Ontario Population Projections, 2018–2046
Table 10: Greater Toronto Area and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario

Table 10: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
GREATER TORONTO AREA
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2018 346,504 365,028 377,462 422,005 503,601 524,171 507,743 485,935 465,692 477,129
2019 351,695 364,436 381,492 430,333 518,119 538,495 526,500 503,176 472,401 474,195
2020 359,457 364,659 385,274 437,019 533,588 551,193 546,864 522,143 480,057 473,544
2021 368,995 365,457 387,999 444,247 546,147 560,217 565,592 538,574 491,561 472,511
2022 377,592 368,104 389,609 453,092 557,093 565,927 580,868 554,457 504,482 474,258
2023 385,725 372,530 389,804 462,264 564,591 570,350 592,734 568,914 519,549 477,824
2024 394,666 378,245 389,509 468,090 571,222 572,737 599,618 584,396 534,554 483,192
2025 402,642 385,807 389,466 472,240 573,521 573,857 603,133 599,939 550,239 488,894
2026 409,419 395,024 390,013 475,473 577,610 574,643 604,655 614,609 564,010 498,525
2027 415,145 403,410 392,427 477,809 584,522 576,775 604,770 627,003 577,784 509,941
2028 419,959 411,398 396,708 478,931 593,008 578,534 605,469 637,149 590,773 523,881
2029 424,053 420,281 402,414 479,798 599,392 582,146 606,039 643,519 605,331 538,159
2030 427,614 428,375 410,078 481,125 605,390 584,337 607,097 647,608 620,596 553,498
2031 430,850 435,397 419,436 483,097 610,570 588,445 608,040 649,939 635,180 567,117
2032 433,939 441,436 427,995 486,867 614,890 595,231 610,409 650,837 647,675 580,671
2033 437,016 446,612 436,170 492,464 618,006 603,582 612,499 652,225 658,058 593,442
2034 440,198 451,109 445,226 499,446 620,925 609,911 616,373 653,477 664,845 607,746
2035 443,620 455,097 453,523 508,332 624,271 615,879 618,928 655,098 669,415 622,782
2036 447,398 458,779 460,785 518,896 628,292 621,055 623,352 656,589 672,265 637,164
2037 451,590 462,325 467,096 528,733 634,018 625,428 630,281 659,542 673,663 649,564
2038 456,208 465,870 472,579 538,219 641,563 628,633 638,760 662,287 675,473 659,960
2039 461,236 469,518 477,409 548,565 650,422 631,653 645,309 666,733 677,127 666,927
2040 466,641 473,405 481,744 558,184 661,151 635,064 651,589 669,941 679,080 671,801
2041 472,377 477,641 485,795 566,793 673,544 639,102 657,089 674,969 680,893 674,991
2042 478,377 482,282 489,714 574,483 685,360 644,701 661,829 682,394 684,189 676,715
2043 484,545 487,336 493,636 581,364 696,841 652,047 665,393 691,333 687,305 678,803
2044 490,825 492,779 497,663 587,629 709,146 660,596 668,832 698,432 692,081 680,751
2045 497,133 498,588 501,924 593,415 720,725 670,883 672,635 705,299 695,657 682,974
2046 503,413 504,731 506,525 598,948 731,326 682,796 677,024 711,411 701,036 685,054
Table 10: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
GREATER TORONTO AREA
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2018 492,240 473,594 392,778 316,704 251,581 176,641 129,818 85,109 54,059 6,847,794
2019 483,420 486,084 406,367 325,873 265,649 183,226 133,838 87,549 56,400 6,989,248
2020 477,070 492,404 420,026 338,132 279,394 189,996 138,140 89,998 59,046 7,138,004
2021 474,536 492,624 434,017 351,034 290,789 199,787 141,699 92,584 61,993 7,280,363
2022 473,351 488,407 445,847 365,202 295,058 216,702 145,804 95,250 64,648 7,415,751
2023 470,281 480,321 459,599 379,403 301,479 231,463 151,419 97,791 67,599 7,543,640
2024 467,061 472,003 471,732 392,621 310,590 244,649 157,556 101,265 70,005 7,663,711
2025 465,525 465,686 477,783 405,706 322,363 257,426 163,822 104,959 72,660 7,775,668
2026 463,813 463,076 478,028 419,060 334,696 268,095 172,651 108,124 75,640 7,887,164
2027 464,975 461,829 474,055 430,407 348,157 272,485 187,714 111,710 78,479 7,999,397
2028 468,090 458,899 466,488 443,563 361,651 278,831 200,897 116,495 81,484 8,112,208
2029 473,211 455,949 458,860 455,265 374,301 287,655 212,673 121,723 84,767 8,225,536
2030 478,954 454,754 453,242 461,372 386,907 298,931 224,069 127,081 88,352 8,339,380
2031 488,449 453,449 451,176 462,021 399,799 310,725 233,702 134,453 91,782 8,453,627
2032 499,658 454,875 450,390 458,643 410,859 323,518 238,180 146,886 95,403 8,568,362
2033 513,281 458,159 448,008 451,950 423,612 336,340 244,385 157,791 99,937 8,683,537
2034 527,234 463,365 445,578 445,226 435,015 348,428 252,754 167,497 104,912 8,799,265
2035 542,190 469,187 444,798 440,383 441,231 360,547 263,280 176,830 110,130 8,915,521
2036 555,517 478,567 443,925 438,910 442,311 372,941 274,249 184,811 116,585 9,032,391
2037 568,764 489,600 445,645 438,622 439,584 383,674 286,063 189,069 126,654 9,149,915
2038 581,252 502,952 449,124 436,844 433,801 395,984 297,918 194,752 135,990 9,268,169
2039 595,203 516,613 454,437 435,000 428,015 407,057 309,169 202,173 144,536 9,387,102
2040 609,871 531,236 460,375 434,689 424,012 413,379 320,550 211,361 152,775 9,506,848
2041 623,913 544,324 469,686 434,294 423,188 414,923 332,186 220,885 160,753 9,627,346
2042 636,095 557,328 480,582 436,341 423,439 412,909 342,357 231,054 168,556 9,748,705
2043 646,389 569,583 493,707 440,037 422,294 408,147 353,994 241,275 176,813 9,870,842
2044 653,430 583,243 507,127 445,501 421,055 403,427 364,519 251,062 185,718 9,993,816
2045 658,469 597,603 521,460 451,571 421,230 400,362 370,835 261,094 195,649 10,117,506
2046 661,903 611,369 534,364 460,833 421,325 400,249 372,844 271,347 205,564 10,242,062

Table 10.1: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
TORONTO
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2018 142,265 137,189 132,130 161,385 223,953 268,187 266,855 229,742 195,627 191,671
2019 146,140 138,312 134,523 166,335 234,888 272,769 279,911 242,843 202,489 190,920
2020 151,065 139,319 136,936 170,303 245,967 276,615 291,364 255,798 210,090 191,238
2021 156,643 139,813 138,772 174,293 254,681 278,434 299,191 266,771 218,668 192,104
2022 161,797 140,590 139,574 178,808 261,274 278,906 302,781 276,363 227,207 194,387
2023 166,609 141,398 140,001 182,847 265,626 279,083 303,327 284,224 236,409 197,408
2024 170,182 143,873 139,998 185,255 268,408 279,288 301,267 291,452 244,929 201,377
2025 172,852 147,122 139,828 186,935 268,573 278,813 297,964 297,354 253,176 205,847
2026 174,690 151,245 139,591 188,464 269,892 278,512 294,569 301,635 260,512 211,768
2027 175,893 155,378 139,999 189,471 272,804 278,790 291,663 303,833 267,582 218,323
2028 176,655 159,444 140,704 190,356 276,302 279,146 289,885 304,481 273,858 225,953
2029 177,137 162,755 142,940 191,064 279,077 280,113 289,076 303,518 280,216 233,375
2030 177,451 165,492 146,021 191,825 282,001 280,409 288,897 302,036 286,074 240,938
2031 177,740 167,599 149,911 192,591 284,788 281,799 288,901 300,311 290,721 247,738
2032 178,085 169,195 153,809 193,913 287,044 284,655 289,519 298,721 293,680 254,316
2033 178,528 170,418 157,657 195,527 289,068 288,153 290,163 297,927 295,317 260,215
2034 179,123 171,402 160,914 198,507 290,978 290,905 291,437 297,790 295,477 266,289
2035 179,905 172,241 163,697 202,271 292,965 293,705 292,085 298,154 295,071 272,041
2036 180,914 173,044 165,940 206,804 295,037 296,301 293,709 298,635 294,316 276,794
2037 182,166 173,871 167,738 211,334 297,599 298,366 296,644 299,707 293,514 280,085
2038 183,663 174,782 169,215 215,823 300,544 300,118 300,249 300,810 293,327 282,223
2039 185,388 175,811 170,479 219,859 304,753 301,760 303,089 302,510 293,607 282,995
2040 187,321 176,991 171,609 223,483 309,758 303,503 305,906 303,653 294,276 283,203
2041 189,444 178,360 172,707 226,621 315,548 305,371 308,447 305,666 295,022 283,026
2042 191,713 179,926 173,822 229,356 321,333 307,695 310,536 308,853 296,345 282,699
2043 194,103 181,695 174,999 231,799 327,039 310,532 312,249 312,672 297,691 282,858
2044 196,581 183,655 176,281 234,045 332,467 314,506 313,863 315,761 299,609 283,390
2045 199,099 185,787 177,693 236,167 337,498 319,251 315,588 318,807 301,009 284,245
2046 201,630 188,084 179,268 238,264 342,058 324,762 317,459 321,569 303,210 285,158
Table 10.1: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
TORONTO
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2018 198,208 192,101 164,823 134,032 106,251 77,581 61,611 43,204 29,209 2,956,024
2019 194,733 196,814 169,570 137,643 111,630 79,456 62,601 43,832 30,158 3,035,567
2020 192,146 198,749 174,507 142,265 116,906 81,690 63,407 44,375 31,303 3,114,043
2021 190,482 198,908 178,529 147,319 121,150 85,105 64,047 44,842 32,515 3,182,267
2022 189,414 196,841 181,710 152,272 122,700 91,234 64,842 45,451 33,573 3,239,724
2023 187,444 193,264 186,140 156,948 124,735 96,806 66,110 45,954 34,724 3,289,057
2024 185,561 189,465 190,171 161,056 127,854 101,622 67,888 46,911 35,469 3,332,026
2025 184,486 186,392 191,592 165,314 131,862 106,319 69,933 47,743 36,331 3,368,436
2026 184,153 184,430 191,425 168,956 136,344 110,165 73,006 48,450 37,222 3,405,029
2027 185,474 183,229 189,367 171,978 140,899 111,717 78,480 49,301 38,133 3,442,314
2028 187,787 181,329 186,016 176,203 145,313 113,769 83,462 50,533 39,080 3,480,276
2029 191,166 179,594 182,592 180,104 149,290 116,818 87,813 52,158 40,078 3,518,884
2030 195,200 178,722 179,943 181,707 153,433 120,706 92,054 53,985 41,086 3,557,980
2031 200,603 178,491 178,383 181,767 157,094 125,013 95,580 56,618 42,034 3,597,682
2032 206,639 179,767 177,505 180,071 160,197 129,408 97,220 61,199 43,102 3,638,045
2033 213,670 181,962 175,958 177,222 164,349 133,678 99,318 65,351 44,461 3,678,942
2034 220,564 185,136 174,534 174,345 168,187 137,579 102,280 68,987 46,100 3,720,534
2035 227,622 188,915 173,895 172,182 169,960 141,632 105,986 72,504 47,860 3,762,691
2036 233,997 193,992 173,797 171,048 170,269 145,302 110,040 75,470 50,120 3,805,529
2037 240,188 199,691 175,073 170,488 168,993 148,457 114,175 77,072 53,799 3,848,960
2038 245,789 206,337 177,208 169,315 166,657 152,543 118,210 79,065 57,256 3,893,134
2039 251,598 212,882 180,247 168,238 164,299 156,332 121,943 81,748 60,431 3,937,969
2040 257,173 219,609 183,850 167,872 162,589 158,253 125,834 85,046 63,525 3,983,454
2041 261,900 225,708 188,686 167,963 161,849 158,789 129,427 88,613 66,489 4,029,636
2042 265,340 231,644 194,122 169,280 161,618 157,868 132,554 92,239 69,439 4,076,382
2043 267,752 237,038 200,455 171,379 160,819 155,984 136,502 95,780 72,486 4,123,832
2044 268,884 242,676 206,717 174,323 160,073 154,093 140,173 99,103 75,808 4,172,008
2045 269,445 248,137 213,168 177,782 159,957 152,796 142,191 102,606 79,497 4,220,723
2046 269,613 252,848 219,043 182,397 160,216 152,405 142,922 105,892 83,246 4,270,044

Table 10.2: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
DURHAM
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2018 37,794 40,510 41,736 43,954 46,990 43,797 43,426 45,167 45,978 46,412
2019 37,954 40,850 42,086 43,859 46,992 45,203 43,925 46,196 46,324 46,520
2020 38,174 41,016 42,801 43,696 46,814 46,232 44,772 47,313 46,671 46,729
2021 38,462 41,368 43,379 43,995 46,167 46,944 45,975 48,093 47,543 46,602
2022 38,740 41,687 43,786 44,383 46,096 47,058 47,377 48,845 48,264 47,030
2023 38,966 42,284 43,860 45,182 45,846 46,965 48,673 49,399 49,243 47,428
2024 39,498 42,542 44,156 45,612 45,822 46,793 49,661 50,088 50,407 47,841
2025 39,983 42,884 44,281 46,318 45,644 46,442 50,283 50,992 51,626 48,252
2026 40,402 43,321 44,571 46,884 45,869 45,774 50,636 52,130 52,529 49,154
2027 40,747 43,743 44,856 47,279 46,251 45,623 50,535 53,361 53,394 49,953
2028 41,017 44,118 45,425 47,358 47,005 45,366 50,330 54,476 54,066 51,023
2029 41,223 44,733 45,740 47,627 47,445 45,348 50,096 55,271 54,868 52,247
2030 41,380 45,280 46,158 47,756 48,133 45,200 49,777 55,738 55,855 53,537
2031 41,504 45,729 46,695 48,036 48,681 45,386 49,246 55,958 57,008 54,533
2032 41,607 46,089 47,209 48,337 49,087 45,772 49,129 55,790 58,189 55,475
2033 41,707 46,365 47,675 48,908 49,208 46,474 48,935 55,559 59,231 56,227
2034 41,815 46,571 48,349 49,286 49,483 46,911 48,942 55,315 59,935 57,108
2035 41,952 46,722 48,939 49,785 49,652 47,529 48,817 55,013 60,322 58,158
2036 42,131 46,840 49,419 50,416 49,952 48,026 49,001 54,547 60,479 59,324
2037 42,356 46,943 49,800 51,023 50,294 48,402 49,398 54,446 60,284 60,474
2038 42,631 47,042 50,090 51,577 50,883 48,518 50,080 54,290 60,042 61,463
2039 42,956 47,156 50,306 52,314 51,327 48,760 50,520 54,323 59,797 62,117
2040 43,327 47,301 50,468 52,963 51,899 48,933 51,096 54,221 59,511 62,479
2041 43,737 47,494 50,595 53,495 52,604 49,217 51,563 54,418 59,080 62,615
2042 44,179 47,739 50,705 53,922 53,293 49,544 51,921 54,838 58,996 62,418
2043 44,638 48,040 50,818 54,254 53,934 50,087 52,053 55,535 58,867 62,191
2044 45,111 48,389 50,947 54,511 54,723 50,549 52,271 55,996 58,923 61,967
2045 45,585 48,792 51,107 54,713 55,424 51,146 52,444 56,567 58,840 61,719
2046 46,054 49,234 51,318 54,883 56,007 51,885 52,714 57,038 59,056 61,341
Table 10.2: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
DURHAM
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2018 52,204 53,017 41,643 33,000 26,001 17,435 12,023 7,949 4,568 683,604
2019 49,722 54,466 43,466 34,253 27,503 18,230 12,377 8,174 4,834 692,934
2020 48,002 54,976 45,408 35,611 28,996 19,077 12,840 8,367 5,101 702,596
2021 47,067 54,371 47,650 36,953 30,311 20,196 13,295 8,493 5,458 712,322
2022 46,361 53,175 49,389 38,729 30,728 22,207 13,810 8,719 5,723 722,107
2023 46,225 51,213 51,204 40,330 31,623 23,744 14,746 8,866 6,012 731,809
2024 46,337 48,990 52,651 42,103 32,849 25,156 15,471 9,177 6,258 741,412
2025 46,526 47,437 53,199 43,961 34,193 26,556 16,233 9,566 6,486 750,862
2026 46,418 46,602 52,698 46,065 35,523 27,783 17,230 9,950 6,737 760,276
2027 46,807 45,975 51,616 47,706 37,213 28,223 19,005 10,384 6,985 769,656
2028 47,182 45,819 49,821 49,430 38,743 29,079 20,393 11,114 7,213 778,978
2029 47,609 45,876 47,804 50,822 40,414 30,232 21,643 11,707 7,522 788,227
2030 48,053 46,024 46,402 51,376 42,161 31,510 22,878 12,330 7,867 797,415
2031 48,965 45,913 45,664 50,964 44,119 32,782 23,967 13,138 8,219 806,507
2032 49,812 46,271 45,121 49,998 45,666 34,362 24,420 14,569 8,599 815,502
2033 50,927 46,640 44,973 48,377 47,310 35,809 25,227 15,708 9,157 824,417
2034 52,179 47,081 45,007 46,562 48,655 37,369 26,281 16,712 9,675 833,236
2035 53,495 47,548 45,134 45,304 49,224 39,001 27,453 17,697 10,234 841,979
2036 54,536 48,466 45,036 44,665 48,900 40,812 28,631 18,572 10,909 850,662
2037 55,521 49,346 45,380 44,212 48,044 42,268 30,062 19,007 12,026 859,286
2038 56,324 50,486 45,750 44,083 46,598 43,823 31,389 19,720 13,026 867,815
2039 57,253 51,749 46,205 44,110 44,986 45,116 32,809 20,617 13,886 876,307
2040 58,330 53,073 46,697 44,227 43,884 45,701 34,298 21,615 14,738 884,761
2041 59,493 54,141 47,615 44,147 43,350 45,474 35,931 22,620 15,582 893,171
2042 60,618 55,157 48,518 44,485 42,982 44,757 37,268 23,817 16,417 901,574
2043 61,583 55,996 49,672 44,863 42,887 43,516 38,705 24,948 17,358 909,945
2044 62,218 56,955 50,937 45,335 42,921 42,142 39,919 26,152 18,326 918,292
2045 62,574 58,054 52,265 45,850 43,046 41,224 40,516 27,413 19,358 926,637
2046 62,715 59,217 53,354 46,772 43,001 40,821 40,402 28,788 20,383 934,983

Table 10.3: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
HALTON
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2018 30,984 36,767 40,728 40,312 36,002 31,020 31,865 38,353 44,487 46,095
2019 30,711 36,329 41,075 41,546 37,209 32,656 32,421 37,958 44,256 46,412
2020 30,798 35,941 41,292 42,407 38,581 33,982 33,500 38,028 43,606 46,567
2021 30,923 35,749 41,324 43,283 39,871 35,140 34,811 38,222 43,455 46,164
2022 31,204 35,696 41,042 44,154 41,305 35,944 36,471 38,645 43,237 45,883
2023 31,458 36,032 40,438 45,066 42,433 36,770 38,151 39,178 43,152 45,834
2024 32,129 36,016 40,092 45,530 43,521 37,537 39,559 40,060 43,183 45,775
2025 32,850 36,314 39,777 45,805 44,210 38,267 40,612 41,271 43,561 45,340
2026 33,584 36,649 39,628 45,889 44,945 38,917 41,463 42,614 43,975 45,366
2027 34,307 37,072 39,632 45,680 45,730 39,719 41,991 44,176 44,558 45,350
2028 35,003 37,449 40,012 45,167 46,594 40,349 42,518 45,701 45,211 45,492
2029 35,666 38,208 40,084 44,895 47,078 41,082 42,965 46,956 46,186 45,738
2030 36,293 38,988 40,469 44,658 47,402 41,577 43,388 47,900 47,460 46,287
2031 36,884 39,751 40,912 44,580 47,570 42,166 43,758 48,649 48,843 46,847
2032 37,444 40,487 41,415 44,667 47,505 42,861 44,284 49,098 50,384 47,536
2033 37,983 41,180 41,869 45,121 47,185 43,648 44,701 49,548 51,858 48,273
2034 38,503 41,830 42,684 45,305 47,072 44,121 45,263 49,905 53,050 49,308
2035 39,014 42,437 43,505 45,794 46,975 44,468 45,663 50,235 53,940 50,616
2036 39,531 43,005 44,297 46,355 47,032 44,704 46,184 50,516 54,633 52,006
2037 40,056 43,548 45,048 46,951 47,255 44,778 46,828 50,961 55,039 53,513
2038 40,592 44,070 45,749 47,505 47,802 44,648 47,580 51,316 55,443 54,932
2039 41,135 44,579 46,403 48,396 48,116 44,680 48,066 51,836 55,754 56,072
2040 41,688 45,086 47,007 49,285 48,691 44,720 48,478 52,212 56,039 56,930
2041 42,241 45,605 47,575 50,133 49,347 44,890 48,793 52,723 56,280 57,589
2042 42,793 46,139 48,116 50,931 50,036 45,182 48,982 53,378 56,685 57,965
2043 43,330 46,689 48,638 51,673 50,697 45,728 48,994 54,150 57,017 58,345
2044 43,849 47,256 49,150 52,364 51,638 46,120 49,111 54,672 57,519 58,639
2045 44,348 47,835 49,665 53,003 52,565 46,724 49,251 55,135 57,885 58,912
2046 44,825 48,422 50,192 53,608 53,447 47,429 49,489 55,504 58,399 59,139
Table 10.3: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
HALTON
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2018 43,810 40,049 31,520 25,642 22,700 16,188 11,300 7,514 4,678 580,014
2019 43,375 41,312 32,845 26,406 23,534 17,003 11,756 7,687 4,952 589,443
2020 43,461 42,243 34,184 27,377 24,423 17,699 12,272 7,928 5,194 599,483
2021 44,012 42,372 35,951 28,386 25,120 18,584 12,776 8,164 5,450 609,757
2022 44,485 42,579 37,275 29,629 25,054 20,166 13,353 8,361 5,742 620,225
2023 44,749 42,438 38,642 30,930 25,424 21,275 14,091 8,680 5,970 630,711
2024 45,028 42,046 39,898 32,252 26,222 22,132 14,838 9,071 6,189 641,078
2025 45,182 42,083 40,798 33,568 27,219 23,021 15,493 9,507 6,441 651,319
2026 44,860 42,553 40,945 35,236 28,240 23,735 16,311 9,930 6,704 661,544
2027 44,667 42,958 41,098 36,503 29,462 23,767 17,757 10,410 6,966 671,803
2028 44,676 43,171 40,921 37,806 30,731 24,182 18,804 11,031 7,269 682,087
2029 44,709 43,400 40,540 39,004 32,003 24,980 19,627 11,662 7,614 692,397
2030 44,438 43,548 40,538 39,856 33,271 25,973 20,467 12,224 8,007 702,744
2031 44,595 43,298 40,947 40,010 34,845 26,980 21,158 12,921 8,398 713,112
2032 44,731 43,180 41,312 40,124 36,066 28,161 21,283 14,140 8,823 723,501
2033 45,031 43,247 41,504 39,922 37,329 29,382 21,732 15,042 9,365 733,920
2034 45,418 43,355 41,708 39,542 38,488 30,602 22,508 15,761 9,939 744,362
2035 46,070 43,205 41,860 39,498 39,301 31,821 23,464 16,481 10,489 754,836
2036 46,707 43,452 41,674 39,847 39,455 33,309 24,425 17,083 11,125 765,340
2037 47,448 43,696 41,625 40,183 39,520 34,481 25,536 17,274 12,144 775,884
2038 48,223 44,102 41,742 40,365 39,292 35,699 26,678 17,719 13,003 786,460
2039 49,268 44,581 41,913 40,551 38,919 36,817 27,822 18,426 13,727 797,061
2040 50,562 45,298 41,862 40,706 38,858 37,602 28,970 19,283 14,417 807,694
2041 51,918 45,987 42,181 40,569 39,178 37,776 30,344 20,135 15,079 818,343
2042 53,366 46,763 42,506 40,577 39,493 37,835 31,444 21,108 15,725 829,024
2043 54,724 47,560 42,996 40,738 39,668 37,625 32,596 22,107 16,434 839,709
2044 55,812 48,605 43,550 40,965 39,845 37,299 33,659 23,109 17,239 850,401
2045 56,640 49,876 44,315 41,003 40,009 37,256 34,414 24,128 18,130 861,094
2046 57,276 51,201 45,043 41,385 39,922 37,577 34,623 25,325 18,989 871,795

Table 10.4: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
PEEL
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2018 79,205 84,839 91,642 99,615 119,711 109,778 99,821 101,682 100,866 102,737
2019 80,415 84,247 92,248 101,184 122,562 114,682 103,136 104,712 102,266 101,919
2020 82,468 84,230 92,678 103,209 125,096 119,523 107,791 108,394 103,680 102,284
2021 84,972 84,743 92,891 105,672 126,919 123,764 113,265 111,619 105,981 102,908
2022 86,909 86,329 93,372 108,461 128,496 127,251 119,258 115,113 108,832 104,016
2023 88,910 88,574 93,529 111,251 129,516 130,253 124,735 118,899 112,380 105,302
2024 91,735 90,623 93,720 112,900 131,431 131,759 129,167 123,140 116,055 107,084
2025 94,473 93,206 94,187 113,964 132,932 132,344 132,742 127,849 119,941 108,667
2026 96,978 96,035 94,950 114,676 134,910 132,514 135,565 132,852 123,250 110,991
2027 99,257 98,184 96,522 115,473 137,317 132,835 137,640 137,913 126,609 113,735
2028 101,296 100,290 98,665 115,918 139,928 133,119 139,510 142,470 130,151 117,143
2029 103,118 103,054 100,720 116,392 141,716 134,503 140,603 146,154 134,145 120,694
2030 104,770 105,694 103,304 117,123 143,204 135,885 141,305 149,182 138,582 124,495
2031 106,287 108,121 106,176 118,145 144,397 137,715 141,769 151,633 143,250 127,791
2032 107,718 110,322 108,430 119,939 145,640 139,940 142,414 153,469 147,889 131,118
2033 109,101 112,299 110,635 122,282 146,553 142,383 142,997 155,190 152,056 134,568
2034 110,468 114,077 113,424 124,585 147,500 144,149 144,403 156,346 155,402 138,432
2035 111,858 115,697 116,081 127,393 148,667 145,662 145,737 157,205 158,150 142,681
2036 113,299 117,203 118,515 130,498 150,106 146,930 147,484 157,866 160,384 147,103
2037 114,813 118,640 120,728 133,068 152,256 148,220 149,645 158,736 162,075 151,455
2038 116,399 120,047 122,721 135,596 154,920 149,219 152,044 159,544 163,696 155,359
2039 118,058 121,447 124,523 138,643 157,573 150,234 153,873 161,049 164,864 158,483
2040 119,784 122,882 126,176 141,554 160,711 151,418 155,527 162,465 165,800 161,061
2041 121,570 124,375 127,728 144,245 164,148 152,832 156,975 164,287 166,569 163,162
2042 123,405 125,950 129,221 146,726 167,152 154,893 158,392 166,540 167,564 164,768
2043 125,268 127,605 130,692 148,991 170,117 157,399 159,537 169,039 168,501 166,331
2044 127,148 129,336 132,161 151,084 173,539 159,892 160,703 171,027 170,074 167,516
2045 129,039 131,139 133,669 153,038 176,828 162,805 162,012 172,877 171,540 168,506
2046 130,928 133,014 135,244 154,903 179,917 166,022 163,520 174,536 173,411 169,353
Table 10.4: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
PEEL
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2018 107,227 101,761 83,181 65,580 51,079 34,612 22,931 13,206 7,723 1,477,196
2019 105,831 104,600 86,227 67,813 54,135 36,505 24,100 13,916 8,139 1,508,637
2020 104,367 106,212 89,372 71,055 57,086 38,262 25,542 14,659 8,627 1,544,535
2021 103,753 106,738 92,843 74,064 59,784 40,619 26,669 15,577 9,168 1,581,949
2022 103,494 106,226 96,089 77,561 61,322 44,158 27,969 16,415 9,684 1,620,955
2023 102,914 105,110 99,422 81,227 63,169 47,279 29,641 17,279 10,315 1,659,705
2024 102,443 104,006 102,406 84,449 65,599 50,254 31,362 18,223 10,911 1,697,267
2025 102,868 102,786 104,132 87,668 68,850 53,087 32,978 19,371 11,567 1,733,612
2026 103,453 102,324 104,741 91,087 71,848 55,649 35,083 20,301 12,362 1,769,569
2027 104,460 102,134 104,319 94,206 75,200 57,139 38,203 21,346 13,084 1,805,576
2028 105,654 101,625 103,292 97,403 78,657 58,904 40,963 22,690 13,890 1,841,568
2029 107,357 101,225 102,281 100,274 81,725 61,200 43,572 24,069 14,724 1,877,526
2030 108,936 101,646 101,220 101,971 84,800 64,221 46,059 25,395 15,720 1,913,512
2031 111,248 102,217 100,891 102,617 88,058 67,041 48,318 27,095 16,655 1,949,424
2032 113,953 103,210 100,817 102,296 91,033 70,167 49,700 29,619 17,610 1,985,284
2033 117,284 104,404 100,435 101,404 94,113 73,386 51,336 31,871 18,818 2,021,115
2034 120,744 106,079 100,144 100,526 96,893 76,277 53,439 33,981 20,052 2,056,921
2035 124,444 107,656 100,593 99,639 98,583 79,199 56,164 35,985 21,348 2,092,742
2036 127,675 109,934 101,173 99,447 99,278 82,278 58,724 37,822 22,851 2,128,570
2037 130,930 112,586 102,171 99,492 99,068 85,097 61,541 39,022 24,930 2,164,473
2038 134,269 115,830 103,376 99,245 98,326 88,036 64,444 40,446 26,939 2,200,456
2039 138,001 119,191 105,033 99,077 97,598 90,701 67,079 42,246 28,827 2,236,500
2040 142,088 122,783 106,617 99,575 96,897 92,379 69,777 44,544 30,650 2,272,688
2041 146,308 125,943 108,875 100,186 96,852 93,129 72,603 46,712 32,469 2,308,968
2042 150,436 129,126 111,487 101,204 97,023 93,046 75,203 49,077 34,234 2,345,447
2043 154,136 132,371 114,663 102,431 96,913 92,487 77,935 51,513 36,103 2,382,032
2044 157,104 135,984 117,947 104,089 96,870 91,950 80,419 53,757 38,146 2,418,746
2045 159,562 139,929 121,451 105,693 97,428 91,460 82,048 56,096 40,486 2,455,606
2046 161,579 143,982 124,562 107,942 98,088 91,574 82,845 58,529 42,721 2,492,670

Table 10.5: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
YORK
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2018 56,256 65,723 71,226 76,739 76,945 71,389 65,776 70,991 78,734 90,214
2019 56,475 64,698 71,560 77,409 76,468 73,185 67,107 71,467 77,066 88,424
2020 56,952 64,153 71,567 77,404 77,130 74,841 69,437 72,610 76,010 86,726
2021 57,995 63,784 71,633 77,004 78,509 75,935 72,350 73,869 75,914 84,733
2022 58,942 63,802 71,835 77,286 79,922 76,768 74,981 75,491 76,942 82,942
2023 59,782 64,242 71,976 77,918 81,170 77,279 77,848 77,214 78,365 81,852
2024 61,122 65,191 71,543 78,793 82,040 77,360 79,964 79,656 79,980 81,115
2025 62,484 66,281 71,393 79,218 82,162 77,991 81,532 82,473 81,935 80,788
2026 63,765 67,774 71,273 79,560 81,994 78,926 82,422 85,378 83,744 81,246
2027 64,941 69,033 71,418 79,906 82,420 79,808 82,941 87,720 85,641 82,580
2028 65,988 70,097 71,902 80,132 83,179 80,554 83,226 90,021 87,487 84,270
2029 66,909 71,531 72,930 79,820 84,076 81,100 83,299 91,620 89,916 86,105
2030 67,720 72,921 74,126 79,763 84,650 81,266 83,730 92,752 92,625 88,241
2031 68,435 74,197 75,742 79,745 85,134 81,379 84,366 93,388 95,358 90,208
2032 69,085 75,343 77,132 80,011 85,614 82,003 85,063 93,759 97,533 92,226
2033 69,697 76,350 78,334 80,626 85,992 82,924 85,703 94,001 99,596 94,159
2034 70,289 77,229 79,855 81,763 85,892 83,825 86,328 94,121 100,981 96,609
2035 70,891 78,000 81,301 83,089 86,012 84,515 86,626 94,491 101,932 99,286
2036 71,523 78,687 82,614 84,823 86,165 85,094 86,974 95,025 102,453 101,937
2037 72,199 79,323 83,782 86,357 86,614 85,662 87,766 95,692 102,751 104,037
2038 72,923 79,929 84,804 87,718 87,414 86,130 88,807 96,327 102,965 105,983
2039 73,699 80,525 85,698 89,353 88,653 86,219 89,761 97,015 103,105 107,260
2040 74,521 81,145 86,484 90,899 90,092 86,490 90,582 97,390 103,454 108,128
2041 75,385 81,807 87,190 92,299 91,897 86,792 91,311 97,875 103,942 108,599
2042 76,287 82,528 87,850 93,548 93,546 87,387 91,998 98,785 104,599 108,865
2043 77,206 83,307 88,489 94,647 95,054 88,301 92,560 99,937 105,229 109,078
2044 78,136 84,143 89,124 95,625 96,779 89,529 92,884 100,976 105,956 109,239
2045 79,062 85,035 89,790 96,494 98,410 90,957 93,340 101,913 106,383 109,592
2046 79,976 85,977 90,503 97,290 99,897 92,698 93,842 102,764 106,960 110,063
Table 10.5: Population by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
YORK
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2018 90,791 86,666 71,611 58,450 45,550 30,825 21,953 13,236 7,881 1,150,956
2019 89,759 88,892 74,259 59,758 48,847 32,032 23,004 13,940 8,317 1,162,667
2020 89,094 90,224 76,555 61,824 51,983 33,268 24,079 14,669 8,821 1,177,347
2021 89,222 90,235 79,044 64,312 54,424 35,283 24,912 15,508 9,402 1,194,068
2022 89,597 89,586 81,384 67,011 55,254 38,937 25,830 16,304 9,926 1,212,740
2023 88,949 88,296 84,191 69,968 56,528 42,359 26,831 17,012 10,578 1,232,358
2024 87,692 87,496 86,606 72,761 58,066 45,485 27,997 17,883 11,178 1,251,928
2025 86,463 86,988 88,062 75,195 60,239 48,443 29,185 18,772 11,835 1,271,439
2026 84,929 87,167 88,219 77,716 62,741 50,763 31,021 19,493 12,615 1,290,746
2027 83,567 87,533 87,655 80,014 65,383 51,639 34,269 20,269 13,311 1,310,048
2028 82,791 86,955 86,438 82,721 68,207 52,897 37,275 21,127 14,032 1,329,299
2029 82,370 85,854 85,643 85,061 70,869 54,425 40,018 22,127 14,829 1,348,502
2030 82,327 84,814 85,139 86,462 73,242 56,521 42,611 23,147 15,672 1,367,729
2031 83,038 83,530 85,291 86,663 75,683 58,909 44,679 24,681 16,476 1,386,902
2032 84,523 82,447 85,635 86,154 77,897 61,420 45,557 27,359 17,269 1,406,030
2033 86,369 81,906 85,138 85,025 80,511 64,085 46,772 29,819 18,136 1,425,143
2034 88,329 81,714 84,185 84,251 82,792 66,601 48,246 32,056 19,146 1,444,212
2035 90,559 81,863 83,316 83,760 84,163 68,894 50,213 34,163 20,199 1,463,273
2036 92,602 82,723 82,245 83,903 84,409 71,240 52,429 35,864 21,580 1,482,290
2037 94,677 84,281 81,396 84,247 83,959 73,371 54,749 36,694 23,755 1,501,312
2038 96,647 86,197 81,048 83,836 82,928 75,883 57,197 37,802 25,766 1,520,304
2039 99,083 88,210 81,039 83,024 82,213 78,091 59,516 39,136 27,665 1,539,265
2040 101,718 90,473 81,349 82,309 81,784 79,444 61,671 40,873 29,445 1,558,251
2041 104,294 92,545 82,329 81,429 81,959 79,755 63,881 42,805 31,134 1,577,228
2042 106,335 94,638 83,949 80,795 82,323 79,403 65,888 44,813 32,741 1,596,278
2043 108,194 96,618 85,921 80,626 82,007 78,535 68,256 46,927 34,432 1,615,324
2044 109,412 99,023 87,976 80,789 81,346 77,943 70,349 48,941 36,199 1,634,369
2045 110,248 101,607 90,261 81,243 80,790 77,626 71,666 50,851 38,178 1,653,446
2046 110,720 104,121 92,362 82,337 80,098 77,872 72,052 52,813 40,225 1,672,570

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2018, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Notes:

1. Population as of July 1.

2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

LIST OF TABLES