Ontario Population Projections Update, 2017–2041
Table 7: Total population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2017–2041 – reference scenario

Table 7: Total population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 727,539 749,339 752,339 835,465 1,012,586 1,013,929 968,906 926,913 905,679 949,264
2018 736,330 751,516 765,695 831,332 1,025,126 1,052,643 993,937 956,269 915,052 946,557
2019 747,768 754,311 774,178 833,494 1,021,798 1,075,975 1,021,292 981,273 927,591 940,075
2020 759,409 759,128 782,333 835,606 1,011,161 1,089,016 1,050,912 1,005,147 940,220 936,363
2021 771,225 766,427 787,344 842,070 996,679 1,094,055 1,076,561 1,025,847 957,621 929,580
2022 781,721 774,283 790,427 852,114 982,698 1,089,634 1,100,061 1,045,614 975,024 930,647
2023 794,094 781,838 791,052 864,652 971,350 1,082,305 1,122,047 1,061,320 997,906 935,322
2024 804,469 792,376 792,900 873,001 970,291 1,068,215 1,135,593 1,083,188 1,019,048 945,112
2025 813,418 803,427 797,085 881,392 970,810 1,050,543 1,142,007 1,108,891 1,040,266 955,830
2026 821,120 815,065 804,138 887,000 977,178 1,032,726 1,143,690 1,132,517 1,059,589 972,204
2027 827,643 825,798 812,175 891,013 988,658 1,018,897 1,139,318 1,155,898 1,079,311 989,561
2028 833,173 838,391 819,932 892,575 1,002,585 1,007,700 1,132,057 1,177,802 1,095,034 1,012,292
2029 837,869 848,991 830,644 895,371 1,012,367 1,006,646 1,118,113 1,191,375 1,116,818 1,033,319
2030 841,778 858,163 841,848 900,505 1,022,133 1,007,172 1,100,627 1,197,917 1,142,390 1,054,398
2031 845,104 866,126 853,675 908,542 1,029,134 1,013,590 1,083,128 1,199,865 1,165,959 1,073,681
2032 848,093 872,977 864,641 917,593 1,034,649 1,025,150 1,069,686 1,195,973 1,189,322 1,093,372
2033 850,916 878,918 877,506 926,423 1,037,775 1,039,177 1,058,958 1,189,357 1,211,269 1,109,164
2034 853,801 884,069 888,427 938,262 1,042,155 1,049,152 1,058,339 1,176,232 1,225,110 1,130,978
2035 856,971 888,486 897,975 950,610 1,048,944 1,059,159 1,059,405 1,159,707 1,232,106 1,156,555
2036 860,616 892,315 906,324 963,573 1,058,606 1,066,466 1,066,273 1,143,181 1,234,549 1,180,144
2037 864,862 895,822 913,573 975,681 1,069,232 1,072,331 1,078,200 1,130,623 1,231,231 1,203,572
2038 869,924 899,156 919,905 989,691 1,079,639 1,075,829 1,092,548 1,120,742 1,225,208 1,225,617
2039 875,923 902,556 925,458 1,001,769 1,093,063 1,080,574 1,102,901 1,120,836 1,212,772 1,239,646
2040 882,915 906,238 930,278 1,012,485 1,107,033 1,087,669 1,113,278 1,122,580 1,197,015 1,246,912
2041 890,886 910,387 934,529 1,021,987 1,121,621 1,097,585 1,120,982 1,130,017 1,181,262 1,249,722
Table 7: Total population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 1,053,440 1,036,290 891,943 752,449 584,383 415,593 299,639 197,704 119,984 14,193,384
2018 1,024,020 1,061,076 922,496 767,205 622,451 433,905 307,801 202,415 126,740 14,442,566
2019 995,374 1,080,894 950,222 789,971 655,402 452,662 318,553 206,513 132,863 14,660,209
2020 973,205 1,087,729 976,756 818,290 688,247 471,655 328,687 211,028 139,551 14,864,443
2021 965,687 1,075,478 1,006,146 845,897 714,995 496,117 339,870 215,730 146,649 15,053,978
2022 961,097 1,052,154 1,027,733 876,567 722,212 538,854 353,714 221,270 152,531 15,228,355
2023 955,249 1,021,198 1,050,850 905,902 736,743 574,549 370,365 228,482 158,128 15,403,352
2024 947,086 992,044 1,069,724 932,860 759,005 605,536 387,516 237,629 163,084 15,578,677
2025 942,270 969,742 1,076,292 958,932 786,643 636,404 404,853 246,408 168,899 15,754,112
2026 935,144 962,268 1,064,572 987,964 813,790 661,878 427,175 256,076 175,313 15,929,407
2027 936,431 958,070 1,042,381 1,009,746 844,009 670,188 465,775 267,805 181,590 16,104,267
2028 941,269 952,634 1,012,755 1,033,060 872,998 685,199 498,214 281,864 188,875 16,278,409
2029 951,140 944,903 984,910 1,052,223 899,774 707,272 526,362 296,379 197,120 16,451,596
2030 961,924 940,498 963,728 1,059,483 925,805 734,360 554,209 310,937 205,712 16,623,587
2031 978,328 933,838 957,025 1,048,996 954,681 760,985 577,529 329,645 215,208 16,795,039
2032 995,700 935,466 953,447 1,028,321 976,681 790,478 586,793 361,669 225,900 16,965,911
2033 1,018,432 940,587 948,647 1,000,514 1,000,174 818,909 601,910 388,668 238,801 17,136,105
2034 1,039,509 950,681 941,615 974,490 1,019,726 845,368 623,177 412,004 252,481 17,305,576
2035 1,060,667 961,700 937,886 954,922 1,027,919 871,281 648,960 434,847 266,231 17,474,331
2036 1,080,074 978,228 931,954 949,339 1,019,080 899,856 674,289 454,294 283,281 17,642,442
2037 1,099,855 995,721 934,098 946,641 1,000,433 921,997 702,160 463,822 310,159 17,810,013
2038 1,115,783 1,018,492 939,652 942,720 975,033 945,601 729,186 478,023 334,456 17,977,205
2039 1,137,685 1,039,638 950,059 936,643 951,329 965,513 754,558 497,081 356,136 18,144,140
2040 1,163,302 1,060,882 961,392 933,801 933,798 974,775 779,666 519,863 377,083 18,310,965
2041 1,186,954 1,080,387 978,150 928,808 929,594 967,963 807,117 542,259 397,623 18,477,833

Table 7: Male population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 373,683 383,591 385,533 430,990 522,745 505,669 474,675 452,791 443,184 468,165
2018 378,222 384,984 392,092 428,717 531,159 527,074 487,419 467,924 447,442 466,465
2019 384,036 386,613 396,221 429,933 530,101 540,884 501,372 480,702 453,350 462,527
2020 389,933 389,596 400,037 430,487 525,291 549,796 515,988 492,803 459,772 459,823
2021 396,009 393,408 402,713 433,427 518,349 553,613 529,278 502,994 468,450 455,801
2022 401,395 397,559 404,576 438,264 510,891 552,997 541,281 513,294 476,638 455,348
2023 407,763 401,460 405,190 444,418 504,858 550,253 553,212 520,838 488,090 456,893
2024 413,104 406,811 406,353 448,493 504,436 543,200 561,521 531,751 498,687 461,224
2025 417,704 412,408 409,010 452,455 504,202 534,509 566,660 544,229 509,298 466,541
2026 421,662 418,388 412,692 455,474 507,135 525,739 568,549 556,412 518,712 474,629
2027 425,021 423,889 416,936 457,826 512,792 518,378 567,896 568,335 528,977 482,793
2028 427,864 430,369 420,941 458,941 519,743 512,435 565,130 580,199 536,523 494,155
2029 430,283 435,828 426,378 460,620 524,634 511,982 558,133 588,489 547,365 504,682
2030 432,295 440,551 432,048 463,788 529,383 511,728 549,506 593,646 559,775 515,206
2031 434,004 444,644 438,128 467,993 533,205 514,633 540,857 595,642 571,911 524,595
2032 435,547 448,166 443,747 472,789 536,414 520,246 533,654 595,188 583,795 534,831
2033 436,997 451,216 450,369 477,377 538,416 527,158 527,880 592,715 595,644 542,413
2034 438,479 453,859 456,001 483,410 540,984 532,061 527,549 586,111 604,023 553,253
2035 440,106 456,124 460,926 489,683 545,062 536,844 527,482 577,951 609,365 565,649
2036 441,986 458,080 465,224 496,368 550,167 540,721 530,522 569,766 611,590 577,768
2037 444,171 459,883 468,954 502,603 555,830 544,008 536,219 563,004 611,397 589,671
2038 446,777 461,599 472,202 509,842 561,284 546,109 543,181 557,647 609,223 601,530
2039 449,864 463,344 475,058 516,095 568,190 548,770 548,163 557,655 602,983 609,982
2040 453,465 465,234 477,531 521,651 575,358 552,897 553,030 557,915 595,228 615,440
2041 457,560 467,377 479,705 526,557 582,946 558,023 557,016 561,230 587,443 617,851
Table 7: Male population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 525,241 513,032 433,282 360,625 274,972 188,855 130,215 77,516 36,046 6,980,810
2018 509,239 526,158 449,311 367,588 293,059 197,610 134,374 80,322 38,935 7,108,094
2019 493,383 536,518 464,168 378,355 308,633 206,838 139,265 82,845 41,654 7,217,398
2020 481,192 539,821 478,143 392,172 324,139 216,282 143,829 85,445 44,703 7,319,252
2021 475,715 534,092 493,263 405,446 337,046 228,287 149,086 87,987 47,967 7,412,931
2022 472,921 521,188 504,581 420,940 340,428 248,703 155,645 90,920 50,743 7,498,312
2023 469,348 504,254 516,684 436,270 347,373 265,600 163,588 94,492 53,440 7,584,024
2024 464,419 488,136 526,496 450,699 357,950 280,227 171,980 98,575 55,916 7,669,978
2025 461,085 475,886 529,649 464,441 371,460 294,776 180,524 102,469 58,695 7,756,001
2026 456,867 470,467 524,242 479,393 384,566 307,114 191,369 106,924 61,651 7,841,985
2027 456,548 467,914 512,046 490,855 399,847 311,223 209,565 112,372 64,562 7,927,775
2028 458,195 464,600 495,925 503,099 414,997 318,552 224,756 118,941 67,848 8,013,213
2029 462,568 459,949 480,598 513,115 429,332 329,135 237,934 125,861 71,363 8,098,249
2030 467,917 456,861 469,004 516,704 443,077 342,431 250,952 132,835 74,963 8,182,670
2031 476,032 452,919 464,059 512,020 457,969 355,385 262,195 141,687 79,019 8,266,897
2032 484,206 452,800 461,869 500,730 469,601 370,333 266,894 156,380 83,654 8,350,844
2033 495,547 454,615 458,931 485,701 481,984 385,219 274,342 168,711 89,231 8,434,466
2034 506,090 459,110 454,676 471,481 492,267 399,401 284,558 179,378 95,126 8,517,817
2035 516,648 464,574 451,987 460,855 496,463 413,113 297,213 189,822 101,043 8,600,910
2036 526,095 472,737 448,439 456,615 492,771 427,879 309,555 199,043 108,415 8,683,741
2037 536,346 480,959 448,610 454,935 482,747 439,643 323,641 203,838 119,939 8,766,398
2038 543,998 492,294 450,674 452,512 469,198 452,159 337,730 210,758 130,235 8,848,952
2039 554,868 502,851 455,334 448,806 456,393 462,717 351,266 219,793 139,376 8,931,508
2040 567,263 513,422 460,958 446,628 446,983 467,587 364,508 230,804 148,206 9,014,108
2041 579,398 522,894 469,232 443,625 443,612 465,061 378,662 241,605 157,103 9,096,900

Table 7: Female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2017 353,856 365,748 366,806 404,475 489,841 508,260 494,231 474,122 462,495 481,099
2018 358,108 366,532 373,603 402,615 493,967 525,569 506,518 488,345 467,610 480,092
2019 363,732 367,698 377,957 403,561 491,697 535,091 519,920 500,571 474,241 477,548
2020 369,476 369,532 382,296 405,119 485,870 539,220 534,924 512,344 480,448 476,540
2021 375,216 373,019 384,631 408,643 478,330 540,442 547,283 522,853 489,171 473,779
2022 380,326 376,724 385,851 413,850 471,807 536,637 558,780 532,320 498,386 475,299
2023 386,331 380,378 385,862 420,234 466,492 532,052 568,835 540,482 509,816 478,429
2024 391,365 385,565 386,547 424,508 465,855 525,015 574,072 551,437 520,361 483,888
2025 395,714 391,019 388,075 428,937 466,608 516,034 575,347 564,662 530,968 489,289
2026 399,458 396,677 391,446 431,526 470,043 506,987 575,141 576,105 540,877 497,575
2027 402,622 401,909 395,239 433,187 475,866 500,519 571,422 587,563 550,334 506,768
2028 405,309 408,022 398,991 433,634 482,842 495,265 566,927 597,603 558,511 518,137
2029 407,586 413,163 404,266 434,751 487,733 494,664 559,980 602,886 569,453 528,637
2030 409,483 417,612 409,800 436,717 492,750 495,444 551,121 604,271 582,615 539,192
2031 411,100 421,482 415,547 440,549 495,929 498,957 542,271 604,223 594,048 549,086
2032 412,546 424,811 420,894 444,804 498,235 504,904 536,032 600,785 605,527 558,541
2033 413,919 427,702 427,137 449,046 499,359 512,019 531,078 596,642 615,625 566,751
2034 415,322 430,210 432,426 454,852 501,171 517,091 530,790 590,121 621,087 577,725
2035 416,865 432,362 437,049 460,927 503,882 522,315 531,923 581,756 622,741 590,906
2036 418,630 434,235 441,100 467,205 508,439 525,745 535,751 573,415 622,959 602,376
2037 420,691 435,939 444,619 473,078 513,402 528,323 541,981 567,619 619,834 613,901
2038 423,147 437,557 447,703 479,849 518,355 529,720 549,367 563,095 615,985 624,087
2039 426,059 439,212 450,400 485,674 524,873 531,804 554,738 563,181 609,789 629,664
2040 429,450 441,004 452,747 490,834 531,675 534,772 560,248 564,665 601,787 631,472
2041 433,326 443,010 454,824 495,430 538,675 539,562 563,966 568,787 593,819 631,871
Table 7: Female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2017–2041 — reference scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2017 528,199 523,258 458,661 391,824 309,411 226,738 169,424 120,188 83,938 7,212,574
2018 514,781 534,918 473,185 399,617 329,392 236,295 173,427 122,093 87,805 7,334,472
2019 501,991 544,376 486,054 411,616 346,769 245,824 179,288 123,668 91,209 7,442,811
2020 492,013 547,908 498,613 426,118 364,108 255,373 184,858 125,583 94,848 7,545,191
2021 489,972 541,386 512,883 440,451 377,949 267,830 190,784 127,743 98,682 7,641,047
2022 488,176 530,966 523,152 455,627 381,784 290,151 198,069 130,350 101,788 7,730,043
2023 485,901 516,944 534,166 469,632 389,370 308,949 206,777 133,990 104,688 7,819,328
2024 482,667 503,908 543,228 482,161 401,055 325,309 215,536 139,054 107,168 7,908,699
2025 481,185 493,856 546,643 494,491 415,183 341,628 224,329 143,939 110,204 7,998,111
2026 478,277 491,801 540,330 508,571 429,224 354,764 235,806 149,152 113,662 8,087,422
2027 479,883 490,156 530,335 518,891 444,162 358,965 256,210 155,433 117,028 8,176,492
2028 483,074 488,034 516,830 529,961 458,001 366,647 273,458 162,923 121,027 8,265,196
2029 488,572 484,954 504,312 539,108 470,442 378,137 288,428 170,518 125,757 8,353,347
2030 494,007 483,637 494,724 542,779 482,728 391,929 303,257 178,102 130,749 8,440,917
2031 502,296 480,919 492,966 536,976 496,712 405,600 315,334 187,958 136,189 8,528,142
2032 511,494 482,666 491,578 527,591 507,080 420,145 319,899 205,289 142,246 8,615,067
2033 522,885 485,972 489,716 514,813 518,190 433,690 327,568 219,957 149,570 8,701,639
2034 533,419 491,571 486,939 503,009 527,459 445,967 338,619 232,626 157,355 8,787,759
2035 544,019 497,126 485,899 494,067 531,456 458,168 351,747 245,025 165,188 8,873,421
2036 553,979 505,491 483,515 492,724 526,309 471,977 364,734 255,251 174,866 8,958,701
2037 563,509 514,762 485,488 491,706 517,686 482,354 378,519 259,984 190,220 9,043,615
2038 571,785 526,198 488,978 490,208 505,835 493,442 391,456 267,265 204,221 9,128,253
2039 582,817 536,787 494,725 487,837 494,936 502,796 403,292 277,288 216,760 9,212,632
2040 596,039 547,460 500,434 487,173 486,815 507,188 415,158 289,059 228,877 9,296,857
2041 607,556 557,493 508,918 485,183 485,982 502,902 428,455 300,654 240,520 9,380,933

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2017, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Notes:

1. Population as of July 1.

2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

LIST OF TABLES