Ontario Population Projections, 2019–2046
Table 10: Greater Toronto Area and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario

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GREATER TORONTO AREA

Table 10: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
GREATER TORONTO AREA
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2019 350,045 364,700 381,480 423,500 516,360 542,620 529,689 503,724 471,434 473,703
2020 354,478 362,875 383,439 425,255 523,861 546,960 544,795 518,846 475,674 470,815
2021 360,349 361,671 384,403 426,758 526,909 546,431 558,036 531,546 483,786 467,493
2022 365,956 362,302 385,184 433,976 536,634 550,388 571,374 545,510 494,597 467,543
2023 372,401 364,865 384,917 442,230 542,032 556,048 583,356 559,358 508,403 469,545
2024 378,210 370,182 384,010 447,022 545,768 558,396 590,274 574,231 522,105 473,252
2025 383,956 376,169 383,460 450,645 546,749 559,478 593,796 589,308 536,607 477,394
2026 388,987 383,139 383,391 453,332 549,468 559,833 594,864 603,384 549,290 485,274
2027 393,664 389,110 384,183 454,919 555,194 560,277 594,430 614,909 561,677 494,903
2028 397,698 394,896 386,092 454,873 562,554 559,048 594,510 623,809 573,226 507,105
2029 401,210 400,097 390,824 454,491 567,997 559,949 593,973 629,038 586,419 519,674
2030 404,411 405,439 396,397 454,652 573,012 559,988 593,528 631,807 600,290 533,301
2031 407,471 410,293 403,082 455,411 577,248 562,161 592,878 632,671 613,454 545,372
2032 410,413 414,993 409,010 457,114 580,553 567,478 593,038 632,459 624,550 557,251
2033 413,337 419,284 414,936 460,063 582,429 574,613 592,340 633,088 633,509 568,458
2034 416,349 423,093 420,300 465,756 583,998 579,915 593,557 633,187 638,995 581,261
2035 419,506 426,618 425,803 472,274 586,076 584,836 593,965 633,335 642,142 594,766
2036 422,855 430,018 430,835 479,898 588,785 589,000 596,419 633,260 643,480 607,593
2037 426,446 433,324 435,727 486,825 592,375 592,339 601,760 634,065 643,718 618,489
2038 430,304 436,606 440,232 493,761 597,182 594,303 608,820 634,122 644,670 627,360
2039 434,434 439,977 444,276 500,148 604,636 595,995 614,190 635,969 645,129 632,948
2040 438,841 443,491 448,046 506,677 612,867 598,126 619,281 637,031 645,593 636,325
2041 443,493 447,194 451,713 512,755 622,195 600,852 623,635 640,044 645,828 637,979
2042 448,352 451,136 455,292 518,709 631,004 604,348 627,237 645,767 647,005 638,524
2043 453,402 455,340 458,856 524,289 639,830 609,015 629,516 653,149 647,521 639,703
2044 458,616 459,812 462,504 529,435 648,101 616,117 631,601 658,932 649,741 640,427
2045 463,983 464,544 466,310 534,325 656,514 623,922 634,118 664,508 651,206 641,169
2046 469,484 469,514 470,300 539,119 664,495 632,770 637,171 669,384 654,543 641,680
Table 10: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
GREATER TORONTO AREA
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2019 482,744 485,368 405,393 325,617 265,809 183,077 133,598 87,221 56,834 6,982,916
2020 474,538 490,020 417,389 336,545 278,586 189,113 137,147 89,158 58,439 7,077,933
2021 470,366 488,753 429,926 348,183 289,318 198,220 140,610 91,503 61,114 7,165,375
2022 468,016 483,325 440,685 361,215 292,830 214,624 144,333 93,983 63,494 7,275,969
2023 464,079 474,182 453,745 374,588 298,571 228,891 149,565 96,276 66,244 7,389,296
2024 459,840 464,983 465,265 386,935 306,959 241,702 155,302 99,406 68,487 7,492,329
2025 457,248 457,844 470,569 399,180 317,975 253,945 161,201 102,838 70,905 7,589,267
2026 454,410 454,403 470,035 411,671 329,426 264,127 169,455 105,872 73,584 7,683,945
2027 454,142 452,281 465,192 422,181 341,930 267,916 183,994 109,134 76,192 7,776,228
2028 455,534 448,457 456,612 434,486 354,451 273,534 196,596 113,550 78,948 7,865,979
2029 458,857 444,433 448,051 445,338 366,044 281,524 207,879 118,372 81,940 7,956,110
2030 462,813 442,055 441,530 450,513 377,639 291,921 218,648 123,354 85,230 8,046,528
2031 470,328 439,526 438,552 450,286 389,503 302,747 227,713 130,173 88,417 8,137,286
2032 479,613 439,490 436,862 446,050 399,626 314,522 231,606 142,026 91,707 8,228,361
2033 491,448 441,086 433,630 438,438 411,480 326,350 237,112 152,336 95,863 8,319,800
2034 503,610 444,517 430,172 430,875 421,987 337,379 244,676 161,526 100,408 8,411,561
2035 516,777 448,574 428,248 425,200 427,267 348,470 254,339 170,243 105,205 8,503,644
2036 528,501 455,968 426,197 422,863 427,503 359,809 264,360 177,658 111,132 8,596,134
2037 540,016 465,060 426,489 421,704 423,985 369,577 275,164 181,396 120,553 8,689,012
2038 550,873 476,575 428,310 419,112 417,370 380,960 286,025 186,440 129,229 8,782,254
2039 563,247 488,397 431,876 416,284 410,832 391,111 296,233 193,118 137,151 8,875,951
2040 576,300 501,171 436,063 414,867 406,058 396,515 306,595 201,491 144,738 8,970,076
2041 588,709 512,599 443,389 413,326 404,411 397,258 317,180 210,131 152,042 9,064,733
2042 599,308 523,813 452,337 413,982 403,823 394,515 326,391 219,347 159,110 9,160,000
2043 608,008 534,395 463,589 416,075 401,896 389,013 337,090 228,623 166,552 9,255,862
2044 613,611 546,421 475,136 419,821 399,709 383,648 346,688 237,422 174,605 9,352,347
2045 617,135 559,103 487,591 424,168 398,822 379,889 352,114 246,499 183,614 9,449,534
2046 619,029 571,177 498,785 431,470 397,818 378,994 353,382 255,745 192,553 9,547,413

TORONTO

Table 10.1: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
TORONTO
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2019 139,761 133,484 131,336 160,217 226,476 263,913 268,779 235,023 198,396 189,367
2020 142,246 132,661 132,302 156,217 231,112 262,859 276,165 243,943 203,197 188,272
2021 145,461 131,739 132,916 153,720 231,968 260,074 281,243 251,874 209,395 187,783
2022 148,615 131,825 133,093 155,888 234,538 260,187 284,881 259,956 216,439 189,183
2023 151,757 132,688 133,132 158,744 234,559 261,385 287,087 267,384 224,681 191,387
2024 154,357 134,699 132,716 160,339 232,266 262,380 286,803 274,645 232,203 194,430
2025 156,355 137,312 132,192 161,688 228,469 262,790 285,461 281,204 239,570 198,101
2026 157,837 140,382 131,598 162,751 226,879 261,747 283,271 286,214 246,183 203,093
2027 158,980 143,079 131,517 163,043 228,187 259,547 280,892 289,056 252,448 208,666
2028 159,731 145,416 131,833 162,955 230,470 256,357 279,087 290,217 257,989 215,306
2029 160,186 147,344 133,277 162,656 232,231 253,380 277,901 289,644 263,850 221,639
2030 160,444 148,901 135,316 162,367 234,084 249,914 276,818 288,337 269,434 228,029
2031 160,590 150,146 137,852 162,105 235,729 248,415 275,003 286,371 273,903 233,812
2032 160,649 151,211 140,158 162,332 236,672 249,423 272,858 284,278 276,723 239,355
2033 160,664 152,046 142,255 162,995 237,220 251,453 270,217 282,803 278,254 244,351
2034 160,680 152,655 144,016 164,730 237,608 252,880 267,944 281,737 278,241 249,727
2035 160,729 153,119 145,490 167,025 238,052 254,330 265,209 280,795 277,513 254,965
2036 160,846 153,490 146,691 169,799 238,592 255,505 264,007 279,314 276,135 259,278
2037 161,055 153,789 147,743 172,370 239,524 256,043 264,844 277,723 274,537 262,174
2038 161,371 154,042 148,594 174,764 240,908 256,092 266,588 275,711 273,409 263,920
2039 161,805 154,295 149,240 176,843 243,379 255,989 267,682 274,083 272,543 264,245
2040 162,363 154,571 149,758 178,686 246,380 255,971 268,724 272,000 271,749 263,871
2041 163,062 154,920 150,214 180,294 249,904 256,146 269,503 271,220 270,546 262,882
2042 163,889 155,363 150,622 181,792 253,302 256,681 269,828 272,206 269,383 261,647
2043 164,841 155,917 151,006 183,122 256,562 257,753 269,697 274,046 267,893 260,806
2044 165,907 156,587 151,407 184,278 259,493 259,954 269,473 275,297 266,812 260,161
2045 167,076 157,382 151,847 185,331 262,275 262,634 269,407 276,535 265,336 259,593
2046 168,338 158,290 152,351 186,330 264,828 265,812 269,524 277,499 264,981 258,684
Table 10.1: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
TORONTO
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2019 193,222 195,257 167,656 136,338 110,850 78,796 62,341 43,803 30,698 2,965,713
2020 189,766 196,345 171,841 140,397 115,685 80,593 62,698 44,029 31,273 3,001,601
2021 187,576 195,894 175,296 145,057 119,799 83,683 63,257 44,393 32,334 3,033,462
2022 186,356 193,466 178,260 149,767 121,269 89,625 63,848 44,923 33,258 3,075,377
2023 184,416 189,624 182,809 154,344 123,207 95,139 64,910 45,319 34,327 3,116,899
2024 182,399 185,764 186,945 158,388 126,226 99,944 66,542 46,127 34,955 3,152,128
2025 181,118 182,735 188,343 162,611 130,180 104,603 68,463 46,841 35,701 3,183,737
2026 180,391 180,866 188,093 166,147 134,548 108,461 71,336 47,487 36,455 3,213,739
2027 181,100 179,688 185,852 169,071 138,936 109,972 76,664 48,188 37,262 3,242,148
2028 182,553 177,734 182,172 173,270 143,137 111,864 81,535 49,248 38,116 3,268,990
2029 184,975 175,731 178,517 177,082 146,906 114,716 85,796 50,731 38,974 3,295,536
2030 188,039 174,452 175,680 178,441 150,848 118,429 89,912 52,428 39,858 3,321,731
2031 192,375 173,666 173,993 178,223 154,257 122,515 93,362 54,867 40,704 3,347,888
2032 197,342 174,220 172,960 176,197 157,134 126,658 94,904 59,279 41,628 3,373,981
2033 203,355 175,507 171,228 172,912 161,158 130,655 96,811 63,295 42,837 3,400,016
2034 209,142 177,694 169,431 169,689 164,813 134,287 99,546 66,815 44,307 3,425,942
2035 215,030 180,476 168,302 167,218 166,259 138,084 103,042 70,189 45,921 3,451,748
2036 220,364 184,457 167,585 165,834 166,218 141,446 106,848 73,045 47,996 3,477,450
2037 225,494 189,059 168,091 165,007 164,540 144,319 110,703 74,534 51,468 3,503,017
2038 230,137 194,647 169,279 163,536 161,711 148,207 114,431 76,339 54,738 3,528,424
2039 235,160 200,058 171,304 161,991 158,940 151,749 117,863 78,803 57,734 3,553,706
2040 240,095 205,590 173,877 161,054 156,848 153,311 121,470 81,889 60,637 3,578,844
2041 244,247 210,615 177,595 160,465 155,780 153,467 124,735 85,208 63,419 3,604,222
2042 247,156 215,463 181,917 160,985 155,211 152,130 127,563 88,558 66,169 3,629,865
2043 249,040 219,877 187,179 162,137 154,052 149,763 131,277 91,805 68,977 3,655,750
2044 249,612 224,686 192,308 164,074 152,805 147,471 134,674 94,842 72,038 3,681,879
2045 249,512 229,456 197,585 166,517 152,106 145,795 136,339 98,070 75,470 3,708,266
2046 248,829 233,531 202,389 170,043 151,691 145,063 136,713 101,044 78,942 3,734,882

DURHAM

Table 10.2: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
DURHAM
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2019 38,402 41,218 42,167 43,891 47,478 46,023 44,967 46,937 46,552 46,539
2020 38,562 41,389 42,894 43,760 47,159 46,747 45,717 48,000 46,842 46,606
2021 38,734 41,784 43,466 44,018 46,308 47,234 46,691 48,774 47,655 46,370
2022 38,890 42,014 43,880 44,443 46,322 47,238 47,973 49,447 48,340 46,692
2023 39,086 42,442 43,979 45,246 46,216 47,048 49,176 49,976 49,273 47,021
2024 39,191 42,851 44,289 45,674 46,266 46,823 50,062 50,594 50,392 47,344
2025 39,476 43,089 44,419 46,428 46,143 46,461 50,573 51,449 51,541 47,703
2026 39,751 43,346 44,741 47,017 46,397 45,795 50,919 52,469 52,427 48,531
2027 40,021 43,605 44,945 47,438 46,808 45,659 50,816 53,645 53,206 49,273
2028 40,261 43,883 45,340 47,539 47,562 45,446 50,588 54,686 53,827 50,261
2029 40,472 44,077 45,783 47,823 48,024 45,461 50,376 55,441 54,564 51,415
2030 40,666 44,416 46,092 47,961 48,771 45,332 50,096 55,862 55,512 52,611
2031 40,849 44,731 46,433 48,277 49,358 45,520 49,596 56,120 56,571 53,564
2032 41,026 45,035 46,768 48,505 49,812 45,934 49,495 56,007 57,717 54,413
2033 41,207 45,306 47,117 48,922 49,978 46,641 49,337 55,821 58,719 55,113
2034 41,401 45,536 47,375 49,422 50,289 47,114 49,352 55,642 59,411 55,933
2035 41,616 45,741 47,756 49,812 50,499 47,793 49,233 55,407 59,787 56,942
2036 41,862 45,935 48,105 50,246 50,856 48,341 49,420 54,984 59,996 58,021
2037 42,144 46,121 48,441 50,666 51,153 48,776 49,851 54,893 59,872 59,134
2038 42,461 46,311 48,735 51,094 51,618 48,957 50,558 54,751 59,696 60,093
2039 42,818 46,514 48,989 51,431 52,191 49,251 51,060 54,773 59,528 60,742
2040 43,217 46,737 49,217 51,877 52,672 49,486 51,710 54,668 59,310 61,099
2041 43,647 46,990 49,430 52,285 53,203 49,829 52,252 54,860 58,920 61,290
2042 44,102 47,275 49,631 52,676 53,724 50,123 52,680 55,310 58,825 61,170
2043 44,580 47,600 49,834 53,022 54,248 50,554 52,884 56,023 58,678 61,010
2044 45,074 47,965 50,044 53,325 54,689 51,123 53,158 56,536 58,689 60,856
2045 45,578 48,369 50,277 53,599 55,213 51,630 53,394 57,164 58,573 60,666
2046 46,092 48,802 50,543 53,859 55,699 52,205 53,720 57,702 58,752 60,312
Table 10.2: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
DURHAM
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2019 49,709 54,613 43,520 34,282 27,560 18,273 12,307 8,194 4,723 697,355
2020 47,820 54,972 45,351 35,518 28,944 19,056 12,686 8,314 4,904 705,241
2021 46,716 54,231 47,496 36,743 30,162 20,110 13,159 8,352 5,282 713,285
2022 45,820 52,891 49,139 38,406 30,440 22,058 13,628 8,546 5,556 721,723
2023 45,523 50,777 50,842 39,887 31,230 23,507 14,552 8,651 5,825 730,257
2024 45,526 48,422 52,201 41,528 32,359 24,838 15,236 8,926 6,065 738,587
2025 45,609 46,747 52,624 43,289 33,596 26,142 15,959 9,284 6,275 746,807
2026 45,411 45,777 52,013 45,292 34,809 27,273 16,891 9,675 6,484 755,018
2027 45,716 44,998 50,829 46,849 36,392 27,599 18,592 10,072 6,725 763,188
2028 46,029 44,708 48,930 48,467 37,806 28,364 19,886 10,783 6,917 771,283
2029 46,357 44,669 46,826 49,767 39,336 29,420 21,050 11,336 7,195 779,392
2030 46,736 44,717 45,337 50,210 40,979 30,587 22,190 11,914 7,513 787,502
2031 47,557 44,528 44,497 49,716 42,822 31,744 23,186 12,657 7,849 795,575
2032 48,330 44,804 43,832 48,681 44,280 33,212 23,543 14,008 8,206 803,608
2033 49,348 45,109 43,576 46,999 45,815 34,544 24,262 15,058 8,730 811,602
2034 50,507 45,450 43,528 45,140 47,069 35,970 25,227 15,983 9,207 819,556
2035 51,710 45,848 43,566 43,831 47,540 37,493 26,295 16,883 9,717 827,469
2036 52,692 46,663 43,402 43,120 47,151 39,183 27,361 17,674 10,338 835,350
2037 53,577 47,456 43,670 42,571 46,253 40,545 28,677 18,031 11,372 843,203
2038 54,316 48,488 43,975 42,362 44,778 41,992 29,889 18,668 12,291 851,033
2039 55,174 49,646 44,331 42,320 43,157 43,192 31,175 19,482 13,075 858,849
2040 56,202 50,851 44,750 42,363 42,031 43,685 32,549 20,387 13,845 866,656
2041 57,276 51,851 45,558 42,226 41,448 43,409 34,059 21,289 14,606 874,428
2042 58,357 52,755 46,367 42,487 41,006 42,664 35,301 22,378 15,345 882,176
2043 59,280 53,524 47,408 42,799 40,843 41,410 36,627 23,399 16,187 889,910
2044 59,903 54,409 48,559 43,173 40,814 40,047 37,745 24,476 17,058 897,643
2045 60,254 55,445 49,757 43,613 40,871 39,117 38,251 25,632 17,983 905,386
2046 60,445 56,511 50,766 44,414 40,775 38,673 38,096 26,887 18,897 913,150

HALTON

Table 10.3: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
HALTON
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2019 31,553 37,167 41,695 41,781 37,183 33,458 33,665 38,875 44,864 46,643
2020 31,456 36,808 41,895 42,733 38,454 34,480 34,593 38,868 44,199 46,806
2021 31,345 36,635 41,959 43,587 39,653 35,208 35,640 38,986 44,002 46,425
2022 31,455 36,472 41,755 44,505 41,236 35,921 37,073 39,453 43,717 46,156
2023 31,719 36,555 41,231 45,465 42,617 36,751 38,667 40,041 43,630 46,113
2024 32,011 36,683 40,957 45,948 43,938 37,513 40,032 40,951 43,684 46,079
2025 32,582 36,879 40,728 46,273 44,818 38,324 41,016 42,175 44,080 45,664
2026 33,191 37,057 40,659 46,454 45,682 39,139 41,805 43,491 44,546 45,701
2027 33,852 37,375 40,598 46,362 46,543 40,070 42,382 44,973 45,238 45,655
2028 34,526 37,775 40,735 45,927 47,470 40,856 42,971 46,433 45,956 45,793
2029 35,202 38,180 40,941 45,729 48,015 41,819 43,471 47,661 46,969 46,064
2030 35,882 38,817 41,241 45,587 48,414 42,561 43,998 48,570 48,265 46,651
2031 36,568 39,473 41,546 45,602 48,691 43,335 44,573 49,298 49,632 47,271
2032 37,251 40,176 41,970 45,636 48,762 44,165 45,301 49,843 51,127 48,076
2033 37,937 40,886 42,477 45,868 48,555 45,084 45,948 50,437 52,577 48,892
2034 38,627 41,585 42,975 46,194 48,547 45,689 46,803 50,924 53,769 49,981
2035 39,326 42,282 43,674 46,618 48,568 46,169 47,525 51,412 54,647 51,322
2036 40,037 42,978 44,384 47,061 48,744 46,564 48,316 51,951 55,350 52,710
2037 40,757 43,680 45,130 47,602 48,944 46,821 49,181 52,646 55,875 54,188
2038 41,490 44,383 45,882 48,222 49,311 46,869 50,146 53,270 56,454 55,596
2039 42,231 45,096 46,617 48,830 49,799 47,066 50,858 54,115 56,927 56,747
2040 42,977 45,825 47,346 49,614 50,356 47,283 51,501 54,861 57,396 57,606
2041 43,725 46,565 48,073 50,401 50,944 47,618 52,053 55,690 57,907 58,287
2042 44,465 47,319 48,801 51,214 51,607 47,950 52,492 56,606 58,572 58,792
2043 45,194 48,082 49,529 52,023 52,338 48,404 52,737 57,626 59,166 59,349
2044 45,915 48,857 50,267 52,812 53,058 48,982 53,069 58,404 59,982 59,805
2045 46,625 49,634 51,020 53,589 53,911 49,610 53,428 59,118 60,707 60,252
2046 47,325 50,420 51,785 54,361 54,765 50,295 53,872 59,744 61,532 60,733
Table 10.3: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
HALTON
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2019 43,468 41,507 33,076 26,547 23,604 17,041 11,720 7,585 4,937 596,369
2020 43,508 42,357 34,307 27,459 24,434 17,688 12,227 7,801 5,143 605,216
2021 44,023 42,403 35,993 28,406 25,068 18,539 12,688 8,040 5,366 613,966
2022 44,452 42,531 37,237 29,574 24,948 20,083 13,260 8,220 5,622 623,670
2023 44,696 42,320 38,546 30,835 25,277 21,147 13,980 8,542 5,814 633,946
2024 44,970 41,838 39,755 32,097 26,060 21,982 14,704 8,909 6,019 644,130
2025 45,133 41,842 40,598 33,338 27,039 22,834 15,322 9,342 6,246 654,233
2026 44,838 42,273 40,685 34,949 28,036 23,507 16,113 9,737 6,497 664,360
2027 44,667 42,643 40,786 36,161 29,216 23,508 17,519 10,214 6,735 674,497
2028 44,683 42,839 40,559 37,414 30,446 23,884 18,518 10,813 7,026 684,624
2029 44,740 43,064 40,107 38,563 31,657 24,661 19,315 11,413 7,355 694,926
2030 44,485 43,222 40,086 39,359 32,856 25,631 20,112 11,944 7,731 705,412
2031 44,649 43,001 40,461 39,476 34,371 26,611 20,760 12,610 8,100 716,028
2032 44,765 42,912 40,795 39,560 35,544 27,747 20,860 13,781 8,509 726,780
2033 45,074 42,995 40,981 39,332 36,763 28,930 21,274 14,636 9,028 737,674
2034 45,497 43,130 41,189 38,909 37,876 30,093 22,028 15,324 9,570 748,710
2035 46,194 43,003 41,362 38,859 38,642 31,250 22,955 15,997 10,088 759,893
2036 46,900 43,263 41,217 39,187 38,772 32,679 23,880 16,558 10,682 771,233
2037 47,753 43,498 41,204 39,502 38,826 33,803 24,939 16,730 11,655 782,734
2038 48,605 43,925 41,344 39,687 38,589 34,978 26,041 17,144 12,458 794,394
2039 49,709 44,448 41,546 39,888 38,191 36,057 27,128 17,821 13,141 806,215
2040 51,036 45,215 41,525 40,074 38,133 36,804 28,213 18,641 13,785 818,191
2041 52,395 45,972 41,861 39,990 38,437 36,961 29,527 19,453 14,395 830,254
2042 53,817 46,849 42,186 40,039 38,739 37,015 30,578 20,371 14,992 842,404
2043 55,164 47,717 42,696 40,230 38,924 36,807 31,683 21,321 15,650 854,640
2044 56,257 48,813 43,292 40,486 39,119 36,467 32,705 22,263 16,408 866,961
2045 57,083 50,108 44,104 40,551 39,314 36,434 33,417 23,219 17,247 879,371
2046 57,738 51,431 44,896 40,947 39,279 36,737 33,608 24,353 18,051 891,872

PEEL

Table 10.4: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
PEEL
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2019 82,693 87,047 93,872 99,592 127,318 123,460 112,389 109,615 103,472 101,871
2020 84,559 86,911 94,263 103,649 129,126 126,140 116,619 113,900 104,665 101,869
2021 86,735 87,065 94,189 106,927 129,935 127,227 120,684 117,043 106,636 102,038
2022 88,607 88,002 94,615 110,666 133,386 130,085 125,875 120,798 109,492 102,824
2023 91,079 89,387 94,824 114,114 135,656 133,640 130,692 124,894 113,305 103,916
2024 93,605 91,269 94,980 115,952 138,947 134,874 134,175 129,079 117,203 105,462
2025 95,785 93,706 95,433 117,098 142,355 135,039 136,551 133,364 121,365 106,775
2026 97,753 96,334 96,098 117,842 145,702 135,488 138,297 137,770 124,783 108,907
2027 99,643 98,411 97,132 118,667 148,779 136,297 139,626 142,062 128,158 111,475
2028 101,346 100,661 98,344 119,061 151,837 136,846 141,151 145,593 131,543 114,795
2029 102,902 102,939 100,095 119,462 153,939 139,074 141,808 148,305 135,239 118,323
2030 104,396 104,990 102,419 120,194 155,651 141,663 142,160 150,315 139,163 122,186
2031 105,875 106,896 104,986 121,156 157,052 144,382 142,786 151,890 143,204 125,447
2032 107,357 108,779 107,111 122,514 158,533 147,104 143,783 153,210 147,154 128,705
2033 108,872 110,549 109,432 124,107 159,669 149,945 144,654 154,823 150,512 131,990
2034 110,454 112,180 111,763 126,222 160,809 152,052 146,689 155,804 153,106 135,563
2035 112,109 113,743 113,882 128,863 162,221 153,848 148,932 156,553 155,067 139,337
2036 113,833 115,299 115,862 131,749 163,859 155,411 151,395 157,472 156,634 143,186
2037 115,637 116,859 117,821 134,247 165,870 157,027 154,020 158,694 157,960 146,919
2038 117,519 118,446 119,676 136,921 168,108 158,341 156,823 159,793 159,542 150,116
2039 119,467 120,095 121,404 139,592 170,847 159,657 159,063 161,842 160,628 152,605
2040 121,486 121,813 123,066 142,084 174,056 161,170 161,106 164,047 161,536 154,520
2041 123,547 123,595 124,717 144,440 177,489 162,854 162,929 166,497 162,550 156,069
2042 125,642 125,446 126,365 146,776 180,617 164,852 164,723 169,170 163,829 157,374
2043 127,771 127,363 128,034 149,005 183,892 167,030 166,221 172,035 164,982 158,903
2044 129,925 129,339 129,751 151,113 187,145 169,630 167,707 174,393 166,948 160,015
2045 132,110 131,376 131,530 153,160 190,257 172,603 169,339 176,593 169,019 160,974
2046 134,322 133,466 133,370 155,197 193,250 175,781 171,119 178,599 171,364 162,009
Table 10.4: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
PEEL
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2019 105,691 104,313 85,939 67,785 54,216 36,631 24,085 13,829 8,176 1,541,994
2020 103,679 105,515 88,654 70,683 56,927 38,211 25,411 14,469 8,497 1,573,747
2021 102,444 105,605 91,721 73,246 59,389 40,381 26,532 15,327 8,967 1,602,091
2022 101,737 104,681 94,587 76,333 60,622 43,753 27,755 16,078 9,421 1,639,317
2023 100,766 103,253 97,549 79,651 62,226 46,671 29,309 16,863 10,003 1,677,798
2024 99,926 101,774 100,200 82,539 64,366 49,446 30,895 17,706 10,565 1,712,963
2025 100,000 100,121 101,599 85,396 67,286 52,050 32,362 18,791 11,148 1,746,224
2026 100,294 99,199 101,898 88,494 69,886 54,382 34,266 19,674 11,854 1,778,921
2027 100,942 98,610 101,138 91,274 72,862 55,611 37,196 20,633 12,488 1,811,004
2028 101,815 97,706 99,810 94,058 75,933 57,119 39,729 21,852 13,214 1,842,413
2029 103,198 96,955 98,458 96,557 78,628 59,110 42,119 23,092 13,967 1,874,170
2030 104,465 97,046 97,029 97,934 81,323 61,793 44,370 24,272 14,874 1,906,243
2031 106,510 97,338 96,302 98,298 84,243 64,226 46,401 25,784 15,725 1,938,501
2032 108,986 98,002 95,899 97,711 86,884 66,987 47,552 28,105 16,578 1,970,954
2033 112,183 98,907 95,213 96,610 89,582 69,842 48,962 30,133 17,654 2,003,639
2034 115,551 100,282 94,649 95,488 92,018 72,382 50,783 32,028 18,750 2,036,573
2035 119,229 101,562 94,825 94,330 93,425 74,946 53,191 33,810 19,898 2,069,771
2036 122,379 103,567 95,174 93,828 93,886 77,699 55,395 35,429 21,221 2,103,278
2037 125,518 105,971 95,883 93,616 93,479 80,200 57,870 36,430 23,084 2,137,105
2038 128,667 109,043 96,824 93,139 92,593 82,779 60,426 37,644 24,861 2,171,261
2039 132,096 112,269 98,204 92,766 91,693 85,115 62,732 39,190 26,518 2,205,783
2040 135,718 115,782 99,514 93,044 90,793 86,532 65,092 41,190 28,115 2,240,664
2041 139,384 118,825 101,497 93,464 90,501 87,080 67,600 43,034 29,696 2,275,768
2042 142,919 121,857 103,851 94,231 90,460 86,838 69,888 45,079 31,208 2,311,125
2043 145,957 124,882 106,822 95,217 90,171 86,169 72,277 47,191 32,808 2,346,730
2044 148,336 128,168 109,931 96,607 89,961 85,502 74,443 49,119 34,560 2,382,593
2045 150,186 131,637 113,307 97,943 90,327 84,848 75,826 51,138 36,575 2,418,748
2046 151,694 135,138 116,259 99,911 90,816 84,750 76,436 53,256 38,460 2,455,197

YORK

Table 10.5: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
YORK
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2019 57,636 65,784 72,410 78,019 77,905 75,766 69,889 73,274 78,150 89,283
2020 57,655 65,106 72,085 78,896 78,010 76,734 71,701 74,135 76,771 87,262
2021 58,074 64,448 71,873 78,506 79,045 76,688 73,778 74,869 76,098 84,877
2022 58,389 63,989 71,841 78,474 81,152 76,957 75,572 75,856 76,609 82,688
2023 58,760 63,793 71,751 78,661 82,984 77,224 77,734 77,063 77,514 81,108
2024 59,046 64,680 71,068 79,109 84,351 76,806 79,202 78,962 78,623 79,937
2025 59,758 65,183 70,688 79,158 84,964 76,864 80,195 81,116 80,051 79,151
2026 60,455 66,020 70,295 79,268 84,808 77,664 80,572 83,440 81,351 79,042
2027 61,168 66,640 69,991 79,409 84,877 78,704 80,714 85,173 82,627 79,834
2028 61,834 67,161 69,840 79,391 85,215 79,543 80,713 86,880 83,911 80,950
2029 62,448 67,557 70,728 78,821 85,788 80,215 80,417 87,987 85,797 82,233
2030 63,023 68,315 71,329 78,543 86,092 80,518 80,456 88,723 87,916 83,824
2031 63,589 69,047 72,265 78,271 86,418 80,509 80,920 88,992 90,144 85,278
2032 64,130 69,792 73,003 78,127 86,774 80,852 81,601 89,121 91,829 86,702
2033 64,657 70,497 73,655 78,171 87,007 81,490 82,184 89,204 93,447 88,112
2034 65,187 71,137 74,171 79,188 86,745 82,180 82,769 89,080 94,468 90,057
2035 65,726 71,733 75,001 79,956 86,736 82,696 83,066 89,168 95,128 92,200
2036 66,277 72,316 75,793 81,043 86,734 83,179 83,281 89,539 95,365 94,398
2037 66,853 72,875 76,592 81,940 86,884 83,672 83,864 90,109 95,474 96,074
2038 67,463 73,424 77,345 82,760 87,237 84,044 84,705 90,597 95,569 97,635
2039 68,113 73,977 78,026 83,452 88,420 84,032 85,527 91,156 95,503 98,609
2040 68,798 74,545 78,659 84,416 89,403 84,216 86,240 91,455 95,602 99,229
2041 69,512 75,124 79,279 85,335 90,655 84,405 86,898 91,777 95,905 99,451
2042 70,254 75,733 79,873 86,251 91,754 84,742 87,514 92,475 96,396 99,541
2043 71,016 76,378 80,453 87,117 92,790 85,274 87,977 93,419 96,802 99,635
2044 71,795 77,064 81,035 87,907 93,716 86,428 88,194 94,302 97,310 99,590
2045 72,594 77,783 81,636 88,646 94,858 87,445 88,550 95,098 97,571 99,684
2046 73,407 78,536 82,251 89,372 95,953 88,677 88,936 95,840 97,914 99,942
Table 10.5: Population by five-year age group, 2019–2046 — reference scenario
YORK
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2019 90,654 89,678 75,202 60,665 49,579 32,336 23,145 13,810 8,300 1,181,485
2020 89,765 90,831 77,236 62,488 52,596 33,565 24,125 14,545 8,622 1,192,128
2021 89,607 90,620 79,420 64,731 54,900 35,507 24,974 15,391 9,165 1,202,571
2022 89,651 89,756 81,462 67,135 55,551 39,105 25,842 16,216 9,637 1,215,882
2023 88,678 88,208 83,999 69,871 56,631 42,427 26,814 16,901 10,275 1,230,396
2024 87,019 87,185 86,164 72,383 57,948 45,492 27,925 17,738 10,883 1,244,521
2025 85,388 86,399 87,405 74,546 59,874 48,316 29,095 18,580 11,535 1,258,266
2026 83,476 86,288 87,346 76,789 62,147 50,504 30,849 19,299 12,294 1,271,907
2027 81,717 86,342 86,587 78,826 64,524 51,226 34,023 20,027 12,982 1,285,391
2028 80,454 85,470 85,141 81,277 67,129 52,303 36,928 20,854 13,675 1,298,669
2029 79,587 84,014 84,143 83,369 69,517 53,617 39,599 21,800 14,449 1,312,086
2030 79,088 82,618 83,398 84,569 71,633 55,481 42,064 22,796 15,254 1,325,640
2031 79,237 80,993 83,299 84,573 73,810 57,651 44,004 24,255 16,039 1,339,294
2032 80,190 79,552 83,376 83,901 75,784 59,918 44,747 26,853 16,786 1,353,038
2033 81,488 78,568 82,632 82,585 78,162 62,379 45,803 29,214 17,614 1,366,869
2034 82,913 77,961 81,375 81,649 80,211 64,647 47,092 31,376 18,574 1,380,780
2035 84,614 77,685 80,193 80,962 81,401 66,697 48,856 33,364 19,581 1,394,763
2036 86,166 78,018 78,819 80,894 81,476 68,802 50,876 34,952 20,895 1,408,823
2037 87,674 79,076 77,641 81,008 80,887 70,710 52,975 35,671 22,974 1,422,953
2038 89,148 80,472 76,888 80,388 79,699 73,004 55,238 36,645 24,881 1,437,142
2039 91,108 81,976 76,491 79,319 78,851 74,998 57,335 37,822 26,683 1,451,398
2040 93,249 83,733 76,397 78,332 78,253 76,183 59,271 39,384 28,356 1,465,721
2041 95,407 85,336 76,878 77,181 78,245 76,341 61,259 41,147 29,926 1,480,061
2042 97,059 86,889 78,016 76,240 78,407 75,868 63,061 42,961 31,396 1,494,430
2043 98,567 88,395 79,484 75,692 77,906 74,864 65,226 44,907 32,930 1,508,832
2044 99,503 90,345 81,046 75,481 77,010 74,161 67,121 46,722 34,541 1,523,271
2045 100,100 92,457 82,838 75,544 76,204 73,695 68,281 48,440 36,339 1,537,763
2046 100,323 94,566 84,475 76,155 75,257 73,771 68,529 50,205 38,203 1,552,312

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2019, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Notes:

1. Population as of July 1.

2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

LIST OF TABLES