 118,868 81,655 53,833 3,741,189
2037 242,533 212,643 186,905 178,668 176,425 159,751 123,476 83,658 58,129 3,776,183
2038 244,596 218,868 189,352 178,529 173,364 163,806 128,105 86,161 62,177 3,810,801
2039 247,637 223,916 192,926 178,059 170,845 167,324 132,378 89,258 66,043 3,845,080
2040 251,085 228,468 196,786 178,498 169,250 168,683 136,718 93,054 69,908 3,879,053
2041 254,184 231,745 201,938 178,788 169,385 168,243 140,919 97,130 73,599 3,912,748

Table 10.2: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
DURHAM
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 36,633 39,555 40,617 43,618 48,621 46,968 43,108 43,946 45,556 46,929
2018 37,082 39,692 41,301 43,332 48,020 48,717 44,180 44,618 45,756 47,006
2019 37,580 39,964 41,639 43,313 47,322 49,670 45,745 45,279 46,161 47,029
2020 38,131 40,183 42,229 43,196 46,575 49,884 47,472 46,160 46,579 47,140
2021 38,757 40,583 42,692 43,436 45,564 49,861 49,112 47,148 47,201 46,987
2022 39,386 40,979 42,959 43,877 45,032 49,221 50,831 48,167 47,795 47,201
2023 40,088 41,455 43,100 44,599 44,586 48,502 52,293 49,106 48,605 47,420
2024 40,728 42,042 43,371 44,992 44,536 47,719 53,179 50,552 49,391 47,886
2025 41,319 42,691 43,627 45,604 44,452 46,888 53,487 52,174 50,359 48,395
2026 41,853 43,421 44,085 46,081 44,721 45,906 53,610 53,742 51,396 49,149
2027 42,331 44,151 44,547 46,395 45,246 45,364 53,236 55,423 52,476 49,892
2028 42,745 44,952 45,080 46,592 46,008 44,892 52,737 56,922 53,438 50,860
2029 43,101 45,671 45,755 46,901 46,472 44,876 52,028 57,892 54,885 51,768
2030 43,397 46,329 46,488 47,223 47,106 44,867 51,210 58,332 56,506 52,830
2031 43,646 46,927 47,302 47,742 47,596 45,190 50,280 58,578 58,075 53,911
2032 43,860 47,464 48,105 48,270 47,963 45,793 49,717 58,357 59,745 55,029
2033 44,051 47,939 48,981 48,858 48,221 46,596 49,261 57,987 61,277 56,004
2034 44,241 48,358 49,762 49,616 48,572 47,142 49,300 57,323 62,306 57,447
2035 44,446 48,720 50,479 50,432 48,962 47,807 49,397 56,522 62,838 59,072
2036 44,679 49,031 51,132 51,325 49,534 48,331 49,825 55,637 63,164 60,636
2037 44,955 49,305 51,723 52,200 50,124 48,750 50,541 55,077 63,036 62,289
2038 45,291 49,555 52,253 53,143 50,764 49,062 51,437 54,640 62,744 63,824
2039 45,697 49,797 52,723 53,988 51,579 49,462 52,081 54,734 62,109 64,881
2040 46,170 50,055 53,133 54,766 52,446 49,924 52,808 54,910 61,316 65,474
2041 46,714 50,342 53,492 55,477 53,384 50,557 53,397 55,419 60,453 65,854
Table 10.2: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
DURHAM
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 54,668 52,148 41,481 32,909 25,410 16,586 11,831 7,399 4,395 682,378
2018 52,384 54,039 43,206 33,892 27,126 17,792 12,102 7,724 4,639 692,608
2019 50,053 55,462 45,116 35,297 28,684 18,760 12,536 8,024 4,894 702,528
2020 48,451 55,930 46,991 36,981 30,212 19,868 12,966 8,316 5,138 712,402
2021 47,654 55,185 49,222 38,548 31,512 21,217 13,547 8,490 5,483 722,199
2022 47,234 53,821 50,795 40,548 31,919 23,405 14,190 8,812 5,734 731,906
2023 47,280 51,696 52,612 42,245 32,878 25,045 15,232 9,062 6,017 741,821
2024 47,286 49,549 54,006 44,093 34,241 26,516 16,098 9,438 6,296 751,919
2025 47,399 48,081 54,495 45,912 35,877 27,961 17,075 9,808 6,571 762,175
2026 47,279 47,387 53,852 48,050 37,424 29,201 18,277 10,289 6,836 772,559
2027 47,540 47,035 52,617 49,594 39,352 29,655 20,220 10,828 7,145 783,047
2028 47,823 47,088 50,682 51,367 41,023 30,599 21,713 11,657 7,435 793,613
2029 48,361 47,094 48,735 52,755 42,819 31,903 23,040 12,371 7,807 804,234
2030 48,942 47,220 47,415 53,286 44,593 33,473 24,345 13,155 8,175 814,892
2031 49,786 47,132 46,833 52,756 46,650 34,969 25,474 14,136 8,607 825,590
2032 50,620 47,428 46,561 51,660 48,168 36,795 25,964 15,723 9,102 836,324
2033 51,687 47,755 46,632 49,914 49,902 38,410 26,867 16,968 9,772 847,082
2034 52,677 48,341 46,654 48,160 51,287 40,133 28,074 18,059 10,409 857,861
2035 53,790 48,976 46,806 46,984 51,863 41,835 29,523 19,121 11,086 868,659
2036 54,899 49,878 46,760 46,513 51,440 43,794 30,919 20,055 11,928 879,480
2037 56,033 50,775 47,096 46,325 50,470 45,270 32,592 20,542 13,225 890,328
2038 57,015 51,906 47,474 46,428 48,909 46,941 34,099 21,353 14,376 901,214
2039 58,448 52,948 48,104 46,482 47,345 48,304 35,690 22,399 15,373 912,144
2040 60,056 54,097 48,787 46,666 46,320 48,921 37,279 23,647 16,357 923,132
2041 61,602 55,223 49,740 46,662 45,965 48,620 39,081 24,857 17,348 934,187

Table 10.3: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
HALTON
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 31,978 36,816 38,462 38,089 36,971 36,513 35,770 38,433 42,872 44,199
2018 32,211 36,601 39,486 39,268 38,008 37,845 37,156 38,716 43,081 44,532
2019 32,621 36,559 39,995 40,607 38,767 38,697 38,632 39,347 43,225 44,866
2020 33,139 36,745 40,446 41,308 39,762 39,141 40,409 40,239 43,067 45,142
2021 33,766 36,907 40,748 42,336 40,456 39,523 42,074 41,208 43,414 44,821
2022 34,446 37,282 40,810 43,284 41,285 39,587 43,512 42,653 43,590 44,847
2023 35,340 37,660 40,652 44,330 42,111 40,043 44,614 43,938 44,072 45,065
2024 36,207 38,243 40,664 44,889 43,227 40,400 45,417 45,422 44,859 45,321
2025 37,061 38,920 40,919 45,379 43,867 40,961 45,888 47,176 45,883 45,340
2026 37,899 39,703 41,179 45,732 44,831 41,341 46,318 48,845 46,957 45,852
2027 38,712 40,517 41,633 45,897 45,794 41,889 46,506 50,363 48,446 46,246
2028 39,498 41,512 42,111 45,856 46,849 42,433 46,924 51,629 49,783 46,933
2029 40,251 42,461 42,810 45,966 47,474 43,309 47,144 52,581 51,332 47,854
2030 40,967 43,386 43,599 46,318 48,015 43,870 47,446 53,194 53,134 48,980
2031 41,648 44,287 44,493 46,701 48,436 44,733 47,628 53,735 54,847 50,124
2032 42,310 45,157 45,413 47,246 48,727 45,675 47,963 54,025 56,436 51,620
2033 42,954 45,997 46,496 47,833 48,852 46,715 48,351 54,478 57,812 52,966
2034 43,588 46,805 47,525 48,652 49,094 47,408 49,136 54,688 58,865 54,542
2035 44,225 47,578 48,526 49,566 49,555 48,032 49,744 54,928 59,584 56,362
2036 44,874 48,320 49,502 50,580 50,065 48,562 50,647 55,078 60,211 58,089
2037 45,543 49,038 50,443 51,616 50,715 48,997 51,677 55,379 60,577 59,704
2038 46,245 49,738 51,352 52,793 51,406 49,292 52,805 55,760 61,060 61,124
2039 46,988 50,435 52,224 53,914 52,319 49,686 53,640 56,569 61,264 62,225
2040 47,776 51,133 53,067 55,000 53,316 50,269 54,422 57,265 61,468 63,008
2041 48,611 51,845 53,873 56,058 54,403 50,927 55,101 58,255 61,602 63,681
Table 10.3: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
HALTON
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 43,592 39,701 31,422 26,349 22,287 15,538 11,015 7,413 3,967 581,387
2018 43,403 40,969 32,881 26,782 23,575 16,422 11,432 7,663 4,279 594,310
2019 42,820 42,142 34,457 27,614 24,535 17,388 11,964 7,864 4,600 606,700
2020 42,742 42,947 35,876 28,743 25,558 18,281 12,494 8,074 4,974 619,087
2021 43,251 42,955 37,629 29,874 26,364 19,409 13,004 8,317 5,353 631,409
2022 43,705 42,954 38,939 31,363 26,345 21,097 13,681 8,543 5,725 643,648
2023 43,950 42,710 40,184 32,825 26,853 22,384 14,503 8,904 6,000 656,138
2024 44,224 42,153 41,342 34,377 27,736 23,377 15,392 9,360 6,243 668,853
2025 44,496 42,042 42,138 35,784 28,906 24,421 16,223 9,817 6,548 681,769
2026 44,284 42,505 42,183 37,486 30,075 25,263 17,266 10,264 6,877 694,860
2027 44,410 42,938 42,180 38,786 31,557 25,365 18,834 10,839 7,190 708,102
2028 44,713 43,180 41,946 40,043 33,017 25,929 20,055 11,534 7,536 721,481
2029 45,077 43,445 41,449 41,209 34,541 26,836 21,024 12,287 7,934 734,984
2030 45,240 43,736 41,347 42,020 35,940 28,019 22,026 12,996 8,370 748,603
2031 45,859 43,612 41,794 42,114 37,611 29,192 22,856 13,883 8,820 762,373
2032 46,381 43,815 42,222 42,126 38,910 30,640 23,059 15,225 9,345 776,295
2033 47,178 44,178 42,480 41,905 40,185 32,076 23,655 16,285 9,970 790,366
2034 48,162 44,625 42,751 41,455 41,368 33,561 24,551 17,143 10,664 804,583
2035 49,324 44,896 43,073 41,357 42,196 34,940 25,702 18,012 11,345 818,945
2036 50,483 45,583 43,037 41,793 42,325 36,567 26,838 18,750 12,149 833,453
2037 51,946 46,198 43,311 42,234 42,332 37,850 28,207 19,017 13,330 848,114
2038 53,268 47,072 43,738 42,517 42,117 39,123 29,571 19,599 14,351 862,931
2039 54,819 48,102 44,258 42,804 41,713 40,308 30,972 20,425 15,244 877,909
2040 56,599 49,284 44,627 43,160 41,634 41,145 32,295 21,467 16,118 893,053
2041 58,286 50,451 45,383 43,200 42,076 41,319 33,831 22,490 16,979 908,371

Table 10.4: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
PEEL
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 81,027 88,013 93,263 99,883 112,147 111,106 105,897 107,039 106,284 107,596
2018 82,169 88,339 95,255 100,218 114,721 115,509 109,926 110,668 108,319 107,563
2019 84,192 88,407 96,214 101,589 115,412 118,502 114,005 113,913 110,750 107,520
2020 86,323 89,168 96,672 102,375 115,972 120,487 118,312 117,201 112,575 108,370
2021 88,632 90,154 96,663 103,737 115,779 122,052 121,976 119,928 114,767 109,517
2022 90,907 90,647 97,182 105,544 115,111 122,694 125,267 122,738 117,379 110,843
2023 92,912 91,694 97,420 107,441 114,727 123,308 127,917 125,571 120,432 112,390
2024 94,714 93,595 97,504 108,432 115,686 122,953 129,910 128,832 123,303 114,507
2025 96,376 95,625 98,263 108,990 116,317 122,670 131,279 132,447 126,279 116,197
2026 97,913 97,845 99,284 109,134 117,641 122,054 132,474 135,673 128,806 118,363
2027 99,331 100,057 99,894 109,784 119,520 121,355 133,099 138,744 131,508 120,949
2028 100,642 102,050 100,984 110,175 121,499 120,923 133,613 141,354 134,140 123,981
2029 101,862 103,833 102,894 110,424 122,653 121,741 133,216 143,332 137,212 126,803
2030 102,985 105,472 104,929 111,289 123,422 122,386 132,736 144,725 140,625 129,700
2031 104,041 106,997 107,154 112,418 123,816 123,683 132,041 145,929 143,700 132,163
2032 105,048 108,417 109,367 113,212 124,651 125,482 131,393 146,605 146,660 134,784
2033 106,022 109,744 111,404 114,448 125,250 127,413 131,011 147,142 149,274 137,292
2034 106,983 110,991 113,236 116,462 125,741 128,664 131,798 146,809 151,291 140,258
2035 107,948 112,157 114,934 118,602 126,792 129,598 132,533 146,334 152,768 143,566
2036 108,939 113,254 116,517 120,916 128,095 130,209 133,866 145,687 154,028 146,564
2037 109,963 114,303 117,995 123,202 129,129 131,176 135,690 145,128 154,769 149,458
2038 111,049 115,315 119,379 125,349 130,550 131,934 137,657 144,823 155,335 152,069
2039 112,208 116,311 120,684 127,288 132,678 132,597 139,045 145,647 155,035 154,095
2040 113,450 117,310 121,907 129,096 134,926 133,712 140,205 146,478 154,544 155,606
2041 114,778 118,331 123,060 130,789 137,327 135,064 141,074 147,891 153,911 156,883
Table 10.4: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
PEEL
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 111,081 100,815 81,957 67,396 50,642 34,225 22,259 12,764 7,239 1,500,633
2018 110,270 104,485 85,808 69,380 54,479 36,382 23,697 13,373 7,752 1,538,313
2019 109,327 107,571 89,307 71,890 58,070 38,618 25,197 14,099 8,230 1,572,813
2020 108,082 109,577 92,734 75,200 61,662 40,707 26,704 15,017 8,814 1,605,952
2021 108,016 110,007 96,472 78,263 64,636 43,533 28,103 16,002 9,391 1,637,628
2022 108,267 109,451 99,690 81,704 66,205 47,636 29,597 16,974 9,948 1,667,784
2023 107,988 108,446 103,046 85,297 68,095 51,144 31,435 18,072 10,528 1,697,863
2024 107,800 107,424 105,915 88,595 70,499 54,423 33,358 19,230 11,158 1,727,838
2025 108,481 106,222 107,769 91,847 73,634 57,701 35,189 20,423 11,986 1,757,695
2026 109,448 106,183 108,158 95,395 76,572 60,440 37,651 21,539 12,847 1,787,420
2027 110,723 106,462 107,646 98,461 79,856 61,943 41,237 22,736 13,680 1,816,985
2028 112,217 106,256 106,693 101,669 83,274 63,755 44,325 24,211 14,605 1,846,366
2029 114,256 106,117 105,734 104,429 86,430 66,044 47,196 25,763 15,599 1,875,538
2030 115,941 106,773 104,661 106,216 89,555 68,995 50,061 27,267 16,735 1,904,473
2031 118,109 107,664 104,702 106,617 92,955 71,785 52,481 29,263 17,832 1,933,350
2032 120,645 108,901 105,034 106,176 95,888 74,882 53,887 32,172 18,953 1,962,157
2033 123,623 110,358 104,923 105,311 98,978 78,098 55,575 34,692 20,321 1,990,879
2034 126,388 112,339 104,865 104,451 101,660 81,089 57,690 37,024 21,776 2,019,515
2035 129,223 114,020 105,541 103,540 103,416 84,084 60,384 39,346 23,278 2,048,064
2036 131,640 116,183 106,404 103,685 103,866 87,315 62,945 41,333 25,085 2,076,531
2037 134,198 118,667 107,635 104,100 103,519 90,107 65,763 42,580 27,545 2,104,927
2038 136,613 121,580 109,085 104,103 102,771 93,058 68,684 44,063 29,842 2,133,259
2039 139,483 124,287 111,029 104,138 102,039 95,641 71,422 45,897 32,023 2,161,547
2040 142,683 127,050 112,719 104,849 101,302 97,370 74,198 48,207 34,191 2,189,803
2041 145,595 129,418 114,881 105,711 101,561 97,883 77,168 50,412 36,309 2,218,046

Table 10.5: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
YORK
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 58,658 66,269 70,885 75,180 81,943 77,822 70,278 71,492 78,593 88,744
2018 58,961 66,584 71,714 75,967 83,102 80,429 72,883 72,941 78,075 87,417
2019 60,245 66,436 72,389 77,012 83,065 82,191 75,764 74,528 77,612 86,018
2020 61,671 66,493 72,811 77,715 83,012 83,665 78,722 76,393 77,542 84,938
2021 63,195 66,931 73,215 78,516 82,820 84,479 81,515 78,340 78,290 83,411
2022 64,666 67,453 73,733 79,554 82,848 84,592 83,770 80,613 79,534 82,387
2023 66,217 68,064 74,187 80,600 83,106 84,790 85,702 82,677 81,248 82,116
2024 67,659 69,589 74,248 81,461 83,895 84,326 87,229 85,186 83,060 82,058
2025 69,027 71,221 74,515 82,077 84,566 83,904 88,536 87,827 85,062 82,359
2026 70,322 72,924 75,142 82,628 85,432 83,475 89,425 90,353 87,029 83,462
2027 71,538 74,528 75,825 83,299 86,625 83,307 89,852 92,547 89,254 84,984
2028 72,677 76,199 76,587 83,905 87,848 83,341 90,189 94,593 91,223 86,961
2029 73,736 77,736 78,243 84,148 88,856 83,953 89,835 96,237 93,642 88,941
2030 74,705 79,182 80,001 84,609 89,659 84,628 89,330 97,626 96,207 91,046
2031 75,595 80,552 81,835 85,418 90,370 85,546 88,834 98,657 98,665 93,040
2032 76,420 81,846 83,570 86,294 91,204 86,822 88,575 99,278 100,875 95,248
2033 77,193 83,065 85,377 87,261 91,981 88,175 88,532 99,744 103,017 97,175
2034 77,931 84,212 87,038 89,063 92,443 89,299 89,176 99,516 104,765 99,562
2035 78,658 85,277 88,606 90,969 93,128 90,303 89,948 99,059 106,246 102,111
2036 79,400 86,264 90,089 92,948 94,136 91,171 91,022 98,615 107,386 104,551
2037 80,178 87,188 91,492 94,829 95,213 92,129 92,467 98,393 108,124 106,792
2038 81,017 88,066 92,822 96,774 96,378 93,026 93,999 98,385 108,660 108,999
2039 81,939 88,906 94,083 98,568 98,265 93,684 95,298 99,116 108,481 110,806
2040 82,954 89,738 95,258 100,263 100,249 94,563 96,500 99,998 108,032 112,333
2041 84,069 90,584 96,359 101,875 102,294 95,730 97,559 101,222 107,594 113,526
Table 10.5: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
YORK
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 92,523 85,627 70,897 59,189 44,404 30,829 21,429 12,605 6,819 1,164,186
2018 91,182 88,122 73,986 60,479 48,290 32,077 22,502 13,459 7,332 1,185,502
2019 89,906 90,365 76,812 62,221 51,686 33,569 23,686 14,219 7,899 1,205,623
2020 88,863 91,624 79,200 64,647 54,848 35,263 24,841 14,986 8,563 1,225,797
2021 88,739 91,479 81,738 67,367 57,167 37,728 25,888 15,820 9,303 1,245,941
2022 88,651 90,605 84,049 70,234 57,974 41,756 26,980 16,713 9,898 1,266,010
2023 87,531 89,308 86,518 73,287 59,340 45,373 28,133 17,590 10,623 1,286,410
2024 86,374 88,116 88,749 76,093 61,136 48,551 29,503 18,555 11,317 1,307,105
2025 85,556 87,176 90,000 78,522 63,559 51,524 31,046 19,506 12,077 1,328,060
2026 84,358 87,134 89,917 81,069 66,251 53,746 33,257 20,388 12,928 1,349,240
2027 83,695 87,133 89,121 83,356 69,070 54,620 36,837 21,301 13,714 1,370,606
2028 83,687 86,222 87,908 85,819 72,048 56,004 40,042 22,286 14,584 1,392,123
2029 83,934 85,260 86,807 88,040 74,800 57,791 42,864 23,455 15,483 1,413,761
2030 84,501 84,641 85,968 89,294 77,238 60,156 45,518 24,759 16,421 1,435,489
2031 85,838 83,683 86,007 89,288 79,780 62,757 47,545 26,611 17,372 1,457,393
2032 87,517 83,267 86,104 88,590 82,044 65,475 48,451 29,577 18,301 1,479,458
2033 89,639 83,441 85,392 87,477 84,498 68,330 49,804 32,217 19,344 1,501,662
2034 91,703 83,890 84,623 86,473 86,718 70,984 51,521 34,543 20,532 1,523,992
2035 93,859 84,629 84,194 85,747 87,997 73,389 53,751 36,730 21,834 1,546,435
2036 95,865 86,094 83,459 85,883 88,071 75,890 56,180 38,435 23,530 1,568,989
2037 98,041 87,855 83,267 86,092 87,466 78,109 58,707 39,316 25,995 1,591,653
2038 99,923 90,043 83,608 85,578 86,463 80,527 61,357 40,563 28,243 1,614,431
2039 102,263 92,144 84,233 84,999 85,581 82,716 63,835 42,109 30,309 1,637,335
2040 104,781 94,314 85,123 84,750 84,986 84,011 66,127 44,087 32,312 1,660,379
2041 107,185 96,306 86,704 84,221 85,228 84,176 68,507 46,220 34,213 1,683,572

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2017, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Notes:

1. Population as of July 1.

2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

LIST OF TABLES