September 27, 2017
Population Growth, Ontario, |
|
(Thousands) Population, April 1, 2017 |
14,124.3 |
---|---|
Plus Births | 36.9 |
Minus Deaths | 25.6 |
Plus Immigrants | 27.2 |
Minus Emigrants* | 2.7 |
Plus Net Change in Non-Permanent Residents | 26.0 |
Plus Interprovincial Arrivals | 29.0 |
Minus Interprovincial Departures | 21.8 |
Population, July 1, 2017 | 14,193.4 |
* Emigrants plus net change in temporary emigrants minus returning Canadians. |
|
Source: Statistics Canada |
Ontario’s population reached 14,193,384 on July 1, 2017, with an increase of 69,079 people in the second quarter of 2017. This compares to an increase of 61,709 in the same quarter of the previous year.
There were 36,882 births and 25,582 deaths during the second quarter of 2017, representing increases of 2.2% and 3.4% respectively from the same quarter of 2016.
Natural increase (births minus deaths) was 11,300 in the quarter, down slightly from 11,355 in the same quarter of 2016.
Immigration to Ontario was 27,243 in the second quarter of 2017, down from 32,243 in the same quarter of the previous year. Ontario received 34.9% of all immigrants to Canada in the quarter, down from 36.5% in the same quarter of 2016. Over the last 12 months Ontario received 98,409 immigrants, down from 120,338 during the previous year.
There were 2,747 emigrants from Ontario in the quarter, similar to the same quarter of the previous year. Ontario accounted for 33.2% of all emigration from Canada in the quarter.
The number of non-permanent residents in Ontario (NPRs – i.e. foreign students, visa workers, refugee claimants) increased by 26,017 to 414,693 in the second quarter.
In summary, there was a net international migration gain of 50,513 in the second quarter, up from a net gain of 46,125 in the same quarter of 2016.
In the second quarter of 2017, Ontario had a net inflow of 7,266 people from other provinces and territories compared to a net gain of 4,229 people in the same quarter of 2016. Ontario experienced net gains in its exchanges with all other provinces and the Northwest Territories, with the largest net gains coming from Quebec (3,152) and Alberta (1,648). Small net losses to the Yukon (100) and Nunavut (78) were recorded. Over the last 12 months, Ontario’s total net interprovincial migration gain was 25,689 compared to a net gain of 9,077 during the previous year.
Over the last 12 months, Ontario’s population grew by 217,164 or 1.6%, higher than growth of 186,723 during the previous year. Among the provinces, only Prince Edward Island (1.7%) had a faster population growth rate than Ontario. Canada’s population grew at a rate of 1.2% over the period.
For more information contact Alex Munger (416) 325-0102.
2001 | 2006 | 2011 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canada | 31,021 | 32,571 | 34,343 | 35,152 | 35,535 | 35,833 | 36,265 | 36,708 |
Ontario | 11,897 | 12,662 | 13,264 | 13,556 | 13,680 | 13,790 | 13,976 | 14,193 |
Ontario as % of Canada | 38.4 | 38.9 | 38.6 | 38.6 | 38.5 | 38.5 | 38.5 | 38.7 |
Ontario Ave. Annual Growth Rate (Over previous year shown) |
1.4 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 |
2021 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | 2041 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Canada | 37,998 | 39,727 | 41,373 | 42,903 | 44,353 |
Ontario | 14,980 | 15,823 | 16,659 | 17,458 | 18,222 |
Ontario as % of Canada | 39.4 | 39.8 | 40.3 | 40.7 | 41.1 |
Ontario Ave. Annual Growth Rate (Over previous year shown) |
1.4 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
2001 | 2006 | 2011 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0–4 | 5.9 | 5.5 | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.1 |
5–14 | 13.5 | 12.3 | 11.2 | 10.9 | 10.8 | 10.7 | 10.7 | 10.6 |
15–24 | 13.4 | 13.8 | 13.7 | 13.6 | 13.4 | 13.2 | 13.1 | 13.0 |
25–44 | 31.6 | 29.4 | 27.1 | 26.8 | 26.7 | 26.7 | 26.8 | 26.9 |
45–64 | 23.2 | 26.0 | 28.4 | 28.2 | 28.2 | 28.1 | 28.0 | 27.7 |
65–74 | 7.0 | 6.9 | 7.6 | 8.4 | 8.7 | 9.0 | 9.2 | 9.4 |
75+ | 5.5 | 6.2 | 6.6 | 6.8 | 7.0 | 7.1 | 7.2 | 7.3 |
2021 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | 2041 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0–4 | 5.3 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 4.9 | 4.8 |
5–14 | 10.4 | 10.4 | 10.5 | 10.5 | 10.2 |
15–24 | 12.0 | 11.5 | 11.4 | 11.5 | 11.7 |
25–44 | 27.3 | 27.0 | 26.0 | 25.1 | 24.1 |
45–64 | 26.6 | 24.8 | 23.5 | 23.6 | 24.2 |
65–74 | 10.4 | 11.4 | 12.0 | 11.2 | 10.2 |
75+ | 8.0 | 9.6 | 11.3 | 13.2 | 14.9 |
2001 | 2006 | 2011 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0–14 | 19.4 | 17.8 | 16.6 | 16.2 | 16.0 | 15.9 | 15.8 | 15.7 |
15–64 | 68.1 | 69.2 | 69.1 | 68.6 | 68.3 | 68.1 | 67.8 | 67.6 |
65+ | 12.5 | 13.0 | 14.2 | 15.2 | 15.6 | 16.1 | 16.4 | 16.7 |
2021 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | 2041 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
0–14 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 15.7 | 15.4 | 14.9 |
15–64 | 65.9 | 63.3 | 61.0 | 60.1 | 60.1 |
65+ | 18.4 | 21.0 | 23.3 | 24.5 | 25.0 |
2001 | 2006 | 2011 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Dependency Ratio (%)8 | 63.0 | 60.6 | 60.3 | 60.9 | 61.2 | 61.5 | 61.7 | 62.0 |
Median Age (yrs.) | 36.7 | 38.4 | 39.8 | 40.2 | 40.4 | 40.6 | 40.7 | 40.6 |
Age Span of Baby Boom (yrs.) | 36-55 | 41-60 | 46-65 | 48-67 | 49-68 | 50-69 | 51-70 | 52-71 |
Total Fertility Rate9 | 1.53 | 1.55 | 1.55 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
Female Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.)10 | 82.1 | 83.1 | 84.0 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
Male Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.)11 | 77.5 | 78.8 | 79.8 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
Families (000s) | 3,257 | 3,539 | 3,723 | 3,789 | 3,828 | 3,860 | 3,897 | n.a. |
Households (000s)12 | 4,219 | 4,555 | 4,888 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | 5,169 | n.a. |
2021 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | 2041 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Dependency Ratio (%)14 | 65.7 | 73.0 | 79.9 | 83.2 | 83.7 |
Median Age (yrs.) | 41.0 | 41.8 | 42.6 | 43.6 | 44.4 |
Age Span of Baby Boom (yrs.) | 56-75 | 61-80 | 66-85 | 71-90 | 76-95 |
Total Fertility Rate15 | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.59 | 1.60 | 1.60 |
Female Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.)16 | 85.8 | 86.5 | 87.3 | 88.0 | 88.7 |
Male Life Expectancy at Birth (yrs.)17 | 82.4 | 83.5 | 84.6 | 85.6 | 86.6 |
Families (000s) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
Households (000s)18 | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. |
2001 | 2006 | 2011 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GTA | 44.5 | 45.8 | 47.2 | 47.7 | 47.9 | 48.0 | 48.3 | n.a. |
Central | 22.1 | 22.0 | 21.6 | 21.5 | 21.4 | 21.5 | 21.4 | n.a. |
Eastern | 13.5 | 13.2 | 13.2 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 13.1 | 13.0 | n.a. |
Southwestern | 13.0 | 12.6 | 12.0 | 11.8 | 11.7 | 11.7 | 11.6 | n.a. |
Northeastern | 4.8 | 4.5 | 4.3 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 4.1 | 4.0 | n.a. |
Northwestern | 2.1 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 1.7 | n.a. |
2021 | 2026 | 2031 | 2036 | 2041 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
GTA | 49.3 | 50.2 | 51.1 | 51.9 | 52.7 |
Central | 21.2 | 21.0 | 20.9 | 20.7 | 20.6 |
Eastern | 12.9 | 12.8 | 12.6 | 12.5 | 12.3 |
Southwestern | 11.2 | 10.9 | 10.6 | 10.3 | 10.1 |
Northeastern | 3.7 | 3.5 | 3.3 | 3.1 | 3.0 |
Northwestern | 1.6 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
Period | Population, Beginning of Period |
Total Change | Births | Deaths | Natural Increase |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Five-Year: 2006–11 | 12,662 | 602 | 697 | 441 | 256 |
Five-Year: 2011–16 | 13,264 | 713 | 708 | 477 | 231 |
Annual: 2012–13 | 13,414 | 142 | 141 | 93 | 48 |
Annual: 2013–14 | 13,556 | 125 | 141 | 95 | 45 |
Annual: 2014–15 | 13,680 | 109 | 142 | 98 | 43 |
Annual: 2015–16 | 13,790 | 187 | 144 | 102 | 42 |
Annual: 2016–17 | 13,976 | 217 | 147 | 105 | 41 |
Period | Immigration | Net Emigration | Net NPRs | Net |
---|---|---|---|---|
Five-Year: 2006–11 | 558 | 89 | 57 | 525 |
Five-Year: 2011–16 | 519 | 88 | 89 | 521 |
Annual: 2012–13 | 106 | 16 | 19 | 108 |
Annual: 2013–14 | 102 | 19 | 11 | 94 |
Annual: 2014–15 | 90 | 18 | 2 | 74 |
Annual: 2015–16 | 120 | 18 | 33 | 136 |
Annual: 2016–17 | 98 | 18 | 69 | 150 |
Period | In | Out | Net |
---|---|---|---|
Five-Year: 2006–11 | 296 | 355 | -59 |
Five-Year: 2011–16 | 307 | 346 | -39 |
Annual: 2012–13 | 55 | 69 | -14 |
Annual: 2013–14 | 57 | 72 | -15 |
Annual: 2014–15 | 63 | 72 | -9 |
Annual: 2015–16 | 72 | 63 | 9 |
Annual: 2016–17 | 84 | 58 | 26 |
[1], [3], [5], [7], [19] Statistics Canada’s population estimates, based on the 2011 Census.
[2], [4], [6], [13], [20] Except for Canada, projections are produced by the Ontario Ministry of Finance (Spring 2017). Projections for Canada are from Statistics Canada (based on 2011 Census).
[8], [14] Total dependency ratio is the ratio of the population aged 0–19 and 65+ to the population aged 20-64.
[9], [10], [11], [15], [16], [17] Total Fertility Rates and life expectancy estimates are for calendar year, and projections are for census year. Life expectancy estimates for years after 2006 represent three-year averages (e.g., 2006 reported life expectancy corresponds to the average recorded over 2005-2007).
[12], [18] Households are Census data.
[21], [22], [23] In the “Components of Change” table, flows are for the 12-month period July 1 to June 30. Net international migration is calculated as the net balance of immigrants, net emigrants and net non-permanent residents (NPRs). Components may not add up due to existence of residuals.
Note: All population figures are for July 1st.
Sources: Ontario Ministry of Finance and Statistics Canada.
September 27, 2017
Office of Economic Policy
Labour Economics Branch
This bar chart compares the components of population growth in the second quarter of 2017 with the average of the same quarter of the previous five years (2012-2016). In the second quarter of 2017, all components were higher than the average of first quarters of the previous five years, with the exception of immigration.