Ontario Population Projections, 2018–2046
Table 7: Total population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2018–2046 – reference scenario

Table 7: Total population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2018 724,948 761,754 779,368 858,779 1,010,922 1,014,007 975,779 934,918 905,902 948,166
2019 732,271 762,899 787,798 871,112 1,032,485 1,043,119 1,004,279 963,873 915,190 942,414
2020 742,861 764,780 796,749 881,422 1,052,266 1,068,534 1,036,304 994,674 926,353 937,936
2021 756,141 767,925 802,879 894,341 1,066,275 1,085,912 1,065,400 1,022,444 943,199 931,443
2022 769,968 770,835 806,793 909,476 1,080,623 1,094,409 1,091,463 1,047,299 962,687 930,399
2023 782,299 777,130 806,644 926,385 1,090,625 1,098,382 1,112,916 1,067,460 986,956 932,609
2024 795,877 784,065 806,965 937,105 1,099,715 1,098,411 1,126,980 1,089,522 1,011,346 938,863
2025 807,642 793,697 807,463 946,170 1,102,340 1,093,872 1,135,131 1,113,180 1,036,396 946,201
2026 817,264 806,211 809,544 952,741 1,109,676 1,088,411 1,138,677 1,135,487 1,059,489 959,850
2027 824,997 819,681 811,804 957,568 1,121,501 1,088,253 1,137,231 1,156,659 1,080,980 977,012
2028 831,173 832,120 817,887 958,777 1,137,273 1,088,818 1,135,127 1,175,288 1,099,243 999,806
2029 836,186 845,965 824,893 960,802 1,148,890 1,093,029 1,132,154 1,188,179 1,120,333 1,023,384
2030 840,393 858,216 834,854 963,322 1,160,859 1,095,361 1,127,755 1,196,772 1,143,990 1,048,288
2031 844,221 868,410 847,802 967,513 1,170,440 1,102,411 1,122,758 1,201,088 1,166,500 1,071,352
2032 847,978 876,760 861,688 971,924 1,178,341 1,113,867 1,122,879 1,200,562 1,187,856 1,092,869
2033 851,931 883,585 874,526 980,165 1,182,714 1,129,151 1,123,708 1,199,403 1,206,704 1,111,226
2034 856,289 889,246 888,778 989,339 1,187,937 1,140,367 1,128,078 1,197,396 1,219,937 1,132,358
2035 861,295 894,104 901,447 1,001,484 1,193,666 1,151,862 1,130,602 1,193,952 1,228,925 1,155,994
2036 867,149 898,577 912,097 1,016,653 1,201,048 1,161,075 1,137,709 1,189,875 1,233,736 1,178,519
2037 873,909 902,989 920,915 1,032,760 1,208,696 1,168,565 1,149,145 1,190,781 1,233,809 1,199,912
2038 881,550 907,591 928,216 1,047,876 1,220,190 1,172,655 1,164,290 1,192,423 1,233,230 1,218,870
2039 890,021 912,607 934,364 1,064,417 1,232,632 1,177,512 1,175,448 1,197,531 1,231,815 1,232,287
2040 899,224 918,255 939,710 1,079,396 1,248,132 1,182,840 1,186,889 1,200,822 1,229,028 1,241,504
2041 909,015 924,756 944,685 1,092,381 1,266,625 1,189,759 1,196,063 1,208,591 1,225,587 1,246,652
2042 919,240 932,165 949,615 1,103,539 1,286,123 1,196,968 1,203,555 1,220,628 1,227,013 1,247,141
2043 929,719 940,442 954,739 1,113,200 1,304,636 1,207,938 1,207,715 1,236,277 1,229,163 1,246,981
2044 940,311 949,536 960,256 1,121,731 1,324,578 1,219,877 1,212,609 1,248,021 1,234,731 1,246,013
2045 950,864 959,360 966,409 1,129,486 1,342,973 1,234,780 1,217,964 1,260,066 1,238,494 1,243,647
2046 961,267 969,765 973,401 1,136,889 1,359,442 1,252,635 1,224,842 1,269,921 1,246,671 1,240,669
Table 7: Total population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2018 1,020,454 1,049,597 913,345 757,793 613,928 426,449 302,369 198,414 125,865 14,322,757
2019 993,434 1,069,651 939,737 779,979 645,244 444,856 311,880 202,549 131,042 14,573,812
2020 973,990 1,077,393 965,736 807,716 676,304 463,226 320,983 206,757 136,930 14,830,914
2021 967,022 1,068,085 993,089 834,907 702,343 486,248 331,079 211,317 143,211 15,073,260
2022 963,812 1,047,171 1,014,665 864,549 709,067 527,543 344,324 215,934 148,775 15,299,792
2023 958,369 1,018,316 1,037,647 892,577 722,760 561,415 360,691 221,989 154,195 15,509,365
2024 950,628 990,702 1,056,554 917,995 744,303 590,631 377,339 230,036 158,705 15,705,742
2025 943,774 970,300 1,063,351 942,930 770,988 619,418 393,817 237,857 163,869 15,888,396
2026 935,500 962,482 1,053,828 969,352 797,220 643,797 414,484 246,518 169,626 16,070,157
2027 933,191 958,697 1,033,337 990,481 825,864 651,350 451,289 257,541 174,985 16,252,421
2028 934,718 953,142 1,005,488 1,013,257 853,271 665,329 481,767 271,099 181,352 16,434,935
2029 940,662 945,635 979,067 1,032,188 878,305 686,446 508,052 284,898 188,467 16,617,535
2030 948,141 939,296 959,842 1,039,592 903,037 712,320 533,775 298,470 195,891 16,800,174
2031 961,915 931,602 952,869 1,031,212 929,219 737,805 555,844 315,498 204,186 16,982,645
2032 979,123 929,740 949,735 1,012,266 950,420 765,499 564,329 345,587 213,705 17,165,128
2033 1,001,840 931,633 944,830 986,304 973,258 792,102 578,375 370,672 225,439 17,347,566
2034 1,025,353 937,838 938,029 961,772 992,422 816,606 598,515 392,175 237,687 17,530,122
2035 1,050,180 945,566 932,400 944,143 1,000,642 840,960 622,830 412,962 249,771 17,712,785
2036 1,073,186 959,460 925,448 938,266 993,822 866,681 646,792 431,023 264,668 17,895,784
2037 1,094,675 976,714 924,148 935,967 976,864 887,828 672,707 439,712 289,063 18,079,159
2038 1,113,052 999,365 926,501 931,920 953,334 910,562 697,767 452,767 310,913 18,263,072
2039 1,134,158 1,022,782 933,029 926,048 931,208 929,877 721,072 470,574 330,115 18,447,497
2040 1,157,754 1,047,502 941,074 921,346 915,635 939,020 744,436 491,693 348,356 18,632,616
2041 1,180,248 1,070,447 955,148 915,360 911,145 934,091 769,000 512,499 366,350 18,818,402
2042 1,201,624 1,091,920 972,487 914,809 909,934 919,623 789,563 534,873 384,202 19,005,022
2043 1,220,596 1,110,334 995,127 917,771 906,994 899,175 811,674 556,648 403,259 19,192,388
2044 1,234,090 1,131,446 1,018,528 924,789 902,325 880,138 830,717 577,157 423,744 19,380,597
2045 1,243,467 1,155,030 1,043,194 933,307 898,795 867,178 840,707 598,004 445,849 19,569,574
2046 1,248,837 1,177,507 1,066,141 947,671 894,037 864,465 837,985 619,834 467,493 19,759,472

Table 7: Male population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2018 371,504 388,245 396,895 442,236 528,919 521,392 490,250 457,837 438,816 466,122
2019 375,780 388,946 401,058 448,152 540,465 536,770 506,459 475,716 443,205 461,945
2020 381,403 390,523 405,446 453,015 550,819 550,271 524,155 494,181 449,509 458,257
2021 388,286 392,463 408,801 459,468 558,637 558,333 540,157 510,984 459,127 453,621
2022 395,409 394,490 411,120 467,014 566,412 561,801 553,968 526,113 470,254 451,936
2023 401,735 398,146 411,412 475,412 571,841 562,845 565,147 538,124 484,468 451,878
2024 408,708 402,195 411,715 480,853 576,322 562,137 571,990 550,583 499,586 454,406
2025 414,743 407,311 412,585 485,346 577,207 558,719 575,820 563,506 514,607 458,385
2026 419,678 413,793 413,983 488,970 580,813 555,487 576,155 575,653 528,609 466,054
2027 423,655 420,731 415,684 491,797 586,688 554,996 574,062 586,679 541,703 475,734
2028 426,827 427,123 419,224 492,832 594,596 554,964 571,671 596,216 552,524 488,991
2029 429,406 434,227 423,321 494,061 600,626 556,556 569,236 602,364 564,364 503,532
2030 431,567 440,515 428,621 496,019 606,798 557,165 565,845 606,413 577,225 518,403
2031 433,533 445,743 435,326 498,566 612,157 560,454 562,775 607,156 589,435 532,308
2032 435,462 450,026 442,483 501,423 616,773 565,947 562,347 605,551 600,511 545,349
2033 437,494 453,527 449,073 506,116 619,643 573,420 562,348 603,656 610,131 556,167
2034 439,733 456,430 456,377 511,389 622,717 579,068 563,924 601,730 616,438 567,968
2035 442,300 458,925 462,877 517,865 626,518 584,814 564,533 598,845 620,677 580,778
2036 445,307 461,222 468,339 525,769 630,914 589,796 567,743 596,263 621,699 592,938
2037 448,779 463,484 472,882 534,117 635,646 594,013 573,115 596,231 620,415 604,002
2038 452,701 465,841 476,643 541,931 642,227 596,558 580,393 596,652 618,846 613,645
2039 457,050 468,411 479,806 550,473 649,363 599,269 585,886 598,612 617,243 620,037
2040 461,770 471,308 482,555 558,221 657,760 602,667 591,495 599,617 614,717 624,389
2041 466,799 474,643 485,115 564,936 667,566 606,630 596,331 603,159 612,475 625,603
2042 472,052 478,444 487,651 570,738 677,854 610,916 600,426 608,835 612,716 624,558
2043 477,430 482,692 490,287 575,765 687,602 617,005 602,887 616,358 613,399 623,224
2044 482,865 487,354 493,122 580,210 698,086 623,675 605,484 622,146 615,598 621,875
2045 488,281 492,391 496,283 584,257 707,790 631,548 608,756 628,057 616,841 619,593
2046 493,615 497,731 499,879 588,128 716,517 640,796 612,565 633,216 620,590 617,597
Table 7: Male population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2018 507,211 520,316 444,033 361,729 289,879 195,068 132,282 78,517 38,610 7,069,861
2019 492,145 530,916 458,629 371,840 304,231 204,246 136,746 81,050 40,828 7,199,127
2020 481,351 534,772 472,801 385,278 318,192 213,438 140,983 83,438 43,473 7,331,305
2021 476,290 530,466 486,992 398,573 330,162 224,705 145,563 86,156 46,267 7,455,051
2022 473,693 518,924 498,513 413,740 332,948 244,097 151,760 88,732 48,898 7,569,822
2023 470,021 503,139 510,194 428,970 339,218 259,619 159,653 91,720 51,523 7,675,065
2024 464,590 487,686 520,032 442,919 349,051 272,961 167,876 95,389 53,733 7,772,732
2025 459,414 476,260 523,275 456,418 361,948 285,855 176,010 98,936 56,136 7,862,481
2026 453,664 470,661 518,789 470,057 374,768 297,070 185,980 102,779 58,866 7,951,829
2027 451,178 467,672 507,474 481,300 389,402 300,453 202,997 107,823 61,413 8,041,441
2028 450,679 463,904 492,275 492,853 404,246 306,986 216,804 114,178 64,258 8,131,151
2029 452,997 458,612 477,516 502,697 417,936 316,698 228,700 120,772 67,275 8,220,896
2030 457,037 453,760 466,778 506,306 431,289 329,231 240,123 127,234 70,353 8,310,682
2031 464,725 448,361 461,677 502,465 444,792 341,728 250,230 135,189 73,806 8,400,426
2032 474,380 446,137 459,068 492,065 456,090 355,857 254,222 148,655 77,877 8,490,223
2033 487,538 445,861 455,690 477,990 467,720 370,210 260,871 159,687 82,904 8,580,046
2034 501,977 448,316 450,813 464,370 477,730 383,572 270,165 169,159 88,133 8,670,009
2035 516,733 452,477 446,392 454,593 481,859 396,689 281,904 178,132 93,237 8,760,148
2036 530,541 460,189 441,419 450,192 478,936 409,955 293,636 186,215 99,494 8,850,567
2037 543,502 469,828 439,532 448,077 469,780 421,232 306,785 190,314 109,586 8,941,320
2038 554,276 482,899 439,515 445,195 457,212 432,865 320,214 196,417 118,440 9,032,470
2039 566,024 497,206 442,145 440,884 445,066 443,012 332,793 204,515 126,198 9,123,993
2040 578,764 511,827 446,439 437,034 436,524 447,732 345,272 214,503 133,414 9,216,008
2041 590,869 525,539 454,211 432,652 433,001 445,888 357,881 224,504 140,743 9,308,545
2042 601,890 538,421 463,842 431,204 431,574 438,214 368,816 235,631 147,880 9,401,662
2043 611,504 549,163 476,846 431,546 429,385 427,478 380,143 247,034 155,565 9,495,313
2044 617,928 560,858 491,059 434,450 425,843 417,166 390,156 257,815 163,873 9,589,563
2045 622,347 573,549 505,576 438,987 422,728 410,172 395,377 268,666 173,126 9,684,325
2046 623,689 585,598 519,207 446,890 419,101 407,760 394,735 279,634 182,451 9,779,699

Table 7: Female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
Age Groups 0–4 to 45–49
Year 0–4 5–9 10–14 15–19 20–24 25–29 30–34 35–39 40–44 45–49
2018 353,444 373,509 382,473 416,543 482,003 492,615 485,529 477,081 467,086 482,044
2019 356,491 373,953 386,740 422,960 492,020 506,349 497,820 488,157 471,985 480,469
2020 361,458 374,257 391,303 428,407 501,447 518,263 512,149 500,493 476,844 479,679
2021 367,855 375,462 394,078 434,873 507,638 527,579 525,243 511,460 484,072 477,822
2022 374,559 376,345 395,673 442,462 514,211 532,608 537,495 521,186 492,433 478,463
2023 380,564 378,984 395,232 450,973 518,784 535,537 547,769 529,336 502,488 480,731
2024 387,169 381,870 395,250 456,252 523,393 536,274 554,990 538,939 511,760 484,457
2025 392,899 386,386 394,878 460,824 525,133 535,153 559,311 549,674 521,789 487,816
2026 397,586 392,418 395,561 463,771 528,863 532,924 562,522 559,834 530,880 493,796
2027 401,342 398,950 396,120 465,771 534,813 533,257 563,169 569,980 539,277 501,278
2028 404,346 404,997 398,663 465,945 542,677 533,854 563,456 579,072 546,719 510,815
2029 406,780 411,738 401,572 466,741 548,264 536,473 562,918 585,815 555,969 519,852
2030 408,826 417,701 406,233 467,303 554,061 538,196 561,910 590,359 566,765 529,885
2031 410,688 422,667 412,476 468,947 558,283 541,957 559,983 593,932 577,065 539,044
2032 412,516 426,734 419,205 470,501 561,568 547,920 560,532 595,011 587,345 547,520
2033 414,437 430,058 425,453 474,049 563,071 555,731 561,360 595,747 596,573 555,059
2034 416,556 432,816 432,401 477,950 565,220 561,299 564,154 595,666 603,499 564,390
2035 418,995 435,179 438,570 483,619 567,148 567,048 566,069 595,107 608,248 575,216
2036 421,842 437,355 443,758 490,884 570,134 571,279 569,966 593,612 612,037 585,581
2037 425,130 439,505 448,033 498,643 573,050 574,552 576,030 594,550 613,394 595,910
2038 428,849 441,750 451,573 505,945 577,963 576,097 583,897 595,771 614,384 605,225
2039 432,971 444,196 454,558 513,944 583,269 578,243 589,562 598,919 614,572 612,250
2040 437,454 446,947 457,155 521,175 590,372 580,173 595,394 601,205 614,311 617,115
2041 442,216 450,113 459,570 527,445 599,059 583,129 599,732 605,432 613,112 621,049
2042 447,188 453,721 461,964 532,801 608,269 586,052 603,129 611,793 614,297 622,583
2043 452,289 457,750 464,452 537,435 617,034 590,933 604,828 619,919 615,764 623,757
2044 457,446 462,182 467,134 541,521 626,492 596,202 607,125 625,875 619,133 624,138
2045 462,583 466,969 470,126 545,229 635,183 603,232 609,208 632,009 621,653 624,054
2046 467,652 472,034 473,522 548,761 642,925 611,839 612,277 636,705 626,081 623,072
Table 7: Female population of Ontario by five-year age group, 2018–2046 — reference scenario
Age Groups 50–54 to 90+ and Total for all age groups
Year 50–54 55–59 60–64 65–69 70–74 75–79 80–84 85–89 90+ Total
2018 513,243 529,281 469,312 396,064 324,049 231,381 170,087 119,897 87,255 7,252,896
2019 501,289 538,735 481,108 408,139 341,013 240,610 175,134 121,499 90,214 7,374,685
2020 492,639 542,621 492,935 422,438 358,112 249,788 180,000 123,319 93,457 7,499,609
2021 490,732 537,619 506,097 436,334 372,181 261,543 185,516 125,161 96,944 7,618,209
2022 490,119 528,247 516,152 450,809 376,119 283,446 192,564 127,202 99,877 7,729,970
2023 488,348 515,177 527,453 463,607 383,542 301,796 201,038 130,269 102,672 7,834,300
2024 486,038 503,016 536,522 475,076 395,252 317,670 209,463 134,647 104,972 7,933,010
2025 484,360 494,040 540,076 486,512 409,040 333,563 217,807 138,921 107,733 8,025,915
2026 481,836 491,821 535,039 499,295 422,452 346,727 228,504 143,739 110,760 8,118,328
2027 482,013 491,025 525,863 509,181 436,462 350,897 248,292 149,718 113,572 8,210,980
2028 484,039 489,238 513,213 520,404 449,025 358,343 264,963 156,921 117,094 8,303,784
2029 487,665 487,023 501,551 529,491 460,369 369,748 279,352 164,126 121,192 8,396,639
2030 491,104 485,536 493,064 533,286 471,748 383,089 293,652 171,236 125,538 8,489,492
2031 497,190 483,241 491,192 528,747 484,427 396,077 305,614 180,309 130,380 8,582,219
2032 504,743 483,603 490,667 520,201 494,330 409,642 310,107 196,932 135,828 8,674,905
2033 514,302 485,772 489,140 508,314 505,538 421,892 317,504 210,985 142,535 8,767,520
2034 523,376 489,522 487,216 497,402 514,692 433,034 328,350 223,016 149,554 8,860,113
2035 533,447 493,089 486,008 489,550 518,783 444,271 340,926 234,830 156,534 8,952,637
2036 542,645 499,271 484,029 488,074 514,886 456,726 353,156 244,808 165,174 9,045,217
2037 551,173 506,886 484,616 487,890 507,084 466,596 365,922 249,398 179,477 9,137,839
2038 558,776 516,466 486,986 486,725 496,122 477,697 377,553 256,350 192,473 9,230,602
2039 568,134 525,576 490,884 485,164 486,142 486,865 388,279 266,059 203,917 9,323,504
2040 578,990 535,675 494,635 484,312 479,111 491,288 399,164 277,190 214,942 9,416,608
2041 589,379 544,908 500,937 482,708 478,144 488,203 411,119 287,995 225,607 9,509,857
2042 599,734 553,499 508,645 483,605 478,360 481,409 420,747 299,242 236,322 9,603,360
2043 609,092 561,171 518,281 486,225 477,609 471,697 431,531 309,614 247,694 9,697,075
2044 616,162 570,588 527,469 490,339 476,482 462,972 440,561 319,342 259,871 9,791,034
2045 621,120 581,481 537,618 494,320 476,067 457,006 445,330 329,338 272,723 9,885,249
2046 625,148 591,909 546,934 500,781 474,936 456,705 443,250 340,200 285,042 9,979,773

Sources: Statistics Canada estimates, 2018, and Ontario Ministry of Finance projections.

Notes:

1. Population as of July 1.

2. Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

LIST OF TABLES