Ontario Population Projections Update, 2017–2041
Table 15: Northwestern Ontario and its census divisions, population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario

Table 15: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 13,674 13,587 13,294 14,241 16,146 15,938 14,217 13,543 13,421 14,532
2018 13,662 13,655 13,311 14,136 15,756 16,265 14,429 13,696 13,231 14,432
2019 13,668 13,619 13,381 13,922 15,470 16,327 14,767 13,805 13,230 14,174
2020 13,631 13,561 13,547 13,738 15,083 16,228 15,132 13,838 13,279 13,963
2021 13,542 13,501 13,734 13,633 14,702 16,089 15,404 13,947 13,328 13,535
2022 13,379 13,688 13,657 13,648 14,366 15,671 15,721 14,139 13,454 13,259
2023 13,362 13,651 13,701 13,650 14,198 15,190 15,943 14,282 13,574 13,049
2024 13,315 13,636 13,648 13,710 13,975 14,842 15,941 14,566 13,658 13,034
2025 13,253 13,583 13,581 13,872 13,789 14,421 15,801 14,897 13,682 13,069
2026 13,176 13,494 13,517 14,054 13,695 14,036 15,643 15,151 13,788 13,119
2027 13,086 13,340 13,706 13,982 13,719 13,719 15,260 15,466 13,977 13,249
2028 12,989 13,331 13,666 14,028 13,736 13,560 14,809 15,695 14,118 13,374
2029 12,893 13,293 13,654 13,977 13,808 13,358 14,478 15,705 14,395 13,465
2030 12,801 13,237 13,604 13,916 13,976 13,187 14,079 15,581 14,718 13,497
2031 12,715 13,164 13,516 13,860 14,157 13,100 13,711 15,437 14,971 13,609
2032 12,647 13,080 13,368 14,052 14,090 13,134 13,410 15,075 15,282 13,797
2033 12,590 12,992 13,364 14,021 14,130 13,164 13,253 14,655 15,513 13,938
2034 12,543 12,903 13,332 14,018 14,089 13,234 13,064 14,336 15,536 14,204
2035 12,514 12,816 13,283 13,974 14,044 13,393 12,904 13,945 15,432 14,519
2036 12,499 12,734 13,218 13,890 14,014 13,568 12,825 13,588 15,298 14,770
2037 12,496 12,667 13,138 13,746 14,198 13,517 12,869 13,304 14,952 15,082
2038 12,508 12,610 13,049 13,748 14,174 13,551 12,914 13,148 14,554 15,317
2039 12,532 12,567 12,959 13,723 14,178 13,517 12,985 12,980 14,239 15,351
2040 12,569 12,542 12,871 13,684 14,144 13,479 13,145 12,828 13,865 15,258
2041 12,615 12,529 12,791 13,630 14,081 13,454 13,312 12,756 13,519 15,134
Table 15: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
NORTHWESTERN ONTARIO
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 17,082 19,145 17,334 14,510 10,390 7,432 5,288 3,368 2,203 239,345
2018 16,092 18,980 17,733 14,853 11,103 7,654 5,404 3,356 2,307 240,055
2019 15,352 18,665 18,036 15,304 11,752 7,781 5,574 3,393 2,358 240,578
2020 14,822 18,173 18,258 15,696 12,512 7,975 5,688 3,441 2,417 240,982
2021 14,625 17,444 18,654 15,903 13,112 8,288 5,810 3,508 2,466 241,225
2022 14,337 16,739 18,542 16,394 13,207 9,092 5,932 3,563 2,517 241,305
2023 14,221 15,767 18,381 16,782 13,532 9,739 6,136 3,666 2,555 241,379
2024 13,953 15,046 18,085 17,075 13,958 10,323 6,268 3,808 2,598 241,439
2025 13,737 14,530 17,621 17,298 14,333 11,007 6,453 3,899 2,657 241,483
2026 13,325 14,333 16,926 17,685 14,543 11,555 6,735 4,010 2,724 241,509
2027 13,065 14,060 16,252 17,600 15,019 11,677 7,431 4,118 2,790 241,516
2028 12,875 13,950 15,327 17,477 15,401 12,004 7,993 4,294 2,874 241,501
2029 12,864 13,701 14,642 17,220 15,700 12,417 8,493 4,422 2,980 241,465
2030 12,900 13,497 14,151 16,803 15,936 12,783 9,077 4,580 3,085 241,408
2031 12,954 13,105 13,976 16,162 16,318 13,006 9,556 4,813 3,197 241,327
2032 13,082 12,863 13,722 15,535 16,270 13,462 9,704 5,351 3,304 241,228
2033 13,212 12,688 13,621 14,672 16,182 13,841 10,016 5,792 3,469 241,113
2034 13,311 12,684 13,391 14,032 15,970 14,138 10,401 6,177 3,617 240,980
2035 13,353 12,724 13,206 13,582 15,607 14,393 10,752 6,625 3,764 240,830
2036 13,468 12,785 12,838 13,434 15,036 14,769 10,975 6,992 3,965 240,666
2037 13,653 12,915 12,611 13,203 14,477 14,757 11,400 7,141 4,362 240,488
2038 13,792 13,050 12,453 13,111 13,698 14,714 11,767 7,417 4,729 240,304
2039 14,057 13,152 12,456 12,898 13,124 14,553 12,063 7,743 5,037 240,114
2040 14,374 13,198 12,501 12,736 12,720 14,254 12,316 8,045 5,388 239,917
2041 14,627 13,316 12,570 12,397 12,600 13,763 12,663 8,249 5,711 239,717

Table 15.1: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
KENORA
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 5,450 5,373 4,924 5,058 5,252 4,850 4,309 4,209 3,934 4,006
2018 5,433 5,421 4,971 5,085 5,202 5,000 4,361 4,288 3,917 4,020
2019 5,435 5,416 5,074 5,049 5,157 5,103 4,491 4,252 3,997 3,987
2020 5,427 5,406 5,196 5,000 5,111 5,108 4,639 4,254 4,049 3,966
2021 5,404 5,321 5,411 4,929 5,042 5,116 4,752 4,280 4,125 3,929
2022 5,345 5,414 5,354 4,996 4,989 5,039 4,869 4,337 4,194 3,884
2023 5,347 5,385 5,387 5,030 4,979 4,937 4,970 4,363 4,254 3,853
2024 5,338 5,376 5,371 5,123 4,930 4,856 5,031 4,471 4,214 3,920
2025 5,327 5,358 5,356 5,237 4,876 4,782 5,013 4,603 4,210 3,961
2026 5,312 5,330 5,277 5,434 4,814 4,702 5,002 4,708 4,233 4,029
2027 5,298 5,270 5,371 5,380 4,879 4,646 4,925 4,824 4,291 4,096
2028 5,286 5,274 5,338 5,414 4,917 4,632 4,823 4,921 4,321 4,155
2029 5,279 5,266 5,327 5,398 5,003 4,589 4,743 4,978 4,428 4,123
2030 5,278 5,256 5,308 5,385 5,108 4,540 4,663 4,963 4,556 4,125
2031 5,283 5,242 5,278 5,314 5,284 4,488 4,580 4,952 4,657 4,152
2032 5,295 5,229 5,219 5,406 5,238 4,545 4,523 4,873 4,772 4,210
2033 5,314 5,217 5,223 5,378 5,268 4,582 4,504 4,774 4,868 4,242
2034 5,337 5,208 5,218 5,371 5,258 4,655 4,461 4,694 4,924 4,344
2035 5,363 5,204 5,210 5,352 5,251 4,748 4,415 4,610 4,913 4,468
2036 5,392 5,205 5,198 5,324 5,199 4,902 4,370 4,526 4,902 4,566
2037 5,422 5,214 5,185 5,268 5,285 4,868 4,422 4,468 4,823 4,679
2038 5,456 5,229 5,171 5,273 5,263 4,895 4,458 4,446 4,727 4,774
2039 5,489 5,250 5,160 5,269 5,260 4,889 4,521 4,409 4,645 4,829
2040 5,524 5,275 5,154 5,265 5,246 4,884 4,609 4,364 4,563 4,820
2041 5,559 5,303 5,154 5,257 5,224 4,843 4,746 4,324 4,480 4,808
Table 15.1: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
KENORA
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 4,718 5,019 4,271 3,521 2,451 1,731 1,211 619 366 71,272
2018 4,463 5,029 4,434 3,572 2,656 1,752 1,256 635 382 71,877
2019 4,253 5,028 4,578 3,628 2,856 1,746 1,285 660 398 72,393
2020 4,124 4,949 4,650 3,744 3,020 1,782 1,315 694 405 72,839
2021 4,017 4,789 4,807 3,823 3,130 1,866 1,322 733 411 73,207
2022 3,953 4,613 4,836 3,980 3,102 2,091 1,322 749 428 73,495
2023 3,954 4,355 4,841 4,134 3,149 2,271 1,344 780 443 73,776
2024 3,908 4,148 4,838 4,266 3,200 2,445 1,345 801 466 74,047
2025 3,882 4,022 4,760 4,334 3,305 2,591 1,379 823 489 74,308
2026 3,845 3,916 4,608 4,482 3,380 2,691 1,452 834 512 74,561
2027 3,802 3,857 4,440 4,513 3,527 2,679 1,639 838 532 74,807
2028 3,773 3,862 4,196 4,526 3,670 2,730 1,792 859 556 75,045
2029 3,835 3,820 4,002 4,528 3,795 2,784 1,933 867 579 75,277
2030 3,876 3,796 3,883 4,461 3,866 2,883 2,053 898 606 75,504
2031 3,944 3,761 3,787 4,322 4,004 2,957 2,139 956 625 75,725
2032 4,012 3,719 3,734 4,169 4,040 3,095 2,141 1,088 637 75,945
2033 4,070 3,694 3,739 3,947 4,061 3,230 2,191 1,199 662 76,163
2034 4,045 3,755 3,701 3,770 4,069 3,345 2,248 1,297 680 76,380
2035 4,049 3,798 3,681 3,664 4,015 3,419 2,340 1,382 714 76,596
2036 4,076 3,865 3,652 3,580 3,896 3,550 2,409 1,443 755 76,810
2037 4,133 3,930 3,614 3,534 3,764 3,590 2,531 1,454 840 77,024
2038 4,164 3,988 3,592 3,540 3,572 3,619 2,651 1,501 920 77,239
2039 4,265 3,966 3,650 3,506 3,421 3,633 2,758 1,551 985 77,456
2040 4,387 3,971 3,692 3,493 3,328 3,594 2,827 1,625 1,053 77,674
2041 4,484 3,999 3,759 3,468 3,258 3,496 2,941 1,681 1,109 77,893

Table 15.2: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
RAINY RIVER
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 1,115 1,090 1,206 1,299 1,383 994 978 926 1,160 1,183
2018 1,109 1,083 1,206 1,254 1,367 1,065 958 933 1,102 1,190
2019 1,101 1,092 1,158 1,265 1,326 1,111 922 957 1,059 1,182
2020 1,086 1,083 1,130 1,250 1,285 1,159 909 963 1,002 1,180
2021 1,066 1,072 1,115 1,251 1,248 1,154 919 964 978 1,132
2022 1,043 1,099 1,094 1,246 1,172 1,128 969 957 928 1,143
2023 1,037 1,087 1,083 1,241 1,124 1,095 1,017 931 930 1,084
2024 1,029 1,074 1,088 1,192 1,129 1,052 1,047 897 947 1,040
2025 1,022 1,059 1,076 1,167 1,116 1,009 1,079 887 951 988
2026 1,014 1,040 1,063 1,155 1,119 976 1,071 893 954 967
2027 1,004 1,019 1,090 1,134 1,110 919 1,049 938 949 924
2028 993 1,014 1,079 1,123 1,104 887 1,015 983 925 926
2029 981 1,008 1,070 1,127 1,067 887 978 1,008 894 944
2030 969 1,001 1,058 1,114 1,053 875 942 1,034 885 948
2031 957 993 1,040 1,103 1,047 874 913 1,025 891 951
2032 945 984 1,020 1,130 1,025 872 865 1,005 931 947
2033 933 974 1,015 1,122 1,016 870 838 977 973 924
2034 921 963 1,009 1,114 1,018 843 836 946 998 894
2035 913 951 1,002 1,103 1,011 831 825 910 1,025 885
2036 905 939 994 1,086 1,006 828 823 884 1,018 891
2037 899 927 985 1,066 1,023 815 823 842 999 932
2038 894 915 975 1,061 1,015 807 824 816 971 973
2039 891 903 964 1,055 1,008 809 803 815 939 997
2040 888 895 952 1,049 999 802 795 805 905 1,022
2041 886 888 940 1,043 988 794 793 803 880 1,014
Table 15.2: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
RAINY RIVER
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 1,440 1,696 1,533 1,288 930 687 491 359 215 19,973
2018 1,385 1,631 1,612 1,300 977 715 495 347 233 19,962
2019 1,316 1,594 1,633 1,349 1,024 732 508 342 240 19,911
2020 1,242 1,573 1,645 1,382 1,079 765 499 342 260 19,834
2021 1,230 1,498 1,666 1,395 1,145 766 524 343 267 19,733
2022 1,183 1,423 1,650 1,450 1,167 800 548 337 272 19,609
2023 1,185 1,366 1,585 1,518 1,176 842 569 344 274 19,488
2024 1,173 1,300 1,549 1,536 1,221 881 585 354 274 19,368
2025 1,166 1,230 1,526 1,547 1,252 927 616 347 284 19,249
2026 1,120 1,217 1,452 1,566 1,265 985 618 370 286 19,131
2027 1,129 1,171 1,380 1,553 1,314 1,007 648 391 284 19,013
2028 1,077 1,168 1,327 1,497 1,379 1,022 682 409 286 18,896
2029 1,037 1,159 1,264 1,464 1,400 1,065 714 422 291 18,780
2030 987 1,153 1,198 1,446 1,410 1,092 754 445 299 18,663
2031 966 1,110 1,189 1,378 1,432 1,107 804 450 316 18,546
2032 924 1,120 1,145 1,312 1,423 1,151 827 475 327 18,428
2033 926 1,071 1,143 1,260 1,373 1,209 842 504 342 18,312
2034 943 1,033 1,136 1,200 1,345 1,231 880 531 354 18,195
2035 948 984 1,132 1,140 1,330 1,246 907 564 371 18,078
2036 951 963 1,093 1,134 1,268 1,269 923 604 382 17,961
2037 947 924 1,103 1,092 1,211 1,264 966 623 402 17,843
2038 926 926 1,059 1,091 1,165 1,222 1,022 636 429 17,727
2039 898 943 1,023 1,086 1,113 1,200 1,043 669 453 17,612
2040 892 948 977 1,083 1,060 1,188 1,056 693 487 17,496
2041 900 951 958 1,046 1,054 1,135 1,076 712 519 17,380

Table 15.3: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
THUNDER BAY
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 7,109 7,124 7,164 7,884 9,511 10,094 8,930 8,408 8,327 9,343
2018 7,120 7,151 7,134 7,797 9,187 10,200 9,110 8,475 8,212 9,222
2019 7,132 7,111 7,149 7,608 8,987 10,113 9,354 8,596 8,174 9,005
2020 7,118 7,072 7,221 7,488 8,687 9,961 9,584 8,621 8,228 8,817
2021 7,072 7,108 7,208 7,453 8,412 9,819 9,733 8,703 8,225 8,474
2022 6,991 7,175 7,209 7,406 8,205 9,504 9,883 8,845 8,332 8,232
2023 6,978 7,179 7,231 7,379 8,095 9,158 9,956 8,988 8,390 8,112
2024 6,948 7,186 7,189 7,395 7,916 8,934 9,863 9,198 8,497 8,074
2025 6,904 7,166 7,149 7,468 7,797 8,630 9,709 9,407 8,521 8,120
2026 6,850 7,124 7,177 7,465 7,762 8,358 9,570 9,550 8,601 8,123
2027 6,784 7,051 7,245 7,468 7,730 8,154 9,286 9,704 8,737 8,229
2028 6,710 7,043 7,249 7,491 7,715 8,041 8,971 9,791 8,872 8,293
2029 6,633 7,019 7,257 7,452 7,738 7,882 8,757 9,719 9,073 8,398
2030 6,554 6,980 7,238 7,417 7,815 7,772 8,474 9,584 9,277 8,424
2031 6,475 6,929 7,198 7,443 7,826 7,738 8,218 9,460 9,423 8,506
2032 6,407 6,867 7,129 7,516 7,827 7,717 8,022 9,197 9,579 8,640
2033 6,343 6,801 7,126 7,521 7,846 7,712 7,911 8,904 9,672 8,772
2034 6,285 6,732 7,105 7,533 7,813 7,736 7,767 8,696 9,614 8,966
2035 6,238 6,661 7,071 7,519 7,782 7,814 7,664 8,425 9,494 9,166
2036 6,202 6,590 7,026 7,480 7,809 7,838 7,632 8,178 9,378 9,313
2037 6,175 6,526 6,968 7,412 7,890 7,834 7,624 7,994 9,130 9,471
2038 6,158 6,466 6,903 7,414 7,896 7,849 7,632 7,886 8,856 9,570
2039 6,152 6,414 6,835 7,399 7,910 7,819 7,661 7,756 8,655 9,525
2040 6,157 6,372 6,765 7,370 7,899 7,793 7,741 7,659 8,397 9,416
2041 6,170 6,338 6,697 7,330 7,869 7,817 7,773 7,629 8,159 9,312
Table 15.3: Population by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
THUNDER BAY
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 10,924 12,430 11,530 9,701 7,009 5,014 3,586 2,390 1,622 148,100
2018 10,244 12,320 11,687 9,981 7,470 5,187 3,653 2,374 1,692 148,216
2019 9,783 12,043 11,825 10,327 7,872 5,303 3,781 2,391 1,720 148,274
2020 9,456 11,651 11,963 10,570 8,413 5,428 3,874 2,405 1,752 148,309
2021 9,378 11,157 12,181 10,685 8,837 5,656 3,964 2,432 1,788 148,285
2022 9,201 10,703 12,056 10,964 8,938 6,201 4,062 2,477 1,817 148,201
2023 9,082 10,046 11,955 11,130 9,207 6,626 4,223 2,542 1,838 148,115
2024 8,872 9,598 11,698 11,273 9,537 6,997 4,338 2,653 1,858 148,024
2025 8,689 9,278 11,335 11,417 9,776 7,489 4,458 2,729 1,884 147,926
2026 8,360 9,200 10,866 11,637 9,898 7,879 4,665 2,806 1,926 147,817
2027 8,134 9,032 10,432 11,534 10,178 7,991 5,144 2,889 1,974 147,696
2028 8,025 8,920 9,804 11,454 10,352 8,252 5,519 3,026 2,032 147,560
2029 7,992 8,722 9,376 11,228 10,505 8,568 5,846 3,133 2,110 147,408
2030 8,037 8,548 9,070 10,896 10,660 8,808 6,270 3,237 2,180 147,241
2031 8,044 8,234 9,000 10,462 10,882 8,942 6,613 3,407 2,256 147,056
2032 8,146 8,024 8,843 10,054 10,807 9,216 6,736 3,788 2,340 146,855
2033 8,216 7,923 8,739 9,465 10,748 9,402 6,983 4,089 2,465 146,638
2034 8,323 7,896 8,554 9,062 10,556 9,562 7,273 4,349 2,583 146,405
2035 8,356 7,942 8,393 8,778 10,262 9,728 7,505 4,679 2,679 146,156
2036 8,441 7,957 8,093 8,720 9,872 9,950 7,643 4,945 2,828 145,895
2037 8,573 8,061 7,894 8,577 9,502 9,903 7,903 5,064 3,120 145,621
2038 8,702 8,136 7,802 8,480 8,961 9,873 8,094 5,280 3,380 145,338
2039 8,894 8,243 7,783 8,306 8,590 9,720 8,262 5,523 3,599 145,046
2040 9,095 8,279 7,832 8,160 8,332 9,472 8,433 5,727 3,848 144,747
2041 9,243 8,366 7,853 7,883 8,288 9,132 8,646 5,856 4,083 144,444

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2017, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Notes:

1. Population as of July 1.

2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

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